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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: Strategerist

Do you have a landfall position for the Galveston storm?


2,421 posted on 09/21/2005 3:58:16 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: AliVeritas
I have been watching KHOU and a mayor--Galveston ?-had a news conference.
2,422 posted on 09/21/2005 3:58:19 PM PDT by MamaB (mom to an angel)
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To: rwfromkansas
"Is this not the case? Is there a pool of cooler water right before landfall? "

I saw a map yesterday that showed a temperature of 85 degrees at the coast and that temperature goes way out into the GOM. The hurricane, at that time, was in 90 degree waters, way out in the GOM.

2,423 posted on 09/21/2005 3:58:31 PM PDT by blam (Mobile, Alabama)
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To: Dog Gone

I have been reading up on the history of Camille and almost hate to post one of the items from this '61 storm of similar size and impact...but it needs to be said.

Camille had a whole flock of tornados crossing all the Texas area inland from the coast that accompanied it whole storm width. That occuring while the storm passes with them popping up in numbers to large for any ample warning, all need to get in very secure buildings and shelters as even if they are far from the Gulf itself, and on high ground from storm serge, AND off the direct path of the eye, this is an important issue. I read one account of over 75 spawned as Camille came through.

I hope that I am an alarmist, but I hate to research without reporting.


2,424 posted on 09/21/2005 3:58:58 PM PDT by KC Burke (Men of intemperate minds can never be free....)
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To: blam

Temps along the Texas coast are between 85.7 and 87.6 degrees. Enough to hold a CAT 4.


2,425 posted on 09/21/2005 3:59:55 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache ("Scientology is dangerous stuff,it's like forming a religion based around Johnny Quest and Haji.")
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To: Strategerist
Thanks (I think) :-)

Plugging in extremes for the seconds, that gives 11 to 13 miles distance at 282 to 290 degrees bearing. If the times were right, she just slowed down a lot.

2,426 posted on 09/21/2005 4:00:22 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: NautiNurse
Are you going to get the dog?

I hope not. My wife was interrupted by something and had to call back which gave me time to think about it.

I told her to tell the co-worker that I'm in a very precarious situation and an additional dog would make it even more dangerous for me and her dog.

To make things worse, hospital workers are just announcing that they aren't coming in, period. They're abandoning their jobs and leaving tonight or tomorrow morning.

I can see where this is heading. My wife is going to be at the hospital 24 hours a day over the weekend trying to keep patients alive, and I'll be here trying to defend a house and some pets. We won't be able to communicate. She won't know whether I'm dead or vice versa. Actually, I know she'd be fine there, but it's going to be more dicey here.

This is really shaping up to be the crappiest weekend of my entire life, finally eclipsing my high school prom, lol.

2,427 posted on 09/21/2005 4:00:43 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: CedarDave

The exact center of the 1900 storm seems to have passed between Red Fish Cove and Terramar Beach.


2,428 posted on 09/21/2005 4:00:54 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: CedarDave

Pointing his finger.."YOU ARE STUCK ON STUPID!" (Gen. Honore)


2,429 posted on 09/21/2005 4:01:02 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (If you still vote Democrat, you're still stuck on stupid!)
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To: All

Just saw breaking news on the Corpus Christi Caller Times website that mandatory evacuations will be called there this evening.


2,430 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:08 PM PDT by watchwoman ((former Corpus resident))
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To: sissyjane

If the 82nd feels about him anything like the 101st does...he better hope they're not..:)


2,431 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:20 PM PDT by SE Mom (God Bless those who serve..)
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To: BurbankKarl
He is a looney left coast liberal...I have been wondering why he is my friend...

I assume from your screen name you live in Burbank. I lived there from '87 to 2002, near Magnolia and Buena Vista. From 2002 to 2004, I lived in Glendale. Then I moved to Miami. I think I prefer worrying about the Big One than these hurricanes.

2,432 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:26 PM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: Ditter
I love Santa Fe for the ambiance, food, architecture and the galleries. I just don't let the locals get to me.
2,433 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:27 PM PDT by colorado tanker (The People Have Spoken)
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To: mewzilla
29.531 inches of mercury = 1000 millibars = 1 bar = normal atmospheric pressure.
2,434 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:28 PM PDT by John Jamieson (Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
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To: NautiNurse
Whoa! Cat 5 now? W just can't catch a break.

Will be up and freeping for 'landfall'.

2,435 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:31 PM PDT by newzjunkey (CA: Stop union theft for political agendas: YES on Prop 75!)
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To: rwfromkansas

She has actually been going over cooler water left from Katrina most of the day... still warm, but 'cooler' than the rest of the GOM. She's into some very warm stuff now though.

https://128.160.23.54/products/K10/caribbeank10.gif

Heat potential is lower nearer the TX coast, I think this has a lot to do with water depth and heat below the surface. If she is moving fast, it won't matter too much. She will be over very high heat potential for another 24 hours... this is why I think we see winds top around 180-190mph.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2005263go.jpg

Anomalies are warmer than normal at the TX coast.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/products/NCODA/US058VMET-GIFwxg.NCODA.glbl_sstanomaly.gif

Potential is there, and maybe even possible that we see strengthening right near the coast.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/atlpot.png


2,436 posted on 09/21/2005 4:02:52 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: All

Something we must all keep in mind. Rita is growing stronger now, but it will start to weaken again. But there is a chance that this is happening a little too soon. She will have a chance to begin to strengthen again like this before making landfall.


2,437 posted on 09/21/2005 4:03:00 PM PDT by maquiladora
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To: Ditter

GPS dropsonde measured a 180KNT wind at 908MB on 050921/2000. That's a sustained wind of 207 MPH


2,438 posted on 09/21/2005 4:03:33 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: truthandlife

If you get desperate, please start calling area churches and YMCA's in the cities you're considering fleeing to...Some will very likely be opening as emergency shelters. Also, call the Red Cross and ask for shelter referral. We are leaving Houston in the morning.


2,439 posted on 09/21/2005 4:03:45 PM PDT by lsee
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To: No Blue States; mware
I think some were never fixed from Katrina.
Maybe this was this one?

Ivan killed 42003. I miss 42003.

2,440 posted on 09/21/2005 4:04:00 PM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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