Posted on 07/27/2024 10:04:03 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
I can picture the convention.
Oooga! Booga! Trump bad! Woooga Woooga! Abortions great! Go meshuga! Trump racist! Whales Baloooga! “Undocumented” workers great! Drink Cayuga! Castrate kids! Etc. Etc. Etc.
Please, G-d! Let there be a humungous floor fight! A freak show to end all freak shows.
That’s not a turnout model.
A turnout model says the electorate is X Independent, Y Dem and Z GOP. It will also say X college grad and Z non grads. It will have age and sex.
The the random phone calls are made until a total sample that conforms the turnout model are obtained, and the responses tabulated.
You take Rasmussen at face value, it is the tent pole on the GOP side. This is the most optimistic GOP poll.
On the left, maybe Siena or ABC/Wash Post. This is the most optimistic Democrat poll.
And the median is still Trump +4 and still winning in places like PA. The bitch got a dead-cat bounce and never drew ahead, and if anything the Convention will unmask her. There's not a single Democrat who wants this Convention now.
How can it be GOP optimistic if there is no GOP-favorable turnout model.
It’s not random phone calls. It is phone calls until the respondent population matches the turnout model.
You can’t call something optimistic GOP unless it has a turnout model that is pro GOP. So . . . what is it?
Kamala wins. Millions of illegals already cast their votes. Prepare accordingly.
Remember who else disappeared for 8 years. Joe Biden when Obama was POTUS. He was relegated to the basement.
Yes, they are.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.