ANALYSIS: Saddam begins his game of cat-and-mouse

The Scotsman ^ | 09/17/02 | Fraser Nelson

[crz]

Get the Kurds going in the North and the Shiites going in the south...even if they are not ready! Screw the whole thing up so the inspectors either are kicked out or are not able to do the job...which we all know they will not be able to do anyway. Then move in with our military and post haste.
This proves he is close to a nuke or may already has a couple and is just waiting for a reliable system to delivere it.

[lexington minuteman 1775]

So if Bush goes in. He's a bully.If Sadaam blinks.We can go in. In the meantime sadaam buys more time to move more assests around.From what i can see the only advantage here for us is we keep on building troop levels so when he goofs up.And Sadaam will do that at some point we hit him with everything we have before he offers the security council another offer.Also if sadaam happend to do the worst case scenario and launch some kind of chemical or biological agents the Bush administration can blame Daschle and company for saying it must go to UN and congress.So for first time in this administration the Bush administration can not be to blame.Course we may have a few hundred thousand dead americans to contend with.But Tommy Daschle should be proud

[MJY1288]

I think this author published his article a bit early. First off, President Bush did not demand a return of weapons inspectors, he only pointed out the 11 years of UN Resolution violations. His demands are clear and available on the white house web site

[Hunble]

Course we may have a few hundred thousand dead americans to contend with.But Tommy Daschle should be proud.

I agreed with you until this last statement.

[kcar]

The gig will be up soon enough. In the short-term play period we ought to go wherever we desire more information for logistical purposes.

[jraven]

I don't think this war is going to begin sooner than later...I think Sadaam is going to stall and the US won't act until he gives them an opening...and I doubt he'll give them the opening they want within the next month or two.

[Sabertooth]

I love this game.

[boris]

Remember Indiana Jones? Whip missing, oh S***. Oh, well, grab the revolver and it's over.

Our 'revolver' is nuclear, and it should have been used on 9/12/2001.

--Boris

[MJY1288]

I don't think so either, I believe when it gets down to zero hour, One of Saddams generals will execute him and ask the world for help. Iran will follow as soon as the threat of Saddam invading is removed.

[MJY1288]

Prediction from Saber please :-)

MJY wants to know your opinion :-)

[Vidalia]

"Saddam is one of the world’s most enduring dictators, and he owes his survival to this tactic. "

Enough of this BULLShiT!

Saddam owns his survival to the likes of global Clinton-Asskissing world leaders who, like he, never had the balls to take on the specter of terrorism or even its "source proponents" (the identified people in charge).

It is because Arkansas Killbillies like Clinton and his group knew how to deal with upstarts and witnesses on the learning curve from the hills of Arkansas to the WhiteHouse, but not beyond our borders.

About local problems along the way, it would be, "Ya get rid of 'em, that's all."

The next person who cares about this country to win a decent lottery should invest a million to ask Johnathan Edwards to drive by Rapist Clinton's car and record the "vibes".

Edwards might be like a chicken with the "delirium tremens".

Yeah, I know, it's off the wall, but...

[Sabertooth]

Saddam is beyond his last chance. We're going in.

The point of the UN speech is to put the President's critics, both foreign and domestic, into a lose-lose situation. If the UN drags its feet or obfuscates, we're going into Iraq. If the UN complies, Saddam the megalomaniac is pathologically incapable of compliance, and we are going into Iraq.

Hussein will never surrender (unless perhaps to be the power behind Qusay Hussein's throne), as he believes he is the reincarnation to Nebuchadnezzar and Saladin, and is predestined to sack Jerusalem as they did before him. Think of Hitler in the bunker, willing to sacrifice all of Germany for their unworthiness of his leadership. Scorched earth. Such is the vanity of Saddam.

Hussein's been gunning for this moment for decades, he is evil, and will not change.

There will be war in Iraq. Iraqi WMD-tipped SCUDs will hit Israel. Israel will respond, perhaps with WMDs themselves. They can't sit on the sidelines this time, and can't easily take a WMD hit with only a conventional response. Their security and reputation would be forever compromised.

I believe it's likely that not only US forces, but the US mainland will take WMD hits as well, probably biological, quite possibly smallpox. Anthrax is bad, but short-term, not especially contagious, and no good for starting a plague. I don't believe blind specualtion has led the President to order the stockpiling of 300,000,000 doses of smallpox vaccine by the CDC, or similar stockpiling by Britain and Israel. We know from defectors that Iraq obtained smallpox from former Soviet weapons labs in the 1990s.

I think this because I also believe strongly that the anthrax letters are of Iraqi origin, and I don't believe it was coincidence or a simple precautionary measure that led Bush and Cheney to start dosing with Cipro on 9/11. Something else happened that day, of which we have no details, that led to this precaution against anthrax. The publicized letters were intended to let us know that our enemies are capable of launching a WMD attack on our soil. They are the knife we woke up to find at our throat in the aftermath of the Boijinka attacks of 9/11. I believe that anthrax is just a taste of what Saddam has.

I believe that all hell is gong to break lose within the next few new moons.

Jordan will pitch their tent with us, but will they stay with us when Israel enters the war? What of the 70% "palestinian" majority there if they do?

Will the House of Saud survive? Maybe.

Will Mubarak keep Egypt out? Will he survive? Maybe. Dittoes for Assad Jr. in Syria.

What happens in Iran, India, and Pakistan in the course of this is anyone's guess.

I also believe that we and our allies will ultimately prevail, but barring miracles, I believe that the world will be far more changed by this war than it was by September 11th.

PS. Keep an eye on Taiwan. If we bog down, the Red Chinese are opportunists.

[MJY1288]

Excellent post, I don't think it will be that wide spread though. Small Pox is our biggest threat. The other Chem and Bio's are to hard to deliver on a massive scale. I can't see Saddam striking first, he's an idiot but he's not on a suicide mission.

I could see Saddam lunching his last scuds armed with Chem and Bio's at Israel or on our troops when he see's baghdad surrounded. On the other hand I really have a hard time believing he will sign his own death certificate. My guess he will surrender and live in a cell next Manuel Noriega with the guarentee of his own personal mirror for his cell.

Saddam has no friends in the region, he has proven he can't be trusted.

[Sabertooth]

Saddam has no friends in the region, he has proven he can't be trusted.

He doesn't need friends, he has Arabs and Moslems.
He has Arafat. None of them can be trusted.

[MJY1288]

Very true, But I believe that Iraq is the reason why the Iranian people havn't over run the Finatics running the government. With the only REAL threat to the region (By way of invasion of it's Moslem neighbors) out of the picture. The Iranians (Youth-Students) will not fear losing their homeland. I have both Iraqi and Iranian customers and they both tell me the exact same story. They are sick and tired of the opression and when the sh*t hits the fan, Saddam will not have the support of his people. My Iranian customer tells me that the Clerics have to recruit police from far off areas to control the students in Tehran, Iran. The local police are in agreement with the students and so they are moved to airport security and less police action.

I believe if this is handled correctly, we might see a significant chance for peace in that part of the middle east. In time I feel we will see Arafat ousted by his own. Even Ray Charles can see that Arafat has made things worse not better. All the Palestinians need is someone to lead them in the right direction and the radicals will die off.

I truly believe we might see this happen in the next ten years, Providing we don't allow Iraq to get a hold of a Nuke, The key is removing Saddam IMHO

[Rockitz]

Here's what the next UN resolution should be:

If, upon inspection, weapons of mass destruction are found, Iraq shall be found in violation of the UN resolutions and the governing regime shall be immediately ousted; peacefully or forcefully, Iraq's choice.

Originally posted here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/751827/posts?page=157#157

[Rockitz]

PS. Keep an eye on Taiwan. If we bog down, the Red Chinese are opportunists.

I've been thinking about your PS for quite some time now. After all this radical Islam junk is cleaned up, the Reds will be our remaining foe.

[Sabertooth]

Remember, we're dealing with Moslems, and deceit and anti-Semitism are intrinsic to their thought processes. It's part of their religion.

The Iranian mullahs might not survive their students, true.

But all Saddam has to do is draw Israel into the war, and every other equation changes. I'll bet your Iraqi and Iranian customers believe Mohammed went to heaven from the Temple Mount, where the Al Aqsa Mosque is, when he never actually set foot there.

Arafat is just a symptom, the problem is Islam.

Also, no peace based on Israel giving up part of the Promised Land can ever last. It's been true since the time of Joshua, just as it has been throughout the 20th Century.

[Sabertooth]

After all this radical Islam junk is cleaned up, the Reds will be our remaining foe.

After that, it's a toss-up between Latin America and Europe. So much envy.

And there's always Russia.