Final "Gold Standard" Selzer Iowa Poll has Trump +7, same margin as 4 years ago which foreshadowed Rust Belt Sweep

NY Times ^

[Coop]

I remember that Trump won IA by over 9 points four years ago, and there was absolutely nothing to justify a slippage of double digits since then, especially when looking at Trump's GOP approval ratings from then to now and GOP voter registrations over the same timeframe.

I have mostly ignored/shrugged off the Trump - xx%, Biden - xx% polls this year, and it's been very cathartic. I've just focused on the 2016 baseline, RV numbers, fundraising, and an expected reduction of 3rd party impact. I have remained quite optimistic, although Trump's October rally schedule has caused me some concern. (Ohio?!? Pence in his home state of Indiana??)

[conservativepoet]

58,000 showed up for President Trump in Butler, PA. Those are rock star numbers. Biden literally can’t fill a minivan.

https://twitter.com/RealJamesWoods/status/1322796584946462722