Threat Matrix: Daily Terror Threat

I see we have not reached any further consensus on this crucial issue! Odds remain 50/50.

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50-50 chance al-Qaida has nukes, says report WorldNetDaily.com
May 15, 2005

Posted on 05/16/2005 4:21:07 AM EDT by JohnHuang2

WASHINGTON – There's a 50-50 chance al-Qaida already has nuclear weapons, says a top intelligence analyst based on an analysis of the findings and the methodology of the U.S. WMD Commission.

Lt. Col. Joseph C. Myers, an infantry and foreign area officer who has served at U.S. Southern Command and as the chief of the South America Division at the Defense Intelligence Agency, writes in the current issue of Joseph Farah's G2 Bulletin that he was alarmed after analyzing the final report of the Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United States Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction.

Myers writes that the report "not only indicates that the state of our knowledge is worse than previously understood; but reading the commission’s own evaluation of the intelligence analysis, information and circumstances in Afghanistan pre- and post invasion actually leads me to raise the probability that al-Qaida has a nuclear weapon from low to a moderate probability – 50-50. Far from allaying my fears, it heightened them."

Myers, who is a recipient of the National Intelligence Medal of Achievement, says the intelligence community's assessment downplaying the probability that al-Qaida has nuclear weapons is no more than a "best guess."

While U.S. intelligence agencies were encouraged that they did not find fissionable material, actual nuclear weapons or radiological materials in Afghanistan, they did find what Myers believes were training materials in the care and use of them.

"Documents found at sites used by al-Qaida operatives indicated that the group was interested in nuclear device design," said the report. "In addition, al-Qaida had established contact with Pakistani scientists who discussed development of nuclear devices that would require hard-to-obtain materials like uranium to create a nuclear explosion. ... In May 2002, technical experts from CIA and the Department of Energy judged that there remained no credible information that al-Qaida had obtained fissile material or acquired a nuclear weapon."

The report adds: "Analysts noted that collection efforts in Afghanistan had not yielded any radioactive material suitable for weapons, and that there were no credible reports of nuclear weapons missing from vulnerable countries."

"These are the most controversial lines in this chapter and where the commission report flounders," explains Myers.

He believes an alternative, equally valid, but less rosy conclusion based on the same data would be that "a select group of al-Qaida members, with support from nuclear weapons experts from somewhere were being trained on how to store, handle, transport, employ and detonate finished nuclear devices."

"Under this theory there would be no weapon development materials or radioactive traces found anywhere in Afghanistan," he writes. "These guys aren't physicists; they're operatives who needed only to know enough about the weapon to safely handle, employ and detonate it. The 'radiological material' – in the nuclear warhead – is of course, somewhere else."

While the commission concluded that the war in Afghanistan "confirmed two key intelligence judgments made before the September attacks: al-Qaida did not have a nuclear device, nor did it have large-scale chemical and biological weapons capabilities," Myers strenuously disagrees.

"Al-Qaida may not have had a nuclear weapon stored in Afghanistan," he explains. "But it does not confirm that they do not have access to a nuclear weapon stored elsewhere – for which their operatives inside Afghanistan were undergoing basic training for its use, being supported by outside experts."

Myers illustrates his alternative theory that al-Qaida operative may have been training for use of an already existing nuclear device with an analogy.

"If I were to take you to Fort Benning, Ga., the Home of the Infantry, and we go into a classroom, and in the room is a mock-up of an M-16 rifle, on the walls are 'exploded picture diagrams' of an M-16, charts on the firing and recoil cycle, how a bullet works, the explosive physics of gunpowder, sighting techniques – do you conclude that the people in this classroom have a research and development program to design and build an M-16 rifle?" he asks rhetorically. "Depending on other evidentiary factors, the presence of machine shops, metal-stamping facility and a production line you might. Or do you conclude that maybe the people are there to learn how to store, handle, employ and fire an M-16 rifle?"

As WorldNetDaily previously reported, an al-Qaida memo discovered by Pakistani authorities said if suicide bombers come to America, they are likely to be carrying biological, chemical or nuclear weapons with them.

In October 2002, WND first broke the story of al-Qaida's purchase of suitcase nukes. Paul Williams, an FBI consultant on international terrorism said then bin Laden's al-Qaida terrorist network purchased 20 suitcase nuclear weapons from former KGB agents in 1998 for $30 million.

His book, "Al Qaeda: Brotherhood of Terror," also says this deal was one of at least three in the last decade in which al-Qaida purchased small nuclear weapons or weapons-grade nuclear uranium.

Williams says bin Laden's search for nuclear weapons began in 1988 when he hired a team of five nuclear scientists from Turkmenistan. These were former employees at the atomic reactor in Iraq before it was destroyed by Israel, Williams says. The team's project was the development of a nuclear reactor that could be used "to transform a very small amount of material that could be placed in a package smaller than a backpack."

"By 1990 bin Laden had hired hundreds of atomic scientists from the former Soviet Union for $2,000 a month – an amount far greater than their wages in the former Soviet republics," Williams writes. "They worked in a highly sophisticated and well-fortified laboratory in Kandahar, Afghanistan."

Yossef Bodansky, author of "Bin Laden: The Man Who Declared War on America" and the U.S. Congress' top terrorism expert, concurs that bin Laden has already succeeded in purchasing suitcase nukes. Former Russian security chief Alexander Lebed also testified to Congress that 40 nuclear suitcases disappeared from the Russian arsenal after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Read Myers' full analysis of the WMD Commission's report in the premium, online weekly intelligence newsletter Joseph Farah's G2 Bulletin.

Article link

FR thread

Communiqué d'Al Qa'ida du Djihad!!Important!!

Les croisés et les juifs voyant qu'ils ne peuvent rien contre les moudjahidines se réfugient derriere des pratiques perfides tels l'arrestation de femmes afin de faire pression sur leurs proches dans le but qu'ils delaissent le djihad et les moudjahidines, et ils assiègent les villes, coupent les routes et les vivres, sabotent le travail d'interet general dans ces villes et ils ajoutens à ca, les opérations de fouilles et d'arrestation en masse sans distinction.

Ils tirent au mortier aussi sur les maisons des gens et imputent ça au moudjahidines etc..

Et parmis les autres ruses des croisés, le placement d'engins piégées près des écoles et des hopitaux, et ensuite montrer les croisés arrivés et désamorcer les engins avant qu'ils n'explosent, et montrant ainsi qu'ils servent les musulmans..

Ces croisés sont aussi derriere les explosions de véhicules piégées dans les endroits publics tel les marchés et les rues bondées de gens, et nous affirmons que ces actes visent a salir l'image du djihad et des moudjahidines et ces croisés tentent par ceci d'envoyer aux gens un message disant que les moudjahidines méprisent le sang des musulmans.

Ces medias qui véhicules les ordres des croisés ne disent mot sur les opérations des moudjahidines qui coutent la vie à de nombreux croisés américains bien plus que ce qu'ils disent.

Et nous vous disons: reflechissez sur qui a de l'interet dans ces actions?Et nous disons que le sang des musulmans n'est pas vil prix pour nous comme il l'est pour les croisés.

Ainsi, ces croisés aidés par les renegats de l'armée de la police et des renseignements organisent ces crimes.

Et aussi dans cette série d'agissement criminel, il y a un fait ignoble que ces croisés et leurs alliés apostats organisent..ils placent des bombes dans le coffre des voitures de musulmans à leur insu lors de fouille dans les points de controles, ensuite une fois le véhicule parti, et arrivé a une distance assez éloignée du point de controle, ces croisés déclence la bombe a distance et disent que c'était une opération martyre ou bien des hélicoptères tirant sur des véhicules de musulmans et ensuite déclarer que le véhicule a explosé a cause d'explosifs que le kamikaze a déclenché..

Mais sachez que malgré ça leur ruse ne marchera pas avec nous et leur objectif ne sera pas atteint car Allah a promis de le faire echouer. Leur ruse ne fera de tort qu'a eux meme.

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Here's a quick machine translation of that post:

_____

Communicated al qa'ida of the Jihad! !Important!!

The crossings and the Jews see that they do not be able nothing against the moudjahidines take refuge themselves derriere of the practices perfides such the arrest of women in order done pressure on their near ones in the goal that they delaissent the jihad and the moudjahidines, and they besiege the cities, cut the roads and live them, sabotage the interet work general in these cities and they ajoutens to ca, the operations Mass without distinction.

They pull to the mortar also on the houses of the people and ascribe that to the moudjahidines etc..

And among the other tricks of the crossings, the placement of trapped vehicles close to the schools and hopitaux, and next to show the arrived crossings and defuse the vehicles before they do not explode, and showing as well as they serve the Muslims..

These crossings also derriere the explosions of vehicles trapped in the public places such them walked and the packed streets of people, and we assert as these acts aim has to soil the picture of the jihad and moudjahidines and these crossings attempt hereby to send to the people a message saying as the moudjahidines despise the blood of the Muslims.

These media that vehicles the orders of the not said crossings words on the operations of the moudjahidines that coutent the life to many American crossings well more than this than they say.

And we say you: reflechissez on that has interet in these actions?Et say us that the blood of the Muslims is not base price for us as it is it for the crossings.

Thus, these crossings helped by the renegats of the army of the police and pieces of information organize these crimes.

And also in this agissement series criminal, there is a does disgusting as these crossings and their allies apostates organize.. they place bombs in the trunk of the cars of Muslims to their unawareness at the time of searches in the points of controles, next once the left, and arrived vehicle has a rather removed distance of the point of controle, these crossings déclence the bomb has distance Operation agony or several helicopters pulling on vehicles of Muslims and next to declare that the vehicle exploded has causes of explosive ones that the kamikaze released..

But know that despite that their trick will not walk with us and their objective will not be attained for Allah promised done echouer. Their trick will not do wrong that has them meme.

Ex-Professor's Terror Trial Set To Begin (FL - 5/15/05)

Accused Of Racketeering, Conspiracy, Aiding Terrorists

Sami Al-Arian

May 15, 2005 8:07 pm US/Eastern TAMPA, FLA (AP) The parents of an American student who was killed in a bus bombing in Israel are looking for justice half a world away in Tampa, where a former computer science professor and three others are going on trial on charges they helped fund the terrorist group that carried out the bombing. Jury selection begins Monday.

Ten years ago, American student Alisa Flatow boarded a bus headed to a Gaza Strip beach resort for a much needed break from her studies.

At the Israeli settlement of Kfar Darom, a young man sat in a van loaded with explosives. As the bus approached, he steered his rolling bomb at it with ferocious speed and slammed into the bus' side. Eight people — seven Israelis and Flatow — died in the April 9, 1995 terrorist attack.

Sami Al-Arian, a University of South Florida professor and nationally known Palestinian rights activist, was already secretly under investigation by FBI foreign intelligence agents at the time of the bombing.

Al-Arian had established an Islamic academic think tank, a school, a mosque and a charity for Palestinian children — but authorities were questioning whether the true mission of Al-Arian's work was to finance terrorist attacks in Israel....

Link to Full Article

Here's most of it translated:

Official Statement of Al Qaeda of the Jihad!! Important!!

The Crusaders and the Jews see that they aren't able to do anything against the Mujahideen so they are taking refuge behind treacherous practices such as stopping (or arresting) women in order to put pressure on their relatives, but they allow the jihad and the Mujahideen. They surround the towns, cutting off the roads and their lives, and sabotage the work of general interest in these towns. And they add to that, the transactions of searching and stopping (or arresting) in mass without distinction.

Also they fire mortar on the houses of the people and attribute it to the Mujahideen, etc...

And among the other tricks of the Crusaders, the placement of booby trapped devices near some schools and hospitals, and next the Crusaders arrive to climb up and disarm the devices before they explode. Therefore, this shows that the Muslims are working for them.

These Crusaders are also behind the explosions of booby trapped vehicles in the public places like the markets and the streets packed with people. We affirm that these acts aim to soil the image of the jihad and of the Mujahideen. These Crusaders are trying to do this by sending a message to the people saying that the Mujahideen scorn the blood of the Muslims.

And we say to you: reflect on who has an interest in these actions? And we say that the blood of Muslims isn't dirt cheap for us like it is for the Crusaders.

Therefore, these Crusaders are helped by the renegade army of police and they organize intelligence for these crimes...

But know that in spite of their tricks they will not march with us and their objective will not be attained because Allah has promised to wreck it. Their ruse will hurt only themselves.

Anti-U.S. Cleric Comes Out Of Hiding (5/16/05)

Muqtada al-Sadr

Delivers First Speech Since Najaf Clashes -Demands That Americans Leave Iraq

May 16, 2005 11:13 am US/Eastern NAJAF, Iraq (AP) Anti-U.S. cleric Muqtada al-Sadr came out of hiding Monday for the first time since his fighters clashed with American forces in August, delivering a fiery speech demanding that coalition forces leave Iraq and that Saddam Hussein be punished.

Al-Sadr, the radical Shiite cleric whose militia battled U.S. forces in Baghdad and Najaf last year, held a press conference in his father’s home in this holy Shiite Muslim city, 100 miles south of Baghdad. Al-Sadr criticized the American-led occupation and called for an immediate withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq.....

Link to Full Article

Al-Jazeera Reporter Denies Terror Ties- Interviewed Osama bin Laden After 9/11 (5/16/05)

May 16, 2005 8:14 am US/Eastern MADRID, Spain (AP) A war correspondent with the Arab satellite television station Al-Jazeera denied charges Monday that he had close ties to the alleged leader of a Spanish al-Qaida cell accused of helping plot the Sept. 11 attacks in the United States.

Tayssir Alouni, 50, who interviewed Osama bin Laden shortly after the attacks, is among 24 suspects on trial here in Europe’s biggest court case against radical groups with alleged ties to the terror network...

Link to Full Article

'TERROR' BANKS TARGETED IN 9/11 SUIT (5/16/05)

By CARL CAMPANILE

May 16, 2005 -- The family of the late FBI counterterrorism chief John O'Neill and others affected by 9/11 have filed new court papers accusing several Islamic banks, charitable groups and individuals with being part of a terror-racketeering conspiracy.

Among those named in the complaints are the Al Baraka Bank in Saudi Arabia and its chairman, Saleh Abdullah Kamel; the Dubai Islamic Bank in the United Arab Emirates; The Muslim League; and the Faisal Islamic Bank of Sudan.

All are accused of conspiracy to murder, providing material support to terrorists, money-laundering and fraud.

O'Neill, who had just retired from the FBI, was the new head of security at the World Trade Center and died when terrorists destroyed the towers.

Link To Full Article

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