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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: jeffers
Did I miss any?

Surely there couldn't have been a s-l-o-w-e-r hurricane than Wilma on record.

321 posted on 10/22/2005 7:18:59 PM PDT by exhaustedmomma (Calling illegal alien an undocumented immigrant is like calling a burglar an uninvited house guest)
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To: jeffers
Did I miss any?

Smallest eye? Only 2 nm at one point.

322 posted on 10/22/2005 7:23:42 PM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: exhaustedmomma

There was a storm named Elena that stalled in the Gulf off the west coast of Florida, but I don't know for how long.


323 posted on 10/22/2005 7:23:44 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: exhaustedmomma

Wilma ain't no hurricane. She's a pokeycane.


324 posted on 10/22/2005 7:26:05 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: dawn53

http://www2.sptimes.com/weather/HG.4.html

This says three days stalled...but it was off coast when it stalled, so it just deluged the area, and caused tidal surge and erosion.


325 posted on 10/22/2005 7:28:17 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: SamAdams76
Gloria Gaynor, Turn the Beat Around

Sister Sledge - We Are Family

Barry Manilow - Copacabana

Santana - Evil Ways

326 posted on 10/22/2005 7:28:39 PM PDT by STARWISE (Able Danger: DISABLED??)
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To: dawn53

What about Ophelia?


327 posted on 10/22/2005 7:30:12 PM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: RDTF
Any of the Flintstones begin with a 'B'? (I know, It's reserved for Bubba but humor me)

Don't think any of the Flintstones qualify, but Bubba had a couple of interns named Bred. Maybe that will help.

328 posted on 10/22/2005 7:31:06 PM PDT by HorsePlayer (A stupid red stater with an attitude.)
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To: NautiNurse
LOL, hubby just said the same thing.

It's kinda weird that she's just sittin'...almost doing nothing but...

..and yet within 48 hours (according to the prognosticators)...she will be in, through and outta Florida and working her way up the eastern seaboard.

329 posted on 10/22/2005 7:32:48 PM PDT by Guenevere (I am not a George Clooney fan.)
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To: Guenevere

Last night, she was sitting doing nothing. Today, she's been on the move. The center is now off the coast and over the GOM.


330 posted on 10/22/2005 7:36:49 PM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: Guenevere

I noticed in the latest loop that she seems to be intensifying...at least I'm starting to see more read in the circulation. But I can't figure out how it's supposed to be over here and on the east coast of Florida by Monday.
Time will tell.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-ir4-loop.html


331 posted on 10/22/2005 7:37:47 PM PDT by dawn53
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To: exhaustedmomma; dawn53

Hurricane Frances last year was definitely a pokeycane. She stalled long enough over Stuart FL, rescue crews had time to get out during the eye and rescue folks where roofs had collapsed. Frances wasn't quite as slow as Wilma.


332 posted on 10/22/2005 7:37:51 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: AbsoluteGrace
:-)

Just finished the first part of Graces costume...

333 posted on 10/22/2005 7:39:13 PM PDT by abner (Looking for a new tagline- Next outrage please!- Got it! PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS LOST IN THE USA!)
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To: dawn53

Yup. The center is now over water, and she'll be gaining strength overnight. She's refueling for her trip to Florida. I expect her to be Cat 3 again by midday tomorrow.


334 posted on 10/22/2005 7:40:24 PM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: not-alone

It's unbelievable in one way, I can't imagine having one park overhead for that long, but predictable in another.

When they pass from the sub-tropics, where the prevailing winds are east to west, into the temperate zone, where the prevailing winds reverse, they often sit, undecided, until something comes along to give them a push and get them moving again. Stalls at or near the furthest west point in their track are a regular occurrance, to the detriment of anyone who is nearby when it happens.


335 posted on 10/22/2005 7:40:52 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: dawn53

Good catch. Wilma certainly has increased convection in the last frames. Yikes.


336 posted on 10/22/2005 7:41:08 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: NautiNurse

"hmmmm...I think we may need some more comforting tunes here tonight."




Sweet Hour of Prayer



337 posted on 10/22/2005 7:43:09 PM PDT by Cedar
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To: NautiNurse
She's a pokeycane.

LOL!!
Hate say it, but Florida is becoming better known as, Flurricane.

338 posted on 10/22/2005 7:44:10 PM PDT by exhaustedmomma (Calling illegal alien an undocumented immigrant is like calling a burglar an uninvited house guest)
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To: laz
Hurricane Wilma Advisory Number 31

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on October 22, 2005

 
at 11 PM EDT...0300z...a Hurricane Warning is in effect for all of
the Florida Keys...including the Dry Tortugas and Florida Bay.  A
Hurricane Warning is also now in effect along the Florida West
Coast from Longboat Key southward...and along the Florida East
Coast from Jupiter Inlet southward...including Lake Okeechobee.

 
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from San Felipe to Chetumal on
the Yucatan Peninsula...including Cozumel and the nearby islands.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect on
the Yucatan Peninsula from west of San Felipe to celestun.

 
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cuba provinces of
Ciudad de la Habana...la Habana...and Pinar del Rio.    A Tropical
Storm Warning is in effect for the Isle of Youth.  A Hurricane
Watch remains in effect for the province of Matanzas.

 
At 11 PM EDT...a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the northwestern
Bahamas...including the Abacos...Andros Island...Berry Islands...
Bimini...Eleuthera...Grand Bahama Island...and New Providence.

 
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect along the Florida East Coast
north of Jupiter Inlet to Titusville.  Hurricane warnings will
likely be required for this area Sunday morning.

 
At 11 PM EDT...a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect along the
Florida West Coast north of Longboat Key to Steinhatchee river.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect along the East Coast of
Florida from north of Titusville northward to Fernandina Beach.

 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours.  Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.  A
Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within
the watch area...generally within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning
means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours.  A tropical storm watch
means that tropical storm conditions are possible within
the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located
near latitude 21.8 north...longitude  86.9 west or about 50
miles... 85 km north of Cancun Mexico.  This is also about  375
miles... 605 km...west-southwest of Key West Florida.

 
Wilma is moving toward the north near  3 mph... 6 km/hr.  A turn
toward the northeast at a faster forward speed is expected on
Sunday.  This motion should bring the center away from the Yucatan
Peninsula tonight and Sunday morning.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph...160 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Wilma is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...
and Wilma could again become a major hurricane on Sunday.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  70 miles...110 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 200 miles...325 km.  An automated station at the Isla mujeres
Mexico recently reported sustained winds of 53 mph... 86 km/hr...
with a gust to 69 mph... 111 km/hr.

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  959 mb...28.32 inches.

 
Storm surge flooding of 8 to 13 ft above normal tide levels is
possible along the southwest Florida coast and near and to the
south of where the center of Wilma makes landfall.  Storm surge
flooding of 5 to 8 ft above normal is possible in the Florida Keys
and Florida Bay...as well as in Lake Okeechobee.  Storm surge
flooding along the Yucatan Peninsula and the nearby islands should
subside as Wilma moves away.

Wilma is expected to produce additional rainfall accumulations of 10
to 15 inches through Sunday across portions of western Cuba and the
Yucatan Peninsula... with isolated maximum storm total amounts
approaching 50 inches.  Rainfall across southern Florida including
the Keys through Tuesday is expected to be 4 to 8 inches... with
isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible.

 
Large swells generated by Wilma will continue to propagate into the
eastern Gulf of Mexico.  These swells could affect portions of the
northern Gulf Coast tonight and Sunday.

 
Isolated tornadoes are possible over the Florida Peninsula and the
Florida Keys during the next couple of days.

 

Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...21.8 N... 86.9 W.  Movement
toward...north near  3 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...100 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 959 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1 am CDT followed by the next
complete advisory at 4 am CDT.

 
Forecaster Beven

339 posted on 10/22/2005 7:50:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: sheikdetailfeather

I swear these are the longest NHC advisories in their history.


340 posted on 10/22/2005 7:51:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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