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Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part II)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 16 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/16/2005 1:33:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: dc-zoo

I don't know why, but I'm getting a double image at that link. It's kind of cool because I can see the previous and the current computer models. They have most definately moved north.


381 posted on 07/17/2005 3:05:20 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: RGVTx

big north jump the past hr...


382 posted on 07/17/2005 3:07:55 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Miztiki

Miztiki, wet tobacco will take care of the stinging.


383 posted on 07/17/2005 3:07:59 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: dc-zoo

I hope the folks on South Padre are leaving now. It's not a big town and they have time if they leave tonight.


384 posted on 07/17/2005 3:09:19 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: RGVTx

Surprisingly the models are running so close together that it's hard to pick them out.


385 posted on 07/17/2005 3:11:25 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: Dog Gone

Exactly S. Padre folks should get ready to book it.


386 posted on 07/17/2005 3:15:29 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: Dog Gone

The local news has been saying SPI would be evacuating. I think there was a 5pm deadline for today. After the deadline, no one gets on the island without a permit. They've issued permits for any island resident that wants them.


387 posted on 07/17/2005 3:17:27 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: Dog Gone
PI evacuation called off Saturday, July 16, 2005 Updated: 09:46 AM SOUTH PADRE ISLAND -- Residents of South Padre Island are relieved as Hurricane Emily moves away from the Valley. SOUTH PADRE ISLAND -- On Friday, the Valley began to brace for a direct hit from Hurricane Emily, but as of Saturday, the National Weather service predicted Hurricane Emily could divert 60 to 70 miles south of Brownsville. Residents in and around South Padre Island breathed a sigh of relief Saturday when they learned the Valley may not be a target. However, those living in the Valley's many RV parks aren't taking any chances. For now, city leaders say there's no chance of an evacuation and no reason to be overly alarmed. But that doesn't mean residents should not prepare. Texas parks officers urged any residents considering evacuating to leave the park before the intense winds and flooding water hits.
388 posted on 07/17/2005 3:18:13 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: RGVTx

Huh. Are they or not? We are getting mixed info. I was telling my son and husband (who is putting up the shutters) that Emily jogging more north. My son checked the NWS and came back and told me the path hadn't changed.


389 posted on 07/17/2005 3:20:50 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: RGVTx

That was the lastest I could find from channel 5s stotm warning.


390 posted on 07/17/2005 3:23:17 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg

keep in mind we are ahead of any info out there..even their local NWS..which takes a few hours to look over the data we are discussing "live" here


391 posted on 07/17/2005 3:24:43 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: Miztiki
Ya know, snow really wasn't all that bad...

Something like that sounds kinda nice right now.....have a peek at my profile page, which gives the current temp.

At least there's no humidity today!

392 posted on 07/17/2005 3:26:01 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (Like a fool, I looked up from 'neath the tree as the bird chirped...Vogelspooren)
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To: jslade

I didn't say it wouldn't restrengthen... I was saying that it will likely be in a much weakened state if it spends a lot of time over the Yucatan.


393 posted on 07/17/2005 3:26:14 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse

32 foot waves now. They said on the weather channel that the Hilton on Cancun isn't affected unless they have 30 foot waves and they are using their ballroom as an evacuation center.


394 posted on 07/17/2005 3:26:18 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: dc-zoo

Yep, the models are tightening up. If you think it's hard to read on your screen, imagine viewing it with double blurred vision. Maybe it's time for me to run scan disk and defrag.


395 posted on 07/17/2005 3:27:09 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: shield
Will emmy hit northern mexico or southern texas?

I've continued to go with S. TX all along, but I'm not so sure anymore... Most things have trended how I thuoght they would though. It'll be close. ;-)

396 posted on 07/17/2005 3:31:12 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx
It sure looks to me like she is going to hit in Texas and not Mexico...

I'm also wondering if the eye is going to skirt the edge of Yucatan and not actually hit land. At the very least it's going to be close

IF the eye misses the tip of the peninsula will she still weaken with some of her mass over land or strengthen more as the warm waters of the gulf kick in???

397 posted on 07/17/2005 3:36:26 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: CindyDawg

Darn it, I missed the local report on SPI due to a phone call. Maybe they delayed the evac of SPI.


398 posted on 07/17/2005 3:40:25 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: RGVTx

Nothing mSM is that reliable. I find out much more and faster about everything here on FR than I have EVER found out on TV.


399 posted on 07/17/2005 3:43:49 PM PDT by sfimom ('Mommy why did they kill her cause she couldn't talk?' (my daughter age8))
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To: nwctwx

If it hits N Mexico it could be the best run of bull redfish through San Luis Pass TX since Gilbert did his thing in 88. We caught and caught and caught those brutes as that one approached. The weather was beautiful but the sea levels rose about 4-5 ft gently innundating Treasure Island with knee deep water. The reds instinctively go bonkers when this happens because their eggs get pushed up the pass into the (newly created) marshes where they stay attached to submerged vegetation until they hatch. It was an epic time along the upper TX coast.

Mexico please keep the wind. We'll take a little water.


400 posted on 07/17/2005 3:44:36 PM PDT by kinghorse
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