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Neanderthals in Gene Pool, Study Suggests
NYTimes.com ^ | November 9, 2006 | JOHN NOBLE WILFORD

Posted on 11/09/2006 7:13:31 AM PST by indcons

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To: Vaquero
Here's the real other side of the picture.

Even if you were to accept the most simpleminded account possible of the Haldane dilemma, and the account which favors evolution most heavily, it would still take trillions if not quadrillions of years to get (via evolution) from something like a neanderthal to something like us, and you've only got a few thousand.

41 posted on 11/09/2006 11:33:08 AM PST by tomzz
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To: tomzz

Oh I see....ID and/or Creationism..

Never mind.


42 posted on 11/09/2006 12:34:02 PM PST by Vaquero ("An armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Vaquero

Just modern mathematics. Evolution is incompatable with it.


43 posted on 11/09/2006 12:45:54 PM PST by tomzz
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To: Lijahsbubbe

44 posted on 11/09/2006 12:57:43 PM PST by andy58-in-nh
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To: andy58-in-nh

45 posted on 11/09/2006 1:10:29 PM PST by Lijahsbubbe ("If you try to please everybody, somebody's not going to like it " - Rummy)
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To: tomzz
ah, you have found a shortcut around reality. Your math is flawed and your science is not existant. see you in the funny papers.
46 posted on 11/09/2006 1:43:01 PM PST by Vaquero ("An armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Vaquero
It isn't really even higher math, more like simple arithematic. It goes like this:

Imagine a simplest possible case in which a population of 100,000 individual "ape-like ancestors(TM)" are living in Africa or anywhere else about 10 million years ago which is longer than anybody claims anything remotely like humans have been around, and two of the individuals get a "beneficial mutation(TM)" again assuming such a thing ever happens which is highly doubtful. Suppose also that this beneficial mutation is so good that all 99,998 other individuals immediately fall over dead from jealousy and that the two with the beneficial mutation immediately somehow produce 100,000 kids to entirely replace the herd.

Suppose also that this same thing happens again 20 years later and again 40 years later i.e. that every generation some new "beneficial mutation" gets entirely substituted into the population, which is immensely and wildly in excess of any real-world substitution rate which is possible.

20 Goes into ten million about 500,000 times so that at the end of the 10 million years the most extreme case imaginable would give you 500,000 point mutations, which is like about a half or third of one percent of the genetic difference between us and a neanderthal or a chimpanzee. You'd never get there in the whole history of the Earth.

Trying to claim that multiple "beneficial mutations" spread around at all times won't work since the vast overwhelming bulk of mutations, if not all of them, are harmful or fatal; try to spread more than one mutation completely through a population of animals at one time and the species will die out.

Likewise you'd need a certain population level to ever see a "beneficial mutation" even in theory so that the Gould/Eldridge idea of solving the problem by claiming that all evolutionary change occurs amongst tiny groups of individuals which get walled off somehow or other can't be made to work either.


47 posted on 11/09/2006 2:46:08 PM PST by tomzz
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To: Lijahsbubbe
You're right - it's Gollum! (I can picture Carville jumping up and down watching the election returns - "My presssshhious!!!
48 posted on 11/09/2006 2:52:00 PM PST by andy58-in-nh
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To: indcons
We love the Gieco caveman ads! We have started looking around at people while we are out and we are finding more and more people who resemble cavemen. We spotted 3 in a popular restaurant the other night, one had just ordered the roast duck with mango salsa. Now we know the truth! Neanderthals! LOL!
49 posted on 11/09/2006 3:01:06 PM PST by Ditter
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To: tomzz

ah the diabo-logic of the creationist.....its the clever ones that are the most dangerous. your math might add up but your basic premises are flawed.
Have a great life. I wont answer you anymore.


50 posted on 11/09/2006 3:20:20 PM PST by Vaquero ("An armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: Vaquero
I think the argument neglects the effect of viri moving DNA around between species, and the resultant mutations.

It would be VERY interesting to boil DNA down to the distinctly human elements, and see what resulted - most of our DNA is composed of inserted code.

Not that I propose to try it. But some idiot will, eventually.

51 posted on 11/09/2006 8:00:50 PM PST by patton (Sanctimony frequently reaps its own reward.)
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To: tomzz

Wow, I read the article, and I get the gist of it. But is there an easier read on this? No wonder the Haldane dilemma is not widely understood or discussed. This article never seems to get to the point of the dilema and to reduce that point to numbers in a clear fashion.

Along these lines. Perhaps you can provide me with an easy link or Answer as to why we have 23 pairs while the chimp has 24.

Also,

Does the chimpanzee's genome run afoul of the Haldane dilemma?


52 posted on 11/10/2006 10:39:00 AM PST by StructuredChaos
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To: StructuredChaos
I don't think it needs to be complicated. The 100,000 man total replacement every generation scheme I mentioned which is massively beyond anything possible in the real world wouldn't take you to anything better than an ape with a slightly shorter tail in the 10 million years we supposedly took to evolve from the "ape-like-ancestor(TM)"

That to me is as far as I need to read. Haldane worked out the math for real world scenarios and figured a species like ours could substitute one point mutation totally through the population in about 300 generations for a total of about 1700 since Alley Oop. That's there the "quadrillions of years" phraseology you see comes from. Being an evolutionite himself he also stated that somebody would likely come along and prove him wrong sooner or later, but nobody has.

Evolution is basically FUBAR.

53 posted on 11/10/2006 10:48:46 AM PST by tomzz
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To: Vaquero; tomzz

Vaquero you fail to fairly engage the points made by tomzz.

You improperly discount his position.

What's more is that one does not need to be a mathmatical genius to understand the principal being espoused by tomzz which as been phrased as a "dilema".

tomzz's math may or may not be sound as it may or may not properly account for and reflect the variables in play. However, his premise however is quite sound:

Man decended from creature y, x years ago. The genome of man has z number of differences from y's. Given a mutatin rate of m per generation consisting of g years can we account for the number z.

Forget the math and dilema referred to by tomzz if you will. That said a mathmatical model representing mutations/time more than suggests itself. Surely someone has such a model. Surely someone has accounted for the evolutionary variables at play in such a model. Surely someone has quantified these and other matters pertinent to the line of argument advanced by tomzz.

So do me the favor, and not coincidentally tomzz the courtesy, of a better mathmatical model, or a competing mathmatical model, as such a model must exist either now or as a mathmatical/statistical given (i.e. it exists as it necessarily follows form basic principles of mathmatics, statistics and evolution).



reference


54 posted on 11/10/2006 11:39:09 AM PST by StructuredChaos
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To: Vaquero

It's a new age. Freeper math replaces million man math.


55 posted on 11/10/2006 11:43:19 AM PST by js1138 (The absolute seriousness of someone who is terminally deluded.)
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To: js1138; Vaquero; tomzz

Exactly, my point.

Vaquero, please provide me or tomzz with some alternative freeper mathmagics.


56 posted on 11/10/2006 11:59:25 AM PST by StructuredChaos
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To: 100-Fold_Return
The dims were selected in Davos, Switzerland a few months ago.

Wonder if any Diebold biggies were there?

57 posted on 11/10/2006 1:20:47 PM PST by 4CJ (Annoy a liberal, honour Christians and our gallant Confederate dead)
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To: indcons

A group of scientists is going to try to map the DNA of Neanderthals.

http://www.newscientist.com/channel/being-human/mg19225772.000-blueprint-for-a-neanderthal.html

I imagine when they are finished, they will find that we are extremely closely related, but we shared the last common ancestor about 200,000 years ago.

Neanderthals were pretty cool. But so was Homo Erectus and Archaic Homo Sapien sub-types.


58 posted on 11/10/2006 1:30:42 PM PST by JustDoItAlways
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To: 4CJ
"Wonder if any Diebold biggies were there?"

LOL! Instantly--America now loves the Dickie Chicks

59 posted on 11/11/2006 5:34:24 AM PST by 100-Fold_Return (In Prisons Tattletales Are the Same as Child-Molesters...hmm)
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To: indcons

Well, the first results from the Neanderthal DNA study are already in.

Looks like there are sufficient differences that the common ancestor was about 600,000 years ago. This would mean that Neanderthals are more distant cousins that we thought.

http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn10581-neanderthals-have-genome-chunk-sequenced.html


60 posted on 11/15/2006 10:46:00 AM PST by JustDoItAlways
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