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Did physists just mathematicall prove the existence of God?
The New York Times | Oct. 29, 2002 | DENNIS OVERBYE

Posted on 10/30/2002 8:05:24 AM PST by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

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To: js1138
Correct me if I'm wrong, but each and every possible series of coin tosses is just as likely as any other series -- regardless of the length of the series. You cannot look at a series of "random" events that have happened and declare the series impossible or unlikely.

You are correct with respect to any given series. For a fair coin "HHHHHHHHHH" is as likely as "HHTHTTTHTH". For distributions of results in the aggregate, however, the head-to-tail ratio should be about 1-to-1. (For a any roll of a pair of fair dice, they should total 7 about 1 out of every 6.) So based on the known properties of a coin, the probability of observing a series containing 10 heads (~.09%) is far less than the probability of observing a series containing 5 heads and 5 tails (~24.6%).

121 posted on 11/01/2002 7:12:36 AM PST by Condorman
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To: Condorman
Just in case it wasn't clear, I'm assuming that each series of coin flips is exactly 10 trials in length.
122 posted on 11/01/2002 7:27:08 AM PST by Condorman
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To: Condorman
however, the head-to-tail ratio should be about 1-to-1.

But this is not the issue when deciding whether chance events can result in complexity. You could make a character count of a computer program and list the relative frequencies of the characters, but that would tell you nothing about the nature of the program or its operation. It is the sequence that matters.

the other thing that needs to be considered is selection. Nature, for whatever reasons, favors certain sequences. It is as if a dice player could always keep his winnings and always rule losing tosses "invalid".

the "whatever reasons" part is not arbitrary, but is the subject of study.

123 posted on 11/01/2002 7:33:36 AM PST by js1138
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To: js1138
the other thing that needs to be considered is selection. Nature, for whatever reasons, favors certain sequences. It is as if a dice player could always keep his winnings and always rule losing tosses "invalid".

I agree. Which is why I prefer Yahtzee to craps. My comments were directed towards the claim that rolling 54 thousand consecutive sevens with a pair of fair dice is consistent with craps. While it is true that a game of craps will often see dice rolls totalling seven, craps is also built around the probability of such an event occurring. While such a sequence is not outside the realm of possibility, is it well beyond the bounds of probability.

124 posted on 11/01/2002 9:18:50 AM PST by Condorman
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To: All

God Bless America placemarker
125 posted on 11/01/2002 7:06:06 PM PST by PatrickHenry
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

The Copenhagen Interpretation sort of points to the existance of God. Heck, if there wasn't a God how would the first pre-Cambrian sealife have appeared on earth?


126 posted on 08/19/2006 2:47:40 PM PDT by G8 Diplomat
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit
Today I'm canning tomato sauce; it's cooking down right now. It's August and the tomatos are ripe.

If you look up, it's infinity.

If you look down, it's infinity.

If you look in, it's infinity.

If you look out. it's infinity.

If you look back. its infinity.

If you look forward, it's infinity

A pattern? No, of course not.

Ptolomey may have been on to something; but you didn't hear that here.

It's August and the tomatos are ripe.

Life is delicious for those w/ taste.

127 posted on 08/19/2006 3:24:21 PM PDT by Pietro
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To: Pietro

Thanks. That was my first post to FR quite a few years ago. Brings back memories.


128 posted on 08/27/2006 3:43:58 AM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (War is Peace__Freedom is Slavery__Ignorance is Strength)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit
Liberals forbid you from hearing even once the dreaded "G-word." Its the modern equivalent of pornography to the enlightened.

(No more Olmert! No more Kadima! No more Oslo! )

129 posted on 08/27/2006 3:48:26 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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