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I've been making essentially this same argument for weeks. While the CDC has to cover their bases, the immunization protocol used before the erradication of smallpox means that the worst case scenarios of immunity lasting only a few years simply can't be true for most recipients.
1 posted on 10/27/2001 10:21:30 AM PDT by ignatz_q
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To: ignatz_q
Here's an article I got off the web. It seems to confirm something I saw on a TV discussion: smallpox kills mainly through secondary bacterial infections of the pox. If this is true, modern anti-biotics might decrease the death rate dramatically.

Smallpox
Author/s: Rosalyn S. Carson-DeWitt

Definition

Smallpox is an infection caused by the virus called variola, a member of the poxvirus family. Throughout all of history, smallpox has been a greatly feared disease, responsible for huge epidemics worldwide, and the cause of great suffering and massive numbers of deaths. In 1980, the World Health Organization (WHO) announced that an extensive program of vaccination against the disease had resulted in the complete eradication of the virus, with the exception of samples of stored virus in two laboratories.

Description

Smallpox was strictly an infection of human beings. Animals and insects could neither be infected by smallpox, nor carry the virus in any form. Most infections were caused by contact with a person who had already developed the characteristic skin lesions (pox) of the disease, although a person who had a less severe infection (not symptomatic or diagnosable in the usual way) could unwittingly spreading the virus.

Causes & symptoms

Smallpox was a relatively contagious disease, which accounts for its ability to cause massive epidemics. The variola virus was acquired from direct contact with individuals sick with the disease, from contaminated air droplets, and even from objects used by another smallpox victim (books, blankets, utensils, etc.). The respiratory tract was the usual entry point for the variola virus into a human being.

After the virus entered the body, there was a 12-14 day incubation period during which the virus multiplied, although no symptoms were recognizable. After the incubation period, symptoms appeared abruptly and included fever and chills, muscle aches, and a flat, reddish purple rash on the chest, abdomen, and back. These symptoms lasted about three days, after which the rash faded and the fever dropped. A day or two later, fever would return, along with a bumpy rash starting on the feet, hands, and face. The rash would progress, ultimately reaching the chest, abdomen, and back. The individual bumps (papules) would fill with clear fluid, and eventually become pus-filled over the course of 10-12 days. These pox would eventually scab over, each leaving a permanently scarred pock or pit when the scab dropped off.

Death from smallpox usually followed complications such as bacterial infection of the open skin lesions, pneumonia, or bone infections. A very severe and quickly fatal form of smallpox was called "sledgehammer smallpox," and resulted in massive, uncontrollable bleeding (hemorrhage) from the skin lesions, as well as from the mouth, nose, and other areas of the body.

Fear of smallpox came from both the epidemic nature of the disease, as well as from the fact that no therapies were ever discovered to either treat the symptoms of smallpox, or shorten the course of the disease.

147 posted on 10/27/2001 5:38:45 PM PDT by the Wayne
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To: ignatz_q
I have grave doubts that the 30% death estimates are accurate. People overlook that many early smallpox deaths were caused by secondary infections e.g. staph and pneumonia. These can be controlled today. Absent introducing a "Tweeked Bug" I would hazard an estimate of about 5% death. Just a lot of sick folks left with scars.
159 posted on 10/27/2001 7:19:45 PM PDT by HENRYADAMS
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To: ignatz_q
I appreciate even a glimmer of good news about this potential threat. At least my husband and I are likely to have some residual immunity. Our little sons are the big worry, as many other parents have expressed.

Since our current medical practitioners have no experience with diagnosing smallpox, I hope that CDC is supporting them with the necessary information, photos, etc. As potential first-line diagnosticians, school nurses should also be alerted to symptoms and isolation procedures. Given what's happened with Anthrax, I suspect this is too much to expect of CDC.

Apart from preparing our family for potential isolation and keeping alert, I feel too, too helpless on this threat.

160 posted on 10/27/2001 7:21:00 PM PDT by Think free or die
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To: ignatz_q
Thank you for posting this article. It affords much peace of mind. (I'm sure all of us can use even a bit of bright news during these trying times.)
168 posted on 10/27/2001 8:17:28 PM PDT by B52Bomber
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To: ignatz_q
BTTT. I missed this the first time around.
179 posted on 11/03/2001 7:36:37 PM PST by GWfan
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To: ignatz_q
Forget it the real one is blackpox.
182 posted on 11/03/2001 10:47:34 PM PST by TLBSHOW
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To: ignatz_q; *Smallpox List
Index bump. To search for smallpox articles, click here: Smallpox List. Please ping all articles relating to smallpox to the list.
183 posted on 11/06/2001 6:17:27 AM PST by Dixie Mom
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