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INSIGHT: Problems Will Occur If Conflict Happens in Strait of Hormuz
Fuel Fix ^ | January 09, 2012 | INSIGHT|

Posted on 01/09/2012 9:43:01 AM PST by thackney

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In other shocking news, water is wet and ice is cold.

They did get this wrong: "20 percent - 30 percent of the world's oil supply passes on a daily basis".

It is closer to 17%. They are likely quoting other source which also confuse the world oil tanker market with the world oil supply.

1 posted on 01/09/2012 9:43:10 AM PST by thackney
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To: thackney

Ya think? What a dufus! :-)


2 posted on 01/09/2012 9:45:50 AM PST by marty60
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To: thackney

I think Iran is bluffing and no conflict will happen. If there is conflict, gas prices will spike, and Obama will be toast. That is the LAST thing Iran wants.


3 posted on 01/09/2012 9:52:01 AM PST by TheRealDBear
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To: marty60

Maybe we need the conflict—We have been at “war” with these guys since 1979—maybe we should just have it out with them and have done with it. They could block the strait for a time but we could un-block it in 48 hours. We fight now conventionally or we wait and fight a nuclear war later.


4 posted on 01/09/2012 9:54:45 AM PST by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: thackney
Problems will occur? Really, Insight?

Now we know the brilliant source of the Sh*t Happens bumper sticker and Robert De Niro's line, "this is this" from The Deerhunter.

5 posted on 01/09/2012 9:55:06 AM PST by edpc (Wilby 2012)
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To: thackney

>> Every CEO/COO/CFO should be demanding a comprehensive supply chain risk audit and a corresponding set of mitigation strategies immediately, not waiting to see what happens next.

Yeah. Right.

What a coincidence that that’s exactly what this company sells?

But seriously, how hard can that analysis be? What does that hallowed region export, except two things: oil, and attitude?


6 posted on 01/09/2012 9:56:05 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Trust in God, but row away from the rocks!)
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To: thackney
Problems Will Occur If Conflict Happens in Strait of Hormuz

Ya think?

7 posted on 01/09/2012 9:57:39 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: thackney

8 posted on 01/09/2012 9:58:20 AM PST by OB1kNOb (The prudent see danger and take refuge, but the simple keep going and pay the penalty. - Prov 22:3)
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To: Nervous Tick

I’ve said this before. Obama needs some kind of International event to boost up his ratings just before the election. If it happens now, it will be his Jimmy Carter moment. He wold rather this happen in October.

If the Iranians do this now, and they will, Obama either backs down, which he will, and he goes heads down weak into another conflict as a bystander like he did in Libya.


9 posted on 01/09/2012 9:58:37 AM PST by nikos1121
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To: Forward the Light Brigade
They could block the strait for a time but we could un-block it in 48 hours minutes.

Fixed it for ya.

10 posted on 01/09/2012 9:58:51 AM PST by Mich Patriot (I am not worried about the deficit. It is big enough to take care of itself. Ronald Reagan)
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To: edpc

It will be a spot of bother to borrow from our Anglo cousins.


11 posted on 01/09/2012 10:00:14 AM PST by xp38
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To: thackney

The Iranians import a majority of their refined petroleum. Their refining capacity is mostly on the coast. If they shut down the Straits then we need to make sure they run out of gas.


12 posted on 01/09/2012 10:07:00 AM PST by USNBandit (sarcasm engaged at all times)
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To: Nervous Tick

almonds and rugs


13 posted on 01/09/2012 10:09:10 AM PST by mamelukesabre
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To: USNBandit
The Iranians import a majority of their refined petroleum.

No. The import a significant amount, but closer to 20%.

http://www.eia.gov/countries/cab.cfm?fips=IR

14 posted on 01/09/2012 10:12:57 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

so insightful..........sarc


15 posted on 01/09/2012 10:13:07 AM PST by yldstrk ( My heroes have always been cowboys)
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To: Mich Patriot

All they gotta do is sink a few ships in the right places and the strait is closed for a very long time. Not 48 minutes and not 48 hours.


16 posted on 01/09/2012 10:15:45 AM PST by mamelukesabre
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To: mamelukesabre

I guess that depends on the water depth, which I have no current knowledge of.


17 posted on 01/09/2012 10:18:11 AM PST by Mich Patriot (I am not worried about the deficit. It is big enough to take care of itself. Ronald Reagan)
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To: mamelukesabre; Mich Patriot

>> All they gotta do is sink a few ships in the right places and the strait is closed for a very long time.

According to measurements on Google Earth, the Strait of Hormuz is twenty-two miles wide at its narrowest point.

Not sure even a few ships sunk there would do it. I guess it depends on how much of it is navigable to deep-draft ships.


18 posted on 01/09/2012 10:37:10 AM PST by Nervous Tick (Trust in God, but row away from the rocks!)
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To: Nervous Tick

The waters are overall very shallow, with a maximum depth of 90 meters and an average depth of 50 meters.


19 posted on 01/09/2012 10:47:00 AM PST by Robe (Rome did not create a great empire by talking, they did it by killing all those who opposed them)
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To: Nervous Tick

how much of it is navigable to deep-draft ships.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

not much


20 posted on 01/09/2012 10:47:39 AM PST by mamelukesabre
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