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When dollar falls, European exporters count their bruises
LA Times ^ | 17 November 2007 | Geraldine Baum

Posted on 11/17/2007 10:16:45 AM PST by shrinkermd

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To: detch

You watch....there will be a WTO trade complaint with America being told to strengthen its currency...out of “fairness” don’t ya know!


341 posted on 11/27/2007 3:20:12 PM PST by mdmathis6
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To: detch

You watch....there will be a WTO trade complaint with America being told to strengthen its currency...out of “fairness” don’t ya know!


342 posted on 11/27/2007 3:25:22 PM PST by mdmathis6
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Do you really want me to explain what else is included in GDP?

No, I want you to explain why government stated personal income grows at on average 0.9% while officially stated GDP grows at about 3% on average.

343 posted on 11/27/2007 5:42:05 PM PST by AndyJackson
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To: AndyJackson; Mase
No, I want you to explain why government stated personal income grows at on average 0.9% while officially stated GDP grows at about 3% on average.

You realize that personal income doesn't include benefits? Or capital gains? Or probably a dozen other things that I can't find at the moment?

Here is a post that while not directly answering your question, talks about several related issues.

If that doesn't give you enough info to answer your question and you really want more, let me know and I'll try to scrape more info together for you.

344 posted on 11/27/2007 7:42:03 PM PST by Toddsterpatriot (What came first, the bad math or the goldbuggery?)
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To: AndyJackson; Toddsterpatriot
I want you to explain why government stated personal income grows at on average 0.9% while officially stated GDP grows at about 3% on average.

It doesn't.  The BEA invented the PCE for figuring real personal income growth so they can include all consumption prices --not just urban comumer purchases; since '80 it's averaged 1.44%.  My plot with CPI adjustments is useless for anything beyond showing a comparison with the PCE.  The BEA uses the GDP deflator to get real GDP so they can cover prices over the entire economy; the deflator is the broadest inflation measure and it goes far beyond even the PCE.  

That's just what the government does.  The question of why it's doing it is more of a question of what the people want, and what I want is to know how to plan for the changing market place.  I've gotten rich assuming people's incomes are growing.

345 posted on 11/28/2007 3:11:17 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: Toddsterpatriot
You realize that personal income doesn't include benefits?

Another quandry. You say it doesn't. BLS says otherwise.

From http://bea.gov/bea/glossary/glossary_p.htm

Personal income. Income received by persons from all sources. It includes income received from participation in production as well as from government and business transfer payments. It is the sum of compensation of employees (received), supplements to wages and salaries, proprietors' income with inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) and capital consumption adjustment (CCAdj), rental income of persons with CCAdj, personal income receipts on assets, and personal current transfer receipts, less contributions for government social insurance. Related terms: state personal income, local area personal income.

Supplements to wages and salaries. Consists of employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds and employer contributions for government social insurance.

Employer contributions for government social insurance. Contributions consisting of employer payments under the following Federal Government and State and Local government programs: Old-age, survivors, and disability insurance (social security); hospital insurance; unemployment insurance; railroad retirement; pension benefit guaranty; veterans life insurance; publicly administered workers' compensation; military medical insurance and temporary disability insurance.

So it would seem that personal income DOES include everything that individuals gain from the economy. Please tell me again why GDP has been soaring while personal income has been skimming the treetops.

346 posted on 11/28/2007 6:06:18 AM PST by AndyJackson
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To: expat_panama
I've gotten rich assuming people's incomes are growing.

I am glad you have done so well for yourself. Now, ask yourself, is your success because personal income has been growing at .9% per year or because the ability and willingness to borrow has grown at rate commensurate with the growth in household debt, which has unarguably been soaring?

347 posted on 11/28/2007 6:09:58 AM PST by AndyJackson
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To: AndyJackson
So it would seem that personal income DOES include everything that individuals gain from the economy. Please tell me again why GDP has been soaring while personal income has been skimming the treetops.

Fine, give me your source for personal income.

348 posted on 11/28/2007 7:15:04 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (What came first, the bad math or the goldbuggery?)
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To: AndyJackson
...household debt, which has unarguably been soaring...

Only five years ago the average household had $72,300 of debt, and now it's soared to $119,000.  More info here.

349 posted on 11/28/2007 9:32:23 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: AndyJackson
When the economy's books are finally balanced, one finds that this loss in value represents the goods purchased by the government for welfare or other purposes with the money proceeds of the government bonds financed by bank credit expansion.

Did you ever figure out the huge loss that Alan was so worried about? Or did you waste our time by posting a speech you didn't understand?

350 posted on 11/28/2007 11:50:28 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (What came first, the bad math or the goldbuggery?)
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To: Star Traveler

What are you buying that takes twice as many dollars?


351 posted on 11/29/2007 12:46:26 PM PST by kennyboy509 (Ha! I kill me!)
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To: expat_panama; AndyJackson; Toddsterpatriot

Well, I just returned from a 6 week vacation in Europe (where the dollar doesn’t buy sh*t anymore). I didn’t have time to check email and post.

What do you know? While I was out, oil hit 100 (all time high), gold blew though 900 (all time high), the banking system collapsed into the toilet, and Bush, Bernanke and Paulson are pretty much saying we’re in a recession.

I’m batting 1000.

Any questions?

Toddster - how’s that BAC looking now?


352 posted on 01/18/2008 9:06:32 PM PST by dollarbull
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To: AndyJackson
I've gotten rich assuming people's incomes are growing.

"household debt, which has unarguably been soaring?"

Ah, now I follow you, it's some kind of religious hatred of money lending. 

Over the past five years Americans have had no problem with increasing private debt by $6T in order increase their savings by $26T.   It's what's called a $20T increase in "net-worth", and this is what's got fanatical Muslims and protectionists going crazy because their story is that America's wealth creation is by definition, evil.

Go ahead and believe what you want, just try and cut back on the blowing-up-airplanes shtick.

353 posted on 01/19/2008 4:04:13 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: dollarbull; Toddsterpatriot
"oil hit 100 (all time high), gold blew though 900 (all time high), the banking system collapsed into the toilet, and Bush, Bernanke and Paulson are pretty much saying we’re in a recession."

You sound overjoyed --what's bad for America is good for you.  Now, while I'm usually in favor of people finding happiness wherever they can, it just may be that the reason that all this sounds too good to be true may be that it isn't true.

354 posted on 01/19/2008 4:12:37 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: dollarbull
I’m batting 1000.

You predicted those price targets?

Any questions?

Why'd you come back?

Toddster - how’s that BAC looking now?

Cheap. Better than a 7.0% yield.

355 posted on 01/19/2008 6:03:08 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Why are protectionists so bad at math?)
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To: expat_panama
it just may be that the reason that all this sounds too good to be true may be that it isn't true.

what isn't true?
356 posted on 01/22/2008 5:37:18 PM PST by dollarbull
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To: dollarbull
what isn't true?

These parts: "...the banking system collapsed into the toilet, and Bush, Bernanke and Paulson are pretty much saying we’re in a recession."

Sure, this is what we're getting from the lying Democrat press, but they'll say anything to get Hillary elected.  Those of us working for a living are still using the banking system same as before, and by checking the actual statements Bush, Bernanke and Paulson are making --not Hillary's rewrites-- they're constantly saying that we're not in a recession.

Sorry to be the bearer of good news, I understand how much you were counting on a US economic collapse.

357 posted on 01/23/2008 4:00:55 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

Why did Bernanke cut rates an unprecedented .75% this week ?

a) to bail out the banking system
b) to counter the recession
c) because the economy is doing great

You telling me you’re going with “c”?


358 posted on 01/23/2008 9:59:00 PM PST by dollarbull
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To: dollarbull
You said

"Bernanke and Paulson are pretty much saying we’re in a recession."

I said that's not true, and now you want to change the subject.  That's probably a good idea.

359 posted on 01/24/2008 8:38:32 AM PST by expat_panama
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To: expat_panama

You’ll get farther in life if you watch what politicians DO, rather than what they SAY.

The actions of bush (tax rebate), bernanke (big rate cut) and paulson (mortgage bailout) say RECESSION and INFLATION.


360 posted on 01/24/2008 8:41:37 AM PST by dollarbull
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