Duking Bobby Jindal(Republican favorite in Louisiana done in by special appeals to white ethnics)

The American Prowler ^ | 11/18/2003 | John Tabin

[goldstategop]

Louisiana isn't ready to vote for Republicans other than for President in a good year and probably will never be.

[Doctor Stochastic]

The first name washes out the surname though.

[dg62]

That was a very reasonable post cajungirl. One of my concerns about voting for Jindal is that is someone comes in here and tries too much reform at once, it could cause a really big problem. Our state has been in its groove for a long time and to try to change it quickly could cause a big unravelling.

[goldstategop]

How is conservatism "unraveling" a state while socialism is "progress." Oy vey...

[dg62]

Don't get me wrong. Convservatism is great. I am all for a change. The socialist deal is done and over.

But realistically, any time you want make a significant change in course it could set opposing forces in motion and create an unintended consequence. Maybe it would be a good idea to take the change more slowly and have someone with more experience to lead the way.

[Smoke6]

He carried two metropolitan parishes in N. LA - Bossier and Ouachita, but lost an almost 4-1 margin in the rural parishes of N LA north of Alexandria meridian. In the "poverty zone" of the north delta area, he garnered, at most, 35%. In those parishes, where transfer payments are 80% of the income, he did poorly among whites as well as blacks.

This area is a strong supporter of Bill Jones and Ewing. Traditional democratic areas who vote republican in national elections but send dems to the house and senate on state elections.

Blanco's campaign played "you're gonna lose your insurance" ads on every commercial break Thursday and Friday prior to the election on both cable and broadcast stations.

The republicans did not respond with a counter, instead running the same ads run in October and ads showing how the negative campaign of Blanco was "old machine politics".

I stand by my conclusions.

[dfwgator]

Most Louisianans would still vote for the "Kingfish" if they still had a chance. Idiot voters get what they deserve...a rat.

[Bogey78O]

Twitchy finger?

[BerniesFriend]

So how did Blanco win? By getting 40% of the white vote. That didn't come from New Orleans, where 70% of whites voted for Jindal, but from the poorer, more rural areas, where Blanco won 52% of the white vote -- a coup for a Democrat in culturally conservative areas. The Medicaid ad was well-tailored for this demographic; the speaker in the ad, a doctor who used to work in the public health system and is now in a wheelchair, ends his statement with the words, "'By the way, I'm a staunch Republican."

Actually, that ad was very embarassing..he was no more "a staunch Republican" than I am on a spaceship to the moon..but that ad had little to do with blanco's victory..again..rural parishes..those that had voted for duke in 91..magically voted for blanco..I guess they were inspired by pelosi's passionate speaches on the house floor.. yeah right..

[ken5050]

Just catching up..thanks for the info....BTW..what's your take on what Breaux will do?...run, retire, or retire BEFORE his term expires, to let Blanco name a senator?

[Smoke6]

oh, crap. I hadn't even thought of Blanco possibly naming an interim senator... incumbents in Louisiana are like tics, damned difficult to get rid of.

Smoke6

[ken5050]

Yup..that's been talked about for a while..supposedly Breaux's delayed his decision till after the election..he's supposed to say something after Turket day..given the way his caucus is killing his Medicare Bill..he might just say screw it....naming a Dem gives the then uncumbent advantages in the '04 race..as well as a leg up in seniority....

[deport]

to let Blanco name a senator?

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Senator John...... sounds like the Junior senator to be from La to me.

[deport]

Interesting map is you haven't seen it........

Map