Posted on 10/10/2024 5:21:38 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
There results indicate the election is close and will come down to turnout. If these were the results (we keep NC and claw back AZ, GA and PA), we win.
If its close ,we lose.
I’m starting to wonder if the people who are predicting an electoral avalance are right.
When was the last time the media actually predicted (and showed polls that support) a very solid lead for a republican?
They wont do it. If Trump was up by like 8 in the battleground/swing states, they simply would NOT publish it. They’d sit on it, or skew it. The MSM believes (and it’s probably true) that a big lead for Trump would become a self-fullfilling-prophesy. The democrats would get so dejected and demoralized that they would even bother to vote.
I’d be very curious to know how the media was portraying the polling in ‘84 Reagan versus Mondale before the election.
...and the media is MUCH more arrogant and repugnant about their bias today than they were then.
Looking from a distance, it seems that all the polls are showing small but perceptible trends in Trump’s favor. The margins are not all that great but they mostly seem to be moving in the same direction. I’m going to take that as a positive.
I sure hope there is a landslide.
It should be a 50 state sweep in a normal reality.
But it seems we’re in the Twilight Zone these days.
It isn’t close. Sorry, but it isn’t.
This thing is over.
Trump pulled it off, despite the naysayers.
I bet the polls are factoring in the cheat and that Trump is really more than just a little bit ahead and all those “swing states”.
This is the easiest election for Trump out of his 3 Presidential runs.
Hopefully Trump has at least a two state cushion for EVs after Election Day. If it comes down to one state deciding the presidency, odds won’t be good for Trump.
Yep. The margin of fraud is 3%.
I bet they’re not close. But the steal will fix that.
Emerson coming around.
Let’s hope Kamala keeps it up with her crash-and-burn media tour. And let’s hope their lack of self awareness is durable.
“I’d be very curious to know how the media was portraying the polling in ‘84 Reagan versus Mondale before the election.”
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From what I understand, (granted, I was in college at that point, so I don’t recall polls), but I believe Carter was ahead throughout the summer into early fall, then literally the last couple weeks leading up to the election the bottom fell out for Carter and the rest is landslide history.
Back then we didn’t have this prolific early voting crap though.
Trump is right. We need a landslide too big to rig because the shenanigans among these state legislatures are going to be rampant. The good news is a landslide is a very real possibility.
The media is trying to give the illusion it’s razor thin close, and from some of the reactions around here, media deception still works well on people on our side who should know better!
There are now more Republicans than Democrats. You can bet they are not factoring that into the repulses.
Factor -20% for cheating, bias, etc. and those are the actual numbers.
“if it’s close we lose”
In 2016, it wasn’t close, we were down, and we won.
In 2020, it wasn’t close, we were down a lot, and we lost but not by much.
The obvious explanation of our over-performing the polls is that many of us refuse to be polled. Call it “Shy Trumpers,” or “the hidden Trump vote.” But, I think it’s more like the “F U Trumpers.” People who refuse to have anything to do with poll-takers because the media and the elites in general are a bunch of g-d liars.
Because of the hidden Trump vote, we should think we have a good chance of winning a state if we’re no more than 3 points down in the poll average, and an outside chance of winning if we’re 4 to 6 points down in the poll average. Over the years, We beat the poll average on a regular base.
Do not, I repeat do not lose hope if we’re down in the poll average and FOR SURE do not lose hope is we’re ahead in the polls. The only attitude to have is, Fight, Fight, Fight! Vote, Vote, Vote!
Did they use R+3? Doubtful
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