Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Virginia to elect ALL Democrats with redistricting
MSN, Western Journal ^ | 12/5/2025 | Joe Saunders

Posted on 12/05/2025 9:59:21 AM PST by LeonardFMason

click here to read article


Click here: to donate by Credit Card

Or here: to donate by PayPal

Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794

Thank you very much and God bless you.


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-52 last
To: Dr. Sivana
There are rumblings for Western Virginia and Western Maryland to secede and join West Virginia.

41 posted on 12/05/2025 12:08:43 PM PST by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: LeonardFMason; All
Thank you for referencing that article LeonardFMason.

Virginia to elect ALL Democrats with redistricting


The FR thread titles that we're seeing concerning gerrymandering by elite, desperate Democrats are effectively evidence (imo) of Democrats UNTHINKINGLY BRAGGING that they are violating Section 2 of the 14th Amendment, that section a penalty for states where ballot box fraud has occurred.

Note the zero tolerance, "hair trigger" wording of that section which federal and state governments, under the boots of the corrupt, constitutionally undefined political parties, are evidently ignoring imo.

In fact, consider that the post-Civil War congressional Republicans who drafted Section 2 made it to discourage Southern Democrats (my words) from rigging the ballot boxes that Democrats are now alleged to have done for 2020, 2022 and possibly earlier elections!

Because slavery (except as punishment for crime) had been abolished by the Thirteenth Amendment, the freed slaves would henceforth be given full weight for purposes of apportionment. This situation was a concern to the Republican leadership of Congress, who worried that it would increase the political power of the former slave states, even as such states continued to deny freed slaves the right to vote.Apportionment of Representatives

The uniparty of the post-Civil War cold war is seemingly trying to reverse the outcome of that war imo.

More evidence that the corrupt uniparty, front-ended by the post-17th Amendment ratification Democratic and Republican parties imo, are wrongly ignoring Section 2 is the following third-party opinions of that section.

Consider that Thomas Jefferson had warned against ignoring parts of the Constitution.

The general rule [is] that an instrument is to be so construed as to reconcile and give meaning and effect to all its parts. Thomas Jefferson to -----, 1816. ME 14:445

Regarding alleged gerrymandering by Texas, consider that what Texas is doing is likely reversing a previous Democratic gerrymander.

42 posted on 12/05/2025 12:21:55 PM PST by Amendment10
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Amendment10

The Rest of the State will sue, claiming the map favours Washington DC, Richmond, and elite college towns. It will be charged that it doesn’t serve the state.


43 posted on 12/05/2025 12:47:23 PM PST by WhiteHatBobby0701
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: brownsfan

I asked Chat GPT this:

Use average results (democrat v republican) for last 4 years per district. Then model scenario where states redistrict on a partisan basis. Stipulate that SCOTUS allows southern states to redistrict. Account for any states that have rules making redistricting unlikely.

Scenario results — national seat-shift estimates

1) Conservative scenario (low impact)
• Assumption: Mapmakers are partisan but limited by courts/VRA; commission states hold; southern gains are modest.
• Estimated net seat change: GOP +3 to +6 seats nationally (i.e., Republicans pick up 3–6 seats relative to baseline).
• Why: Empirical studies often find limited national impact after constraints; even when one big state flips several seats, cancellations elsewhere reduce net effect. (Supported by Kenny et al. findings that statewide partisan effects are often modest when averaged nationally.) 

2) Likely / central scenario (my best single estimate)
• Assumption: SCOTUS clearances (as in the Texas decision) let several southern GOP-controlled states redraw aggressively, while commission states remain fixed. Aggressive southern redraws flip multiple marginal seats; elsewhere GOP picks up a smaller number.
• Estimated net seat change: GOP +10 to +15 seats nationally.
• State drivers (example breakdown, illustrative):
• Texas: +4 to +6 seats (news reports place Texas at ~+5 under new map). 
• Florida: +1 to +2 seats (GOP-controlled redistricting can consolidate advantage).
• North Carolina / Georgia: combined +2 to +4 seats (targeting suburban marginals).
• Alabama / Louisiana / Mississippi / South Carolina / Tennessee / Arkansas: together +1 to +3 seats (smaller states, but cumulative).
• Other GOP states (e.g., Indiana, Missouri, Ohio if controls allow): +0 to +3 seats.
• Why this is ‘likely’: The Texas court example shows how 1 state can swing multiple seats; these gains add up across the South where Republicans control legislatures. At the national level, a +10–15 range is plausible given geography and prior research’s upper bounds.

3) Aggressive / upper-bound scenario (strong partisan engineering allowed)
• Assumption: Very aggressive packing/cracking permitted widely, weak judicial pushback, and mapmakers exploit every marginal district across many states. Voting Rights Act litigation either fails or arrives too late to block many districts.
• Estimated net seat change: GOP +16 to +25 seats (this is an upper bound; in practice legal/geographic limits usually prevent this full swing).
• Why: If several large states (Texas, Florida, North Carolina) each flip 4–6 seats and smaller states add a few, totals can reach ~20; but such an outcome requires both legal permissiveness and extraordinary mapmaking, which is less likely everywhere simultaneously. Academic modeling shows such extreme outcomes are technically possible but constrained by geography and minority-rights rules. 


44 posted on 12/05/2025 1:02:25 PM PST by grumpygresh
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: LeonardFMason

First of all, ditching the current districts, which were created by a “non-partisan” commission, will require an amendment to the Virginia constitution to be voted on by a statewide election. That is unlikely to happen before November 2026.

Secondly, those who claim the Democrats will capture 9, 10, or all 11 districts have no idea what the political landscape is like in this state. The Republicans currently have 5 seats. Three of them are safe seats, in the west and southwest parts of the state. Two of them are competitive, and the only districts they can target.


45 posted on 12/05/2025 1:07:03 PM PST by jerseyman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EnderWiggin1970

Not if they false the vote.


46 posted on 12/05/2025 1:13:22 PM PST by bIlluminati (Good triumphs when good people take action.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: DesertRhino

Thanks for that trove of facts, few of which I had ever heard.

The grim Obama fundamental transformation of this country.
Including Virginia.


47 posted on 12/05/2025 1:37:45 PM PST by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: DesertRhino

Thanks for that trove of facts, few of which I had ever heard.

The grim Obama fundamental transformation of this country.
Including Virginia.


48 posted on 12/05/2025 1:37:46 PM PST by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: LeonardFMason
The political party that seceded from the Union to keep American blacks enslaved in defiance of a Republican president in the 19th century

Oh stop. They seceded from the Union so that they might govern themselves instead of sending 65 million dollars per year to Washington DC that got spent in the North.

The Confederates were going to get hundreds of millions of dollars per year simply from being separated from the United States.

Also, President Lincoln urged the ratification of the Corwin Amendment, which passed the House and Senate by a 2/3rds majority and was sent to the states for ratification.

The Corwin Amendment guaranteed permanent slavery in the United States, and our government voted for that.

So the fight wasn't over slavery, the fight was over money. Specifically the money they kept taking from the South year after year.

The North wanted to keep it coming, and the South wanted to stop paying it.

It's that simple.

Everything else is just made up propaganda.

49 posted on 12/05/2025 2:09:55 PM PST by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverbluffer

The dems have already gerrymandered blue states nearly to the mac and can only add so much but republicans are just starting to gerrymander red states so they have far more potential.


50 posted on 12/05/2025 2:26:22 PM PST by TonyM (Score Event)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Resolute Conservative
Hard to believe that Virginia was a baston of patriots up until this last 20-30 years.

Not really. NoVa is HUGE. It's like Chicago in the State of Illinois.

51 posted on 12/05/2025 2:28:59 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: TonyM
The dems have already gerrymandered blue states nearly to the mac and can only add so much but republicans are just starting to gerrymander red states so they have far more potential.

Especially if we can get more seats out of Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Georgia and South Carlina. Right now they are guaranteed at least one Representative for the Democratic Party.

52 posted on 12/05/2025 2:31:40 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-52 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson