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Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: All

yall see this?http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1444987/posts Can you think of a better time to cross? I hope the border patrol brings in help.


441 posted on 07/17/2005 5:32:35 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Pebcak

I couldn't quite figure out a building high, as opposed to an existing high, could exert enough influence to take us completely out of the woods. Still remains to be seen.


442 posted on 07/17/2005 5:33:05 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: No Blue States

Who's gonna put her on Ebay?


443 posted on 07/17/2005 5:33:43 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: No Blue States; NautiNurse

Thanks! So the distance between each horizontal degree of latitude is always the same - 69miles or 111km - but the distance between each vertical degree of longitude decreases the further from the equator you get. Right?


444 posted on 07/17/2005 5:44:25 PM PDT by Miztiki (Pearland, TX (just southeast of Houston))
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To: Dog Gone
about 3,000 in Cozumel tonight

Ouch. At least she's looking ragged again just now.

445 posted on 07/17/2005 5:50:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Dog Gone
Pressure up a notch.


494 
URNT12 KNHC 180034
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/00:14:10Z
B. 19 deg 33 min N
  085 deg 50 min W
C. 700 mb 2707 m
D. 70  kt
E. 225 deg 026 nm
F. 303 deg 077 kt
G. 215 deg 008 nm
H.         952 mb
I.  15 C/ 3049 m
J.  17 C/ 3028 m
K.  13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C12
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1  nm
P. AF302 1405A EMILY        OB 16
MAX FL WIND 110 KT NW QUAD 23:05:30 Z
MAX FL TEMP 22 C, 215 / 8NM



446 posted on 07/17/2005 5:55:32 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Just make this entirely a Mexican storm, and I'll buy you a cup of coffee when we meet.


447 posted on 07/17/2005 5:58:11 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone

Deal.


448 posted on 07/17/2005 5:59:02 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Cloud tops are super cold right near the center, they keep firing away. Kind of odd...


449 posted on 07/17/2005 6:30:14 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

hmm, but pressure keeps going up..

765
URNT12 KNHC 180147
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/01:35:00Z
B. 19 deg 44 min N
086 deg 10 min W
C. 700 mb 2715 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 054 deg 118 kt
G. 290 deg 015 nm
H. 955 mb
I. 7 C/ 3038 m
J. 16 C/ 3053 m
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C12
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 1405A EMILY OB 24
MAX FL WIND 134 KT NE QUAD 00:18:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 23 C 269 / 6 NM FROM FL CNTR


450 posted on 07/17/2005 6:49:43 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

You are probably tired of hearing this but "what does that mean"?


451 posted on 07/17/2005 7:06:11 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Miztiki

Yes, each degree of latitude is 60 nautical miles, (exactly, on a Mercator projection), one minute of latitude is one nautical mile. Longitude is the same only on the equator, but decreases to 0 at the poles, 90 degrees north or south. That's why you always measure distance with the lat lines. 360 degrees to round the globe.


452 posted on 07/17/2005 7:09:37 PM PDT by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: CindyDawg

hehe

The more they explain this stuff to us, the more we will be able to help answer questions when the next one comes around, right?

So if you look at it that way, we are doing them a big favor. :-)


453 posted on 07/17/2005 7:10:50 PM PDT by Miztiki (Pearland, TX (just southeast of Houston))
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To: CindyDawg
Pressure keeps going up... usually means the storm is weakening. But, the satellite images seem to say otherwise. This recon shows a closed eye though, which the earlier were failing to see... I would guess that it is indeed trying to strengthen again now based on satellite... the 137kt reading still supports a cat4, but it's a bit old. I would guess they are heading back into the NE quadrant of the storm now though.

The whole central dense overcast seems to be re-organizing, I'm not completely sure what she is doing... exhibiting some odd behavior.
454 posted on 07/17/2005 7:11:52 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Miztiki

:')


455 posted on 07/17/2005 7:13:42 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: nwctwx

Emily sure seems to have a mind of her own. Very strange.


456 posted on 07/17/2005 7:15:01 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: CindyDawg

https://128.160.23.54/products/K10/caribbeank10.gif
(accept the certificates, they are safe)

The water she is sitting over is about 90F, so it is likely why the clouds are exploding... if she stays over the water for long enough, she is very likely to strengthen a bit. We saw something fairly similar with Dennis near Cuba, and Charley near FL.


457 posted on 07/17/2005 7:15:08 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: CindyDawg

Vacationing and asking for directions to SPI? :')


458 posted on 07/17/2005 7:15:57 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: nomorelurker

The place to be there would be on the Port Aransas Jetty but these occurences with storm tides dissipate as quickly as they arrive. You could have a window of today through Tuesday morning to catch the tide spawn. After that it back to the summer pattern of heat and little activity. The Port Aransas Jetty can be very amazing with redfish spawns as well. I've been there when you could see the water turn reddish bronze with bulls. Throw large silver and green striped spoons (1 oz or larger) on the channel side and just let it drift. They will pick it up on the drift. You usually have to make these lures from plain silver spoons and some green and/or red decal backing they sell at tackle shops. Good luck.


459 posted on 07/17/2005 7:16:58 PM PDT by kinghorse
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To: dc-zoo

There appears to be a bit of an upper level low in the GOM trying to shear her a bit... not sure why it's having so much difficulty though, the shear is relatively weak (but it is fanning out right over top of the system).

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html


460 posted on 07/17/2005 7:17:48 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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