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Part VI: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1490045/posts |
Posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse
I've been in Texas for 25 years, but I was going to school at Southern Illinois University at Carbondale in 1978. It took me 24 hours to get from Chicago to Carbondale by train at the end of Christmas break. I took a cab from the train station to the dorm and it started to snow in Carbondale on the ride. Didn't stop for the next three days. I remember the Great Blizzard of 1978 very, very well.
It was a helluva lot of fun once I was in C'dale, but that train trip and the night in the train station in Homewood with the temperature -25 was from hell.
The Flagship
Dallas
Yeah, living on Tabacco road mixes me up sometimes.
If what you are saying is true, she is currently headed directly for Port Lavaca, Victoria, and San Antonio. That puts roughly Mobile Alabama/Katrina style surge into Galveston Bay.
You are dead on the money again my friend.
Outer Eyewall is now closed and shrinking, inner eyewall is falling apart. Pressure up slightly again as expected, winds still holding at 120-125 Kts.
391 URNT12 KNHC 230159 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 23/01:44:40Z B. 26 deg 03 min N 090 deg 07 min W C. 700 mb 2381 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 227 deg 109 kt G. 136 deg 017 nm H. 917 mb I. 12 C/ 3015 m J. 17 C/ 3044 m K. 16 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. CO18-32 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF309 2018A RITA OB 11 MAX FL WIND 123 KT NE QUAD 00:04:20 Z INNER EYEWALL RAGGED AND OPEN S-E
000 URNT12 KNHC 230159 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 23/01:44:40Z B. 26 deg 03 min N 090 deg 07 min W C. 700 mb 2381 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 227 deg 109 kt G. 136 deg 017 nm H. 917 mb I. 12 C/ 3015 m J. 17 C/ 3044 m K. 16 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. CO18-32 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF309 2018A RITA OB 11 MAX FL WIND 123 KT NE QUAD 00:04:20 Z INNER EYEWALL RAGGED AND OPEN S-E
Other major changes -
- Movement 1 minute north 12 minutes west (and 3 minutes north 10 minutes west from the AF306 flight)
- Concentric eyes 18 nm and 32 nm wide (was 17 mn and 32 mn)
- Outer eyewall closed (was open NW), inner eyewall open south-to-east (was open southeast-to-northeast)
Bastardi is sticking to his guns about Rita hitting Galveston/Houston head-on. He's absolutely certain.
I used to live just down the way from you at Evergreen and Chelsea in Bellaire.
BTW, I will go see Skra Brae before I die.
<< I remember the Great Blizzard of 1978 very, very well. >>
LOL!! I was 14 years old (Civil Air Patrol), pulling people out of stranded Buses on I-69 using a snowmobile with 3 tobagons tied in series. Next day I was doing Drug deliveries when we hit a Triumph Tr-7 that was WHITE, and buried in a snowdrift...
Big Chevy truck with high-flotation tires sailed about 30 feet through the air and landed upright!!
18 seconds; 18 lousy seconds (but I threw in the comparsion to the last AF309 pass)
Don't know if I'd wait, many places from Victoria south were out today. I'm sure some were refilled, but deliver is biggest issue at the moment.
I remember you posting that some weeks ago...keep it up; sounds like good advice.
... And Cantore is in Houston.
"The entire process takes 12-18 hours. The 5AM NHC advisory noted the beginnings of it, so it likely began at 4AM today. Recon still shows concentric eyewalls but the inner eyewall is almost toast. The cycle will likely be completed by midnight or so."
So does that mean that it could strengthen back to a 5 by landfall?
Oh, I think you're definitely safe wind-wise that far up, and as long as she doesn't come up and sit over your area, you probably won't flood either. Good luck and God bless!
THE FLAGSHIP used to be THE HOTEL to stay at in Galveston many moons ago. I remember it was constructed over the sea wall.
hurricane season
in the gulf
in the strike zone
in the cone
24 hour warning
stay list
get out list
after the storm list:')
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