Ohio State University voters.
Watch and weep...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A2EoZq2rXXI&feature=youtu.be
We don't have a great candidate. We have Romney.
So, Obama has to rely on early and absentee voting to win, and he is dramatically underperforming his 2008 results. That points to a Romney win (by two to three points, IMO) if you are paying attention, but the pollsters are not - they still factor in a sizeable Democratic turnout advantage, based on 2008 results, but the data already available for this election show that advatange no longer exists.
In a nutshell, ignore the polls. :)
Its all about turn out here. 2008 is the statistical model they are using and it won’t repeat. It may be close, but Romney will take Ohio.
Obama's competitive in Ohio because while it is not Michigan, the Big 3 auto industry is important in Northern Ohio, and he's campaigning on supposedly saving GM. Interestingly, Lee Iacocca, a true independent, endorsed Romney.
The problem with Ohio is the minority depended population is growing exponentially in the inner cities. Cleveland,Toledo,Dayton, Columbus,Akron, and Cincinnati have changed dramatically over the last ten years in demographics. Just look at these cities mayors. The college towns will also go for Obozo like Cincinnati, Columbus, and Athens county. We have to have motivated republican voters to win and pray for rain.
Anyone who says they are certain Obama or Romney has Ohio sewn up is fooling themselves.
http://tarpon.wordpress.com/2011/11/30/carter-vs-reagan/
Carter vs Reagan
You think the media was any friendlier to R. Reagan than today? Think again … Reagan was too controversial, too extreme, way to conservative to ever get elected President. And if that wasn’t enough, Reagan would drop nukes on the old Soviet empire.
Two weeks before the 1980 election the media polls averaged out too about a 47 – 39, in favor of Carter. So Reagan was toast said media the polls. Done finished. Kaput …
The Democrats were trounced in Ohio in the 2010 midterms. I’ve really had a hard time believing the polls. There’s no way the people of Ohio have turned that much in 2 years with an economy that is still just as abysmal.
My theory is that the Dems are counting on OH being close enough to steal Florida 2000 style. There has already been several articles along the lines of, “the race will come down to Ohio”. So, the MSM is cooperating with the O campaign to keep the ruse up via polls. But, while they aren’t watching, PA is going to Romney. Plus, both PA and OH have Repub Sec. o’ States, which, like Florida, will make it harder to steal.
Now, ofcourse, I guess this could work against us too if Omug has a good ground operation going.
Maybe someone else heard this and can add more as to what the guy was saying. I was in and out of the car.
Supposedly Obama’s been carpet bombing Ohio with ads for many weeks now. Certainly Mitt can be portrayed as the classic villain of union members.
Mitt can lose Ohio and make up for it by getting FL, VA and CO and the below combos...
PA or MI
NV, IA and NH
NV, IA and 1 EV from Maine
WI and any one of the above states