Posted on 03/29/2012 6:03:37 PM PDT by xzins
I know much of this is true. Indeed, after the first ballot, all bets are OFF. The battle is occurring now in primary states with smaller caucuses to elect the delegates. For example, a die-hard Paulbot can go to a caucus, pledge to vote for Rotney on the first ballot, and then get “elected” by those present (5 people? 50 people? etc) as a Rotney delegate. If Rotney does not have that magic 1144, ALL bets are OFF!
That totals in the neighborhood of 1100 delegates available so far.
That means roughly 1200 delegates remain to be won by some candidate.
No matter whose count you use, there are plenty of remaining delegates for Santorum to win this. He needs 59%.
Romney needs 41.6% to win.
Less than that will give a brokered convention, unless Santorum wins them at the above-mentioned 59% rate.
It would be hilarious if all the pro Romney manipulations ended up biting Mitt in the end.
Come on folks! You know that the only winner is Mitt regardless of your complaints. At some point you have to get behind anyone except Obama. If that is NOT your ideal, then you need to go away!
I really don’t like Romney as the candidate, but unfortunately, we have a process that seems to be problematic about who gets elected. We take what we have or we elect Obama! What are you going to do!
Gingrich had his money cut off. That’s about the end for him. Pretty much leaves Romney and Santorum.
We can support Santorum.
There’s still time
It’s still within the realm of possibility.
Go Rick!
There are many (like #5) who insist that we need to rally around Romney. I might agree if it were Gingrich in the lead, or Perry, or Cain, or Bachmann, or even Pawlenty, or Thune, or a wide variety of others...
...but not Romney.
For a social conservative, Romney is simply not an option. Politically, he is a part of the enemy. I will not vote for him.
So, I hold onto the slim hopes of a brokered convention producing a solid conservative candidate. If not, then there is the hopelessness (except for making a point) of a third party candidate, and preparing for Santorum 2016, or Pence 2016, or Perry 2016, or any good conservative 2016.
Given that all the MSM, and all the RHINOs, including Mitt, say Rick’s wrong. Read their lips?! Given their batting averages Rick’s case is looking stronger. Rick is saying the current gap is less than Texas (155 delegates) sized. Rick’s arguments aren’t unique to him. Newt made the case about winner take all not applying after Florida. Paul’s been rambling about winning extra delegates in caucus states all along. At a minimum Rick is currently undercounted because no delegates are being counted in places like MO where all would agree he did well. The “count” is being used like the the “electability” argument was used earlier in the race, to make conservatives give up.
An open convention and Palin!!! let’s keep this going and stay vocal...
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Palin-Our-Brokered-Convention-Selection/219407098154932
Rick, I’m never going to vote to make you the chief law enforcement officer of the USA, just for the sake of George Zimmerman.
A man of your clear lack of restraint deserves no such authoirty.
Santorum is far better than Romney.
With God all things are possible. Pray!
The GOP RINO establishment should hope that Rick Santorum wins the nomination and then loses in November—that will allow them to blame the Tea Party for Obama getting four more thus allowing them to retain the status quo.
For the sake of his fellow RINO elite, Mitt should quit now.
Interesting analysis. Thanks, xzins.
I hope that Rick Santorum wins the Wisconsin primary. Losing there would be an even bigger setback than losing in Illinois.
Latest WI polls;
Other than not being Obama (which could end up being Romney's only strategy), I can't think of one positive thing about Romney. Yet, I can think of dozens of positives about Santorum.
If you belong to the “Anyone but Obama” crowd (and I do mean anyone), Santorum has a fighting chance against Obama. Romney has no chance.
Rick Santorum is starting to sound like the Man from La Mancha.
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