Posted on 10/25/2001 10:52:46 AM PDT by Willie Green
Yes, I was. Your mentioning of the airborne application directed my thoughts towards the mobile application. Displacing oil in the transport sector would go a long way towards reducing the use of carbon-based fuels.
The problem I have with NG (methane) based fuel cells is that they further deplete a depletable resource. Its true that it avoids the combustion step and the attendant production of nitrous oxides and various aromatic polycyclic hydrocarbons, and we also have the delivery infrastructure already in place, but it seems kind of like defeating the purpose of the fuel cell. That is, we're still using a carbon-based fuel, burning it up and thus its gone forever, when we might be better off using it for something else.
'Subsidies' have acquired a bad reputation, deservedly. But I would only call it a 'partnership' if the government directly shares in the profits of the venture. It sounds like you are just trying to coin a euphemism for subsidies. I think the distinction you are trying to make is between an ongoing subsidy required to allow an industry to exist versus a subsidized research project with the goal of improved technology. One is money thrown down a hole, the other is money invested in future productivity. Both are subsidies, but with very different intents and outcomes.
Something else? The only major use of hydrocarbons other than fuel that I know of is chemical and plastic production, which account for a small fraction of consumption. I do agree that it would be very inconvient to find replacements, but I don't think it will be a concern for a long time.
Eventually we need to ween ourselves from all non-renewable energy sources. Increasing supply now, as proposed by petroleum advocates, would only lower prices, increase consumption, and accelerate depletion. Instead we should be building safe and efficient power plants that don't consume hydrocarbons while at the same time pushing for greater efficiency in overall energy use.
That's one of many reasons that I advocate construction of fuel-efficient, regional High-Speed Ground Mass Transportation infrastructure such as high-speed rail and maglev. These are likely viable only in our nation's most heavily traveled traffic corridors. But they are sufficiently effective that they should be pursued at an accelerated pace.
Probably point-to-point travel will be the best application of this. But there is still the local transport conundrum. For a widespread metropolitan area, the costs become prohibitive because it is no longer point to point, but a grid. Imposing a grid on a sprawling sore of a city like LA is going to be a nightmare. I know they're trying it, but I really wonder if it will be economical in the sense of existing without ongoing subsidies (i.e., direct payments to support daily operations, not one-time development costs).
I don't think mass transportation will ever significantly displace the automobile in a sprawling city like LA. But I would think they'd be able to define some routes for some kind of light-rail, people-mover type shuttles. With as many people as there are in LA, SOMEBODY will find them convenient and useful, and my guess is ridership will be very high. There may not be a noticeable decline in traffic, but if people are using the people-movers, ya gotta believe that it helps!
I'd think with the decent weather LA has that they could attract a lot of riders with some kind of bicycle-train kind of deal. Just ride your bike to the light rail station and leave it in a secure area and ride the train to wherever you want to go. It might not work as well in the Santa Monicas, but down in the basin it wouldn't be too bad.
In the frozen lands where I am it wouldn't be too good because you don't want to be riding a bicycle for over half the year. But, some kind of drop-off, like the DC Metrorail Kiss-and-Ride idea, wouldn't be bad.
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