Posted on 05/10/2021 10:19:40 PM PDT by Az Joe
Hat tip to Shaun Kenney for this analysis of Youngkins’s win:
Just in case folks don’t realize how much the Virginia Republican landscape shifted yesterday, there are a couple of points that need to be offered:
Youngkin recaptured the suburbs we lost in 2017. Not by a little bit, either. Whether it is the post-Trump shift away from the Democrats or the reactivation of the Republican base, something shifted in a big way back towards suburban Virginia. That’s huge, guys…
We have a new class of political professional in Virginia. In the words of one political stalwart, the Class of 1993 (George Allen) is gone; the Class of 2009 (McDonnell, Bolling, Cuccinelli) is ineffective. Hats off to Garrison Coward and Team Youngkin for moving the sticks.
Youngkin did well everywhere. There is always the concern in Virginia that a NOVA candidate might not do well in ROVA (rest of Virginia); that an WEVA (Western Virginia) candidate might not do well in EEVA (Eastern Virginia). Youngkin did well in Fairfax, Virginia Beach, the Valley, Southside, Southwest… in short, Youngkin will not have to do his homework among the grassroots in order to carry the general.
Late endorsements matter. The endorsement of Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) got people’s attention in a big way. Numbers shifted quickly. For all the media fawning over Chase’s numbers, she did about as expected (low-20s). Snyder’s numbers continued to climb with name ID. But between Youngkin’s ground game and the Cruz endorsement? Folks found a reason to trust the man.
Soft delegates? They weren’t — and this was one that a lot of us missed. Traditionally in a convention format? Paying for delegates doesn’t work. Youngkin made it work.
Folks were tired of the old Republican Party wanted a new one and found it in Glenn Youngkin.
Thanks for that, Burgess. It is significant, though, that the people who go to the trouble to become delegates and actually show up to vote are hardcore. Youngkin’s success among delegates in NOVA and elsewhere will not necessarily translate into success among regular voters there. I do agree that the vote signaled a shift away from the VA old boy political network, which is a good thing.
I lived south of Richmond for 15 years. I moved back home to the Midwest 2 1/2 years ago in part due to people like this.
Yes, Justice Gorsuch is a faithful Episcopalian and ostensible conservative; yet his opinion is that transgenderism should be a protected class of behavior with equal rights to female toilets and locker rooms and sports teams.
So? What does that have to do with Glenn Youngkin?
As another poster above pointed out, there are people in public life who may appear like faithful Christians, but go on enact distinctly anti-Christian policies. Church membership is no longer a valid indicator.
What is the point? Yes, of course, church membership as church membership doesn’t mean a thing per se about one’s policy and political positions. I’m wondering who on this thread is arguing it does. Not me.
I pointed out that I am in the same evangelical church as Glenn and have known him and his family for years. He is a genuine, humble Christian man, testified to by a God-fearing wife and 4 fine young adult children. What is the issue with stating that? Not arguing that that fact makes him a fire-breathing conservative, simply saying personally he is authentic. I know him first hand.
I went on to state some of his long-held, conservative political positions that I know he believes and has articulated for a long, long time. He hasn’t come to them recently. Again, he is thoroughly pro-life, pro-gun rights, pro-schools and businesses reopening immediately, anti-teachers unions, pro-required-voter ID and election integrity, pro-entrepreneurs and small businesses, pro-tax cuts ... and I could go on.
I don’t know much about Montana but Florida voted for Barack Obama twice. Conservative states don’t do that.
Well, since you could go on, call him up and ask him his opinion on Critical Race indoctrination and LGBTQ supremacy, trans bathrooms, links to Soros organizations and/or the CCP; and then get back to us. Until then, we are free to doubt until proven truly conservative.
That was 8 and 12 years ago. Much like my state of Virginia which Republicans used to contest, a lot has changed since then. They dumped their Democrat Senator, elected 2 GOP governors including the best governor in the country, voted for Trump twice and really become the new model state for conservative governance.
Will he 'permit' the shadow PACs to operate at arm's length?
Because the only way to beat Fast Terry is to scorch earth and present the facts that Fast Terry specifically chose Coonman and Beater despite knowing Coonman's blackface history and Beater's seasons beatings history.
Those PACs will flood the zone to drive a wedge issue between blacks and the Democrats, to drive a wedge issue between the squishes and the Democrats.
This is quite literally Youngkin's only shot -- to drive down Democrat numbers at the polls. It . can . be . done.
Fast Terry is specifically beholden to Beater, having made his introductions to the baby eater league, who then were top funders to Beater.
If Youngkin so much as one single time renounces those kinds of scorched earth ads, he can stick his head back up his azz and go to sleep, because Fast Terry will roll him faster than a sleeping homeless drunk on the Virginia Beach pier.
Agreed. I hear you on all those points.
Interestingly with former Delegate Winsome Sears (R-Norfolk) winning on the third round of balloting for the lieutenant governor nod, Virginia Republicans — not the Democrats — have just turned in the most diverse ticket in Virginia history.
Virginia Republicans will now enjoy the leadership of a Northern Virginia businessman (whose campaign manager is a top conservative who also happens to be black), teamed up with a black former Marine and businesswoman, paired with a Hispanic attorney general whose family fled Communist Cuba.
What’s more, the Rs are offering:
A businessman from Northern Virginia (originally from Virginia Beach)
A former Marine and businesswoman from Norfolk.
A prosecutor from Virginia Beach.
Yes, that slimeball TM and his PAC’s will be coming with heat but the R-VA trio might just have the right defense and offense to counter. My concern, having met all three of them is that they are all very polite and nice people. Oh, I’ve met TM too had to take a shower to get the grease off after ;-)
You can check one off your list: I have heard him come with fire against CRT.
And yet with all that they are considered a battleground state.
Considered a battleground state by whom? The same media that called a 10k ballot margin in Arizona immediately for Biden and sat on a 370k trump win in Florida as “ too close to call” until late in the night?
Good to hear! And I meant no disrespect. Hope he does turn out to be a vast improvement over nazi Northam.
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