Posted on 08/29/2024 10:41:22 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Do not underestimate the power of their vacuous joy.
Enemy has edge in cheating. More now than ever. They learn more ways each time.
polls always oversample Democrats.
I guess not everyone is a sheep..but the communist soviet style propaganda machine is going to work overtime to help ensure a Harris victory..because they know she is the one chance to turning America communist forever
Should not even be close...
I just hope Lara trump is getting republicans in Pennsylvania to vote by mail. It starts in two weeks. The more that do takes the pressure off some on Election Day. The RNC has been negligent in mail in ballots. Harvest those suckers too where legal.
Considering that both Hillary and Biden were that ahead of Trump around this time in 2016 and 2020.
I would like to know the makeup of these polls. The USA Today poll released today is D plus 5.5, which is suspect.
My 66 yr old sister, who voted for Hillary in ‘16 is practically apoplectic at the hypocrisy of the democrats with respect to their massive flip flop on Kamalahaha’s fitness for the presidency. That they think they can get away with it leaves her speechless. A Hillary voter. Take that for what it’s worth.
I too am seeing some of this from my liberal friends.
Please understand the whole “Trump outperforms polls”.
It has nothing to do with people being shy of saying they will vote Trump.
It has nothing to do with Trump voters not answering the phones.
It happens because pollsters use a turnout model that proves inaccurate.
The error is not the sample. It is the pollster. He says he expects 53/47 split of females and males. Then he makes phone calls and tosses out calls that were males until the total mix is 53/47. If he was wrong about 53/47, then the results will be wrong.
Pollsters models of turnout are where the error is. Over and over.
Unless you want Jamaican and India running America, you better think hard before you vote.
D + 5.5 is a CHOICE. It is not data.
They decided before the first phone call on that ratio. Then they tossed out phone call totals that did not comply . . . until the total did comply.
Then they looked at preference. Of course this will move the needle.
It is likely that both sides know that no one will change their minds. They are trying to drive their supporters to be sure to vote.
The error of both sides is they have ignored the Forbes survey in January. Before there was any sort of campaign underway. “Are you GOP, Dem or Independent?” That simple question.
The answer was 45% Independent and 27% each for Dems and GOP.
No one has this in their turnout models.
“I just hope Lara trump is getting republicans in Pennsylvania to vote by mail. It starts in two weeks. The more that do takes the pressure off some on Election Day. The RNC has been negligent in mail in ballots. Harvest those suckers too where legal.”
Everyone send some money to this organization and we will win Pennsylvania:
https://earlyvoteaction.com/
Not as interested in funding organizations that register Republicans as in funding organizations that organize ballots at nursing homes and pickup as well.
Registration does not equal votes.
Excellent.
From their website:” In January of 2023, Scott launched Early Vote Action with a very simple mission: register conservatives to vote & encourage Election Day, early, absentee, & mail-in voting - an all-of-the-above approach.”.
Note the second part of that paragraph about getting people to vote early.
Polls taken on weekends always skew Democrat. I noticed this during previous presidential elections.
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