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State of the 2020 U.S. House Elections - Revisited
Various links provided throughout ^ | 11/1/2020 | Coop

Posted on 11/01/2020 6:14:43 AM PST by Coop

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To: Alberta's Child
I don’t mind the low profile of the GOP Senate and House campaigns. This is exactly how 2016 played out.

I don't think the Senate races have been low key, but the House elections sure have been. Not sure that it's necessarily by design. Guess we'll find out soon enough.

41 posted on 11/01/2020 12:33:11 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: nathanbedford

Thank you for your kind words.


42 posted on 11/01/2020 12:33:48 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: nathanbedford
The consensus on this thread seems to be that the GOP list of house candidates is weak and unsupported. Yet our ground game is said to be a record breaking organization in terms of numbers. Allowing for the fact that the House congressional committee is different from the Trump reelection organization and allowing for the fact that most of our emphasis no doubt has gone into battleground states, this still seems strange. One would expect the whole organization to be built around precincts, districts, counties then states.

Oh, I wouldn't say that. I think the RNC's GOTV operation is going to impress on Tuesday. Heck, it's already impressed me with early voting and voter registration numbers from key states like NC, FL, PA and NV. That's why I'm excited for all the Pubbies running in states that POTUS needs or wants to win.

The NRCC has been a disappointment, in my view. But I could say the same about the Trump campaign and other GOP power players (I'm only talking from the perspective of winning back the House). They have not been talking up GOP chances, and I can't understand why. But some here feel that's a deliberate strategy. I am not privy to communications and funding numbers, so perhaps that perspective is correct. Not sure I understand why a stealth approach, though.

43 posted on 11/01/2020 12:44:16 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: JayGalt; thoughtomator
Thanks, Jay. That's some good stuff there. Haven't seen any of it before. Nice to know there are a few others out there anticipating the Pubbies recapturing the speaker's gavel. Don't know where FL Dude got the "20" number in seats needed to flip, though. And does he actually post links to those numbers? Because while I love what you wrote, without links they're no better than someone on the web talking about seeing "internals". Maybe they're true, maybe they're not.

I am still optimistic about Trump flipping VA. Just wish he would have run a real campaign there!!

44 posted on 11/01/2020 12:49:05 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

“I have tried to do my part”

You do walk the walk. I respect that!


45 posted on 11/01/2020 12:50:09 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas (Localization, not Globalization)
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To: Coop

Well done you.


46 posted on 11/01/2020 12:50:30 PM PST by Ravi
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To: Coop

47 posted on 11/01/2020 1:01:59 PM PST by yoe (President Trump works for We The People - not China as Biden has and will.)
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To: Coop

> Just wish he would have run a real campaign there!!

Trump Victory campaign 2.1 million voter contacts at last count, which was over a week ago. Quiet but deadly.


48 posted on 11/01/2020 1:11:21 PM PST by thoughtomator
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To: Coop

Thanks Coop.
Part of the reason for posting was to get other peoples’ take on FloridaDude297. I started following him in the last couple weeks.

He has a good track record as noted on social.quodverum.com
https://social.quodverum.com/@BigEd/104537049568439601, where some of his prior calls are discussed.

His Twitter Profile: “Gen Flynn. Conservative Civil Rights Leader. Retired Special OPS Combat Army Veteran. #Patriot #Trump2020 #Trump #Conservative. Joined April 2019 21.5K Following 46.8K Followers”

There are no links. He posts his results of calls made, wysiwyg. It’s 17 flips for the house, I believe, but 20 would be safer since results get reversed on recounts. In the end the votes are the only thing that matter but a little encouragement while I am waiting is very welcome.


49 posted on 11/01/2020 1:17:28 PM PST by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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To: thoughtomator

Oh, I know the state GOP and RNC have been active. But to my knowledge (correct me if I’m wrong) Pres. Trump hasn’t spent any real money in the Old Dominion. And even though NoVa is a 5-minute ride by limo, and anywhere in the state is probably a 75-minute flight in Marine One, he only did the one rally in Newport News. I am still looking for the GOP to win back VA-02 and VA-07, and if Trump does win VA by a couple of points then Gade could upset Warner.


50 posted on 11/01/2020 1:19:00 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Ravi; SpeedyInTexas

Thanks. I have scheduled a massage for tomorrow evening. :-)


51 posted on 11/01/2020 1:20:34 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

We’re in fingers-crossed mode. I’ve been appealing for a last minute visit to Fairfax County by Trump or a proxy.

Most of the VA candidates are working their tails off. It’s been a long time since we’ve seen this level of motivation GOP side.

Can’t really blame the nationals for having overlooked VA, with the abysmal recent history of the RPV’s non-performance.


52 posted on 11/01/2020 1:21:44 PM PST by thoughtomator
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To: JayGalt

Appreciate the feedback. Hopefully some around here are familiar with him.


53 posted on 11/01/2020 1:21:47 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: thoughtomator; mdmathis6; fhillary2; SovereignVA; iceskater; RebelBanker; Darnright; ...
Most of the VA candidates are working their tails off. It’s been a long time since we’ve seen this level of motivation GOP side.

Pinging some Virginians.

I’ve been appealing for a last minute visit to Fairfax County by Trump

OMG! Even if Biden ultimately won VA, such a POTUS NoVa appearance tomorrow or even Tuesday would be worth its weight in gold for entertainment value! Talk about some soiled underwear. :-)

54 posted on 11/01/2020 1:29:56 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop

Also if you missed it, check out the Virginia section of this article.

https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/30/the-state-of-the-early-vote/

Our chances are a lot better than anyone acknowledges.


55 posted on 11/01/2020 1:40:24 PM PST by thoughtomator
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To: LS

“Hearing from Baris on selected states. Is in AZ breaking Trump, not overwhelmingly. But pockets, such as Libertarians were breaking strongly Trump.”

What’s your feel on McSally?

There’s a guy on ARFCom who claims to have access to internal polling that is saying McSally is probably toast. Wouldn’t necessarily surprise me, and Ducey should be slapped for appointing someone who lost to a Senate seat.

I kind of thought she might pull it out, and who knows, thus guy’s data might be bad or he may be FOS.


56 posted on 11/01/2020 1:45:23 PM PST by JamesP81 (The Democrat Party is a criminal organization.)
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To: JayGalt; DarthVader

Looks like the numbers coming from DarthVader’s unnamed internal polling outfit.


57 posted on 11/01/2020 1:50:37 PM PST by JamesP81 (The Democrat Party is a criminal organization.)
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To: JayGalt

I pray Luna can oust Crist here in my district in Florida. These numbers look encouraging, but the district is heavily weighted with the inner city folks in south Pinellas County. I see Luna signs around, but none for Crist.


58 posted on 11/01/2020 1:53:15 PM PST by RightField
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To: thoughtomator
I love this part:

If Biden’s campaign thought that people who have recently moved to Arizona from California, Illinois, and New York were going to flip the state, they should think again. Polling shows that first-generation residents are Trump’s strongest group. This is also applicable to Texas, longtime fever dream of the Democrats’ consultant class. Senator Ted Cruz’s (R-Texas) 2018 reelection was powered by voters who had moved to the state while Beto O’Rourke won the native Texan vote.

I really, really get tired of people assuming only liberals are fleeing blue states for red states. I can tell you most of the folks I know fleeing Connectistan are conservative, and who can blame them? I hope to follow as soon as next summer!

59 posted on 11/01/2020 2:06:46 PM PST by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: RightField

It’s hard to wait but hope is a better companion than despair.


60 posted on 11/01/2020 2:12:58 PM PST by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap dance. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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