The Folks on the Weather Channel Look Really Worried Right Now..

Weather Channel ^ | September 11, 2003 | NOAA Storm Guys

[vavavah]

TERRORIST

[Pan_Yans Wife]

When we lived in Hampton, VA, my husband was stationed at NOB. His sub went out to see when a hurricane was approaching North Carolina.

This left me at the beach house, six months pregnant. I was petrified, and went to stay inland at a hotel, until things calmed down.

When I related this to my son, he was disappointed that he couldn't have been there! And I told he he was there, but he couldn't see much, because he wasn't born that month! Kids have so much enthusiasm for nature and it's destructive powers. I cannot say that I had a great deal of enthusiasm at the time.

[PennsylvaniaMom]

Sam, does this mean I will finally own beachfront property? In Pittsburgh? Kewl...

[Pan_Yans Wife]

ROTFL

[BigWaveBetty]

This storm reminds me of Andrew, that might be the cause for all the worried looks. If it starts making a bee line for FL, I'm outta here!

YIKES!

[piasa]

I have a friend whose daughter gleefully took "Bambi sandwiches" to school for years. Her teachers were apalled, but not the other students.

[LasVegasMac]

That storm is still way too far out in the Atlantic to start making predictions - this weekend (Sun) they will have a better picture.

Haven't you ever noticed that when a really big weather event - big storm - happens, these folks go absolutely bonkers? It's like a frenzy, or an orgy - they completely lose control.

LVM

[mrs. a]

Mr. Fisherman, please say it, just for me!

"It don't get no better'n this..."

[TomB]

Thank you so much.

It isn't often you can say you actually were around to read the dumbest post in the history of Free Republic.

[LibKill]

Well, as Dear Old Dad always says, 'No man can predict, let alone control, the weather.'

East Coast FReepers, I have a little bit of what I learned in my time as a Marine on a Navy ship for you.

Batten down the hatches! Prepare for heavy rolls! :)

All kidding aside, get ready. Mother nature is 'red of tooth and claw'. She does not respect you or your loved ones. She will make you darwin losers if you give her half a chance.

It's all up to you.

[wimpycat]

LOL! It's definitely in the top 10. I'm sure you and I both know of a few dumber ones.

[Sub-Driver]

National Hurricane Center Discussion
Data from the Plymouth State Weather Center.
Click here for more tropical weather information.

** WTNT43 KNHC 112023 ***
TCDAT3
HURRICANE ISABEL DISCUSSION NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2003

ISABEL HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY TODAY. DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM ALL
3 AGENCIES...TAFB...SAB...AND AFWA ARE NOW 7.0 AND OBJECTIVE
T-NUMBERS ARE ALSO ABOUT THE SAME VALUE. THIS SUPPORTS A CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 140 KT...A CATEGORY 5 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. HURRICANES RARELY MAINTAIN SUCH STRENGTH FOR VERY
LONG...AND ISABEL MAY NOT STAY A CAT 5 FOR EVEN AS LONG AS SHOWN
HERE. THERE IS AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONE ABOUT 15 DEGREES TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE BUT THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE
NARROWING AND IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...IT SHOULD NOT HAVE MUCH OF
AN IMPACT ON THE INTENSITY OF ISABEL. ANOTHER POSSIBLE FACTOR IS
THE COOLED SST WAKE PRODUCED BY HURRICANE FABIAN IN THE VICINITY OF
63W. SINCE THERE DO NOT TO BE ANY MAJOR INHIBITING FACTORS IN THE
ENVIRONMENT...INTERNAL DYNAMICS SUCH AS EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES
WILL PROBABLY HAVE THE GREATEST INFLUENCE ON INTENSITY CHANGE. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST ASSUMES THAT WE WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A MAJOR
HURRICANE ON OUR HANDS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.

MOTION CONTINUES AT ABOUT 280/8...ALONG WITH SOME MINOR TROCHOIDAL
WOBBLES. A DEEP-LAYER HIGH PRESSURE AREA TO THE NORTH OF ISABEL IS
LIKELY TO MAINTAIN THE SLOW WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD STEERING
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST IS SOMEWHAT
SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT FASTER THAN THE GUNA CONSENSUS.
THIS IS FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE LATEST U.K. MET OFFICE TRACK. THE
LATTER MODEL IS THE WESTERNMOST OF THE GUIDANCE SUITE.

THE BIG QUESTION CONTINUES TO BE WHAT WILL HAPPEN BEYOND THE 5-DAY
FORECAST PERIOD. IT IS STILL IMPOSSIBLE TO STATE WITH ANY
CONFIDENCE WHETHER A SPECIFIC AREA ALONG THE U.S. COAST WILL BE
IMPACTED BY ISABEL. THIS WILL LIKELY DEPEND ON THE RELATIVE
STRENGTH AND POSITIONING OF A MID-TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE NEAR THE EAST
COAST AND A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST AROUND THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UNFORTUNATELY...WE HAVE LITTLE SKILL IN
PREDICTING THE EVOLUTION OF STEERING FEATURES AT THESE LONG RANGES.

FORECASTER PASCH

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 11/2100Z 21.6N 55.3W 140 KT
12HR VT 12/0600Z 21.7N 56.7W 140 KT
24HR VT 12/1800Z 21.9N 58.6W 135 KT
36HR VT 13/0600Z 22.4N 60.5W 130 KT
48HR VT 13/1800Z 22.9N 62.3W 125 KT
72HR VT 14/1800Z 24.0N 65.5W 115 KT
96HR VT 15/1800Z 25.0N 68.5W 115 KT
120HR VT 16/1800Z 26.0N 71.5W 115 KT

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/hur_dir/hur_dis_nt3.html

[Recovering_Democrat]

is not a hurricane! is a bel!

[meg70]

The Outdoor Channel rocks, they have great mountain bike races..

[TrappedInLiberalHell]

It's one of the few jobs where you can be wrong half the time and still get away with it.

Even better is being a Clinton. They can be wrong 100% of the time, and still get away with it.

[wimpycat]

So the War on Terror is just a ruse to keep our minds off the weather?

That reminds me. I was thinking of buying batteries this weekend. Should I buy a boat instead? Or a ticket to Vegas?

[ican'tbelieveit]

If you have ever watched MadTV, they do the best skits making fun of news/weather anchors: WIND STORM 200X... the news people are freaking out and interrupting each other and asking the most inane questions, and of course the on scene reporter being blown away.

[Guillermo]

This, the dumbest?

You musta missed the host in the sun thread.

And all the All Your Base threads.

And the woman attacked by fish thread...

[mikrofon]

Further evidence that your suppostion may be correct:

[NewHampshireDuo]

I live in New Hampshire, and every time one of those happy, very pregnant women stand up against the blue screen map of the US, they ALWAYS cover up the New England states with their big pregnant tummies. I never got to see the NE map the last 3 months that Sharon Resultan (sp?) was pregnant with both her babies...!