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1 posted on 04/19/2004 5:27:54 PM PDT by Eurotwit
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To: Eurotwit
Bush led Kerry, the presumptive Democratic nominee, 51 percent to 46 percent in the survey of likely voters, which was conducted Friday through Sunday. The survey interviewed 1,003 adults, including a subsample of 767 respondents deemed most likely to vote in November.

When consumer activist Ralph Nader's independent candidacy was factored in, the survey's results were 50 percent for Bush, 44 percent for Kerry and 4 percent for Nader among likely voters.

With the current survey's margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points among likely voters, Bush and Kerry remain locked in a dead heat more than six months before the November election.

Has my first-grade math gone bad or is 51-46=5 GREATER than the FOUR percentage point margin of error for this poll? How does this writer define a "dead heat"? I'm sure he would have written this article differently had Kerry been ahead by five percentage points . . . .

43 posted on 04/19/2004 9:03:25 PM PDT by rebel_yell2
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To: Eurotwit
How people's opinions change week to week and day to day according to these polls really surprises me. Who are the "mushy middle" and why can't they make up their minds?
44 posted on 04/19/2004 9:10:11 PM PDT by numberonepal
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To: Eurotwit
I know America will come to their senses eventually. Kerry is a weird extremist.
46 posted on 04/19/2004 9:35:57 PM PDT by anonymous86
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To: Eurotwit
After weeks of Bush campaign attacks accusing Kerry of flip-flops on issues, voters were evenly split, 44 percent to 44 percent, over whether the senator "means what he says and says what he means."

On the same question, 56 percent of voters said Bush means what he says, while 42 percent said they disagreed with that statement.


And, thanks to the libs such as Gore-Lick, Bob Woodward/Mike Wallace, Dick Clark, etc.!
47 posted on 04/19/2004 10:24:01 PM PDT by danamco
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