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1 posted on 10/28/2010 9:15:50 AM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

Too bad this race sucked in precious resources that could have been used in closer races that were actually winnable.


180 posted on 10/28/2010 11:39:04 AM PDT by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: smoothsailing

One thing about this thread it sure has exposed the RINOs. Maybe even some dimoKKKRATS in the mix doing their dirty work.


184 posted on 10/28/2010 11:55:20 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: smoothsailing; All

OK FOLKS....
Before you get all teary-eyed, remember something....

CHRISTINE O’DONNELL did her job, and she DID IT WELL. And she did it it one of the deepest BLUE states in the country.

Castle is gone, a message is delivered, and she has stolen so much air out of the room that Harry Reid will lose to Sharon Angle in Nevada.

She drew the attention of the mostly-Democrat Big Media, the leftist bloggers, and everyone else on the left away from other races.

They were so busy laughing at her, that they stopped paying attention to Sharon Angle.

Saturday Night Live did skits about O’Donnell, not Rand Paul. MSNBC’s biased morons were too busy laughing at O’, to see what was happening until it was too late.

And the MONEY...
Always the money.


189 posted on 10/28/2010 12:01:52 PM PDT by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
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To: smoothsailing

She’s been tarred as a Grade-A, certified loon by the media, and I’m sorry to say but some of the decisions in her camp have not been the greatest. Whoever’s idea it was for her to do that “I’m not a witch, I’m just like you” ad should be publicly flogged.


192 posted on 10/28/2010 12:11:37 PM PDT by mquinn (Obama's supporters: a deliberate drowning of consciousness by means of rhythmic noise)
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To: smoothsailing
Do NOT believe the polls this close to Nov 2, and especially anything put out by the Ass Press.
195 posted on 10/28/2010 12:14:20 PM PDT by Cheerio (Barry Hussein Soetoro-0bama=The Complete Destruction of American Capitalism)
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To: smoothsailing

Even if she loses, she slew the RINO. That sends a message to the rest of the herd. Believe me, they are listening. Their political careers are at stake.


230 posted on 10/28/2010 3:06:05 PM PDT by clintonh8r ("Let them eat lobster cake." Michele Antoinette, vacation #6.)
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To: smoothsailing
Awwww, not this negativist CR+P on Free Republic again / in the midst of a close, very close, pitched battle.
266 posted on 10/28/2010 6:18:24 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo (Let 'em pray to Baal, Gaia, Lucifer, the sun god, whatever; let's humbly ask God's Son for victory!)
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To: smoothsailing

Delaware should be happy giving the “bearded Marxist” the nod.


277 posted on 10/28/2010 6:45:53 PM PDT by windsorknot
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To: smoothsailing

Here’s some math on trying to guess why the numbers came out the way they did. Christine did better within the subgroups yet lost 4 points.

Basically, they talked to too many Democrats and not enough Republicans. With 47D 29R 24I, Coons is up by 22.
With +15, like we see around the country early voting,
or 40D, 37R, 23I, Coons is up by 12. If the same assumption of high R turnout were made in both FDR polls, Christine actually went from 13 to 12 down.

Analysis of this poll
*******************

***************************************

comparing the earlier and the later FDU polls

early
85-10 coons D
46-37 coons I
68-16 Christine R
total - Coons by 17

later
87-9 coons D (coons +3 since early)
46-35 coons I (coons +2 since early)
76-17 christine R (Christine +7 since early)
total - Coons by 21

How can Christine pick up 7, and Coons pick up only 5, and Coons pick up 4 overall?

***************************************

turnout assumption
23 indy
40 dem
37 rep

rep 37
76 (28.12)
17 (6.29)

dem 40
9 (3.6)
87 (34.8)

indie 23
35 (8.05)
46 (10.58)

35 x .60 - 21
46 x .37 - 17.02

or

indie normed 23
50 (11.5)
50 (11.5)

r - 28.12 + 3.6 + 8.05 = 39.77
d - 6.29 + 34.8 + 10.58 = 51.67

normed - 50/50
r - 28.12 + 3.6 + 11.5 = 43.22
d - 6.29 + 34.8 + 11.5 = 52.59

***********************
earlier

rep 37
68 (25.16)
16 (5.92)

dem 40
85 (34)
10 (4)

indie 23
46 (10.58)
37 (8.51)

r - 25.16 + 4 + 8.51 = 37.67
d - 5.92 + 34 + 10.58 = 50.5
early
85-10 coons D
46-37 coons I
68-16 Christine R
total - Coons by 17

********************
other assumptions

rep 29
76 (22.04)
17 (4.93)

dem 47
9 (4.23)
87 (40.89)

indie 24
35 (8.4)
46 (11.04)

22.04+4.23+8.4 = 34.67
4.93+40.89+11.04 = 56.86

***************************************


282 posted on 10/28/2010 8:24:35 PM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: smoothsailing

AP: (”we hope-a-hope-a-hope”)


292 posted on 10/29/2010 1:01:07 AM PDT by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
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To: smoothsailing
Fairleigh Dickinson University-PublicMind

College poll-enough said.

294 posted on 10/29/2010 4:54:07 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: smoothsailing

Could you have put the headlines any bolder?


295 posted on 10/29/2010 4:54:55 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: smoothsailing

I saw her on Hannity last night and was quite impressed. She’s smart, soft-spoken and has a powerful message. Unfortunately, that message is overshadowed by the personal attacks on her.


297 posted on 10/29/2010 5:05:06 AM PDT by jersey117
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