New rules favor GOP moderates in presidential primary (New Hampshire)

The Newburyport Daily News ^ | November 15, 2014 | David M. Shribman

[campaignPete R-CT]

yes. if the nation had shifted about 4% more Republican in 2008 homogenously ... CO IA NH would have decided the race with McCain needing 2 of the 3.

which begs the question why focus on NC and such states? certain states only are a tossup if the race goes big for the DEMS nationally. if a state cannot be a deciding state, why focus on it? 2012 was much more complicated with numerous states having the potential to be the deciders. (FL and OH have dropped off the list ... they are now more GOP than the national average.)

2012 Romney woulda been stuck at 266, 4 short needing one more state. One of the following:
state ..... margin
1.Colorado, 5.37%
2.Pennsylvania, 5.39%
3.New Hampshire, 5.58%
4.Iowa, 5.81%
5.Nevada, 6.68%
6.Wisconsin, 6.94%

perhaps Wisconsin and Mormon Nevada outperformed due to Mitt-Ryan ticket. Pennsylvania may very well be a genuine swing now with the war on coal.

[dalereed]

Nominate a moderate and say hello to President Hillary!

[AuH2ORepublican]

The thing is, states don’t always move homogenously, so doing all your campaigning in NH, PA, CO and IA and picking up one or more of them won’t guarantee that you’ll carry NC, VA, FL and OH.

[campaignPete R-CT]

yes. true.
but quantitatively it is remote that in 2016, the GOP Potus candidate will carry NH and/or COL and fail to win OH. Good polling and targeting is invaluable.

I also tried to review the use of Palin in fall 2008. She went immediately to CO. Grand Junction, Greeley, Col SPrings, Loveland. Golden. All the right places.

http://www.denverpost.com/news/ci_10771372

Then did they get distracted by the national interviews with Couric, etc.? And the hockey game in Philly?

[Little Bill]

You have that absolutely correct, the rats win on the Dartmouth, Keene State, and Plymouth State vote, in East Vermont. Enforce residency law, don’t let foreigners decide out elections.