CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll: Bush 49, Kerry 49 LV, Kerry 48, Bush 46 RV 10/29-31

USA Today | 10/31/04

[KerrySuxxor]

OMG THIS IS SUCH BULL*HIT!!! Whats with EVERYTHING IS TIED?

[KerrySuxxor]

IM REALLY starting to think EVeryone wants to be tied so no one is wrong!

[italianquaker]

OCT22-24 OLD

[Cableguy]

Remember, this is preliminary. They might still be updating the website, so this could be wrong.

[ConservativeGreek]

Weekend numbers.

[Cableguy]

no, look at the date on the last triangle.

[gop_gene]

This does not look good AT ALL. This is Gallup's last poll, and while it isn't a guarantee, W "needed" to be at least 50% to win. I was getting pretty confident W was going to win just yesterday, but this throws everything up in the air. Whoever wins on Tuesday I have no idea anymore.

[flashbunny]

BEFORE THE USUAL PEOPLE PANIC

Remember during the debates - gallup would come out with a post-debate weekend poll showing a kerry surge. Then a regular weekday poll showing bush back in the lead. And then next weekend they'd do the same thing. And then next week Bush would be back in the lead.

WEEKEND POLLS OVERSAMPLE DEMS

This weekend will give you the most skewed samples of any time during the campaign, since all these pollsters are running to get a last minute poll out. And few of them actually adjust their party affiliation to get a better sample.

[JesseJane]

I just don't believe.. every stop Kerry makes he insults someone else. He can't be holding even.. no way.. This poll crap is a smoke screen for the fraud margin. Apparently they are too chicken sh*t to do a decent poll because they don't know if the fraud and the cheaters will win at the end of the day, and are worried about repercussions. That's the only answer to this crap. Note to pollsters, if it's massive fraud you refuse to expose, expect more and more of it every election.... believe me... Watch for the monster you create... it'll bite you.

[redstate38]

make the ride stop...

[MNJohnnie]

This poll is a week old. It is from Oct 22-24.

[bubman]

I noticed that too. It was last week's poll sponsored by a very left of center paper!

But if you see the more recent polls you begin to see Bush pulling away.

[soxfanforbush]

got it backwards bush up by two among rv and likely tie is adjusted for 2000 turnout see link http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/31/poll.sunday/

[Cableguy]

From Gallup:

LATEST SNAPSHOT

% GEORGE W. BUSH 49
% JOHN KERRY 49
% RALPH NADER 1
Oct 29 - 31, 2004
Based on Likely Voters
View complete trend

http://www.gallup.com/election2004/

[flashbunny]

Read post #8.

Gallup has a history of this type of activity this year. The polls don't flip flop like john kerry- A kerry surge on the weekend and bush regaining ground during the week.

THE ONLY CAUSE IS BAD SAMPLING COMBINED WITH BAD POLLING.

PERIOD!!!

[muleskinner]

Oct. 22-24 results...you did see that, didn't you? So why post this old data?
Just because others around you are losing their heads, doesn't mean you should lose yours.

[gr8bigdude]

Let not your hearts be troubled. If you do the homework, there appears to be a compelling case that GWB will win.
For starters, try:
http://www.nationalreview.com/kerry/kerryspot.asp
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html
http://jaycost.blogspot.com/

[rang1995]

drop though,thought the bin laden tape would seal this--double your efforts all

[Dont Mention the War]

If Kerry wins Tueday, legally or via criminal activity, then we as a nation deserve whatever happens to us for the next four years.