Posted on 11/06/2008 8:08:18 AM PST by outfield
Are you familiar with Moore's Law?
Yeah, but we’re a long way from them being able to render every hair on a person’s head in less time than it would take to film it with a real person, even if Moore turned out to be a pessimist that’s still at least a decade probably closer to 2 away. To replace actors and reporters that’s the speed it needs to be, and that’s pretty darn fast.
Yeah, I’m figuring a decade to be “perfect”. Less to be “good enough”
“Good enough” now speeches and images will be replaced with “perfect” images later.
Look how the 0bama birth certificate kept getting new features every time someone said something (like the impressed seal, the cert number, etc) was missing.
It’s no accident that half a million google hits on image searches of “0bama birth certificate” were ‘disappeared’ between July 14 and July 17.
They’ll probably be able to cheat perfect in a decade. Expect buns, crew cuts and other “low motion” hair styles to come back into vogue because many characters in popular TV shows will start to wear them. That’ll be easier to animate and will speed the transition while another 1 or 2 processing leaps happen to be able to run the processing of the real thing. Of course first they’ll have to figure out how these things (light refraction and movement) happen in the real world, then how to program it, then climb the processing power issue. That’s where the real unpredictability comes in, there’s been plenty of things we thought would be easy to figure out that are still stumping the high-IQ crowd.
Exactly. 0bama has the ultimate “low motion” hair.
I saw a poster of Luke Skywalker (in the Obama-Fairey style) that said "A New Hope". Can't find it online though...
Sports are entertainment. The news is supposed to be factual. They have been caught repeatedly manipulating the visual images we see. Digital fauxtography is fraud.
Dislose to the public the sham that is being pulled. Or else all “news” is false. It isn’t factual. It is fabricated.
That’s okay, Roger Ebert got caught last month reviewing a movie just by watching the first 8 minutes.
I heard that there was a ruse that was used in Russia during a revolution (but I don’t know if that origin is accurate).
It was employed in the “man blown up in a box of dynamite” stunt.
The forces of the explosion “cancel” each other out. But if they misfire (not in synch) the subject will die.
The idea was they could “blow up” the victim in front of the public without really killing him (depending on fate, really).
Haven’t they already started changing advertisements in old movies or at least billboards in some shots of time’s square on tv and the like?
“And he will make a statue talk...”
Disney studios learned how to do this.
You project an image of a face onto a smooth “head”.
They use it in one of their thrill rides (Haunted House) where you can see a talking bust.
PS, there are more than 3 "blue men". There is a Blue Man Group in NYC, one in Vegas, one on the road...
Have you seen the latest video games? Yeah, they're THAT close.
That settles it! Walt Disney is the anti-christ.
Heck they’d do a better job than anybody they have on now. They’re funny and talented, neither of which is a claim you can make about the current anchors.
Yup, have a nice X-Box 360 at the house right now. And huge strides have been made. Huge. But we're still nowhere near technology that will allow the wholesale replacement of human actors. That kind of technology is still at least fifteen to twenty years out.
BTW, I have video production in my background, including early usage of 3D CGI technology. I also have a high-level animator friend at Pixar whom I talk to about such issues.
MM (in TX)
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