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Hurricane Dennis (Live Thread, Part III)
NHC-NOAA ^ | 9 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/08/2005 9:16:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: nwctwx

Forgot the links.

Base site:
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/paulradar.pl?BYX

Image Link:
http://weather.cod.edu/nexrad/floater/BYX/BYX.TOPS.gif


41 posted on 07/08/2005 9:53:13 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Letitring

Nighters!


42 posted on 07/08/2005 9:53:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Jrabbit

Tornado warning has expired. I just watch the cats' ears to know if I need to bolt for safety.


43 posted on 07/08/2005 9:55:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: nwctwx

That is a way cool view. Is that a snap or will it update when the page is refreshed?


44 posted on 07/08/2005 9:56:59 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Stay safe down there - around here the weather would bore you to death. Cold, and rainy today.


45 posted on 07/08/2005 9:57:01 PM PDT by datura (Molon Labe)
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To: NautiNurse; Flyer

Don't forget to click "auto refresh" to keep it current.


46 posted on 07/08/2005 9:57:16 PM PDT by STARWISE ( You get the govt. you deserve. CALL YOUR CONGRESS CRITTERS OFTEN -U.S. CONGRESS: 1-877-762-8762)
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To: NautiNurse

It will update.


47 posted on 07/08/2005 9:57:40 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse

Missed your question 'cause I was busy reading your mind ;)
Boy .. you're getting some weather now, nauti.


48 posted on 07/08/2005 9:58:13 PM PDT by STARWISE ( You get the govt. you deserve. CALL YOUR CONGRESS CRITTERS OFTEN -U.S. CONGRESS: 1-877-762-8762)
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To: All

Convection seems to be firing quite well over Cuba just south of the eye now. This might be a sign that the southerly inflow is getting organized. I would expect that area to expand and begin to wrap around the center again within the next few hours.


49 posted on 07/08/2005 9:59:10 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: datura
We had a beautiful day up until this afternoon. These storms
suck the air to crystal clear beyond the perimeter of the storm. Then the outer bands start moving in, and the rest is history in the making.
50 posted on 07/08/2005 9:59:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: nwctwx; All

Do you know what the deal is with the red box as opposed to the black tornador warning boxes on that NOAA site?


51 posted on 07/08/2005 9:59:44 PM PDT by STARWISE ( You get the govt. you deserve. CALL YOUR CONGRESS CRITTERS OFTEN -U.S. CONGRESS: 1-877-762-8762)
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To: STARWISE

A FReeper said there was a tornado in the Miami area earlier.


52 posted on 07/08/2005 10:01:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Aggie Mama
The worst part is, someone has to get hit. =(

If anyone had to be hit, please let it be Fidel.

53 posted on 07/08/2005 10:01:36 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: All

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kbyx.shtml

Looks like a new eye-wall is forming around the old one. This could be the beginning of an eye-wall replacement cycle. If this is happening already, the storm will likely start strengthening rapidly rather quickly.


54 posted on 07/08/2005 10:01:53 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx
Hurricane Dennis Intermediate Advisory Number 18a

Statement as of 1:00 am EDT on July 09, 2005

 
...Eye of Dennis moves over the Florida Straits after crossing
Havana...

 
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Cuba for the provinces of la
Habana...Ciudad de la Habana...Matanzas...Villa Clara...
Cienfuegos...Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...Las
Tunas...Granma...Santiago de Cuba...Holguin and Guantanamo.  A
Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Isle of Youth and the
province of Pinar del Rio.  A large portion of the warning area may
be discontinued soon.

 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the lower Florida Keys from the
Seven Mile Bridge westward to the Dry Tortugas. A Tropical Storm
Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect for the remainder of
the Florida Keys...east of the Seven Mile Bridge to Ocean Reef and
Florida Bay.

 
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for portions of the northeastern
Gulf Coast from the Steinhatchee river westward to the mouth of the
Pearl River.  Hurricane warnings will likely be required for
portions of this area early today.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the Florida West
Coast from Anclote Key southward...and along the Florida East Coast
from Golden Beach southward.

 
A tropical storm watch is in effect for the southeastern Louisiana
coast west of the mouth of the Pearl River to Grand Isle...
including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect along the Florida West
Coast from north of Anclote Key northward to east of the
Steinhatchee river.

 
A hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning means that hurricane or
tropical storm conditions...respectively...are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane
Warning area.  A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that
hurricane or tropical storm conditions...respectively...are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean Sea...the eastern
Gulf of Mexico...and Florida should monitor the progress of Dennis.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 1 am EDT...0500z...the eye of Hurricane Dennis was located by the
Key West radar near latitude 23.3 north...longitude  82.3 west just
north of the city of Havana or about about 95 miles...150 km...
south-southwest of Key West Florida.

 
Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph...22 km/hr... and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
This motion should move Dennis away from Cuba and bring the center
to the southeastern Gulf of Mexico today.

 
Maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph...175 km/hr...with
higher gusts.  Dennis is a category two hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale.  Dennis is expected to re-intensify into a
major hurricane as it moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  65 miles...100 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 175 miles...280 km.  

 
Estimated minimum central pressure is  962 mb...28.41 inches.

 
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches across the central and southern Florida Peninsula...and the
Florida Keys.  Additional rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are
expected over Cuba and Cayman Islands...with isolated maximum storm
total amounts of 15 inches possible.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

 
Storm surge flooding of 5 to 10 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...are still possible
in areas of onshore winds along the south-central coast of Cuba.
Higher values of storm will be possible in bays and inlets.  A
storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is possible in the lower Florida Keys. A
storm surge of 4 to 7 feet is possible along the southwest coast of
Florida today.

 
Isolated tornadoes will be possible over central and southern
Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys today.

 
Repeating the 1 am EDT position...23.3 N... 82.3 W.  Movement
toward...northwest near 14 mph.  Maximum sustained winds...110 mph. 
Minimum central pressure... 962 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 3 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am
EDT.

 
Forecaster Avila

55 posted on 07/08/2005 10:04:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
This came from the Miami Hearld.

But authorities remained most concerned about Havana, home to 2.2 million of the nation's 11 million residents and a capital lined with hundreds of turn-of-the-20th century buildings already crumbling from old age and poor maintenance and unlikely to withstand the storm's full force.

''I don't even know why I'm doing this,'' one man in Havana's Playa neighborhood told The Herald after he tried to secure the doors and windows of his apartment. ``If it passes right over us, no amount of tape will hold these windows.''

Officials also worried that the 100,000 crudely constructed housing units on the outskirts of Havana could easily collapse under extreme weather, and that an ocean surge known in Havana as an ''invasion'' could again flood neighborhoods closest to the shore.

Those poor people. You are right, we probably will never see the full damage, because that egomaniac castro, probably wants to say how his communist Cuba survived a category 4 hurricane intact.

56 posted on 07/08/2005 10:05:40 PM PDT by Dane ( anyone who believes hillary would do something to stop illegal immigration is believing gibberish)
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To: nwctwx
Can definitely see the center of circulation pulling together in this IR loop
57 posted on 07/08/2005 10:11:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: STARWISE

Not sure on that.


58 posted on 07/08/2005 10:11:49 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse
For Archive:


59 posted on 07/08/2005 10:12:41 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: NautiNurse

It's coming back fast. Not good news.


60 posted on 07/08/2005 10:13:53 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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