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Why Trump Has a Serious Chance of Winning. Really.
Washington Monthly ^ | October 21, 2020 | Steve Waldman

Posted on 10/25/2020 10:07:02 AM PDT by goodn'mad

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To: goodn'mad

The one poll that matters most and isn’t getting a lot of play is Gallup “are you better off than four years ago” with 57% indicating that they are.

No incumbent in the last fifty years was turned out with a number that high. The last two, HW Bush and Carter, were underwater with this key stat.

Add into that the enthusiasm gap, breaking around 70-30 in Trumps favor, and you can clearly see what I see.

Trump wins in a walk.


41 posted on 10/25/2020 12:35:15 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: ReelectTrump2020
What is so groundbreaking about him?

A VP who actually is a woman that screwed her way to the top of California politics?

42 posted on 10/25/2020 3:21:45 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
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To: dp0622

The author was very obviously a Biden supporter but reporting numbers that were of concern. I think they’re trying to pull back on the Biden-beats-Trump in the numbers game because it’s sowing malaise among the leftist voters who wouldn’t normally go vote if they thought their guy was gonna win.


43 posted on 10/25/2020 3:56:58 PM PDT by rarestia (Repeal the 17th Amendment and ratify Article the First to give the power back to the people!)
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To: The Great RJ

I agree with you. The “long dark winter” closing was really a huge mistake in my opinion. People are sick and tired of this COVID doom and gloom, and Biden just promised us much more of it.

He also told us we’re going to die with COVID when the president said we need to open up the country and live with it. The Grim Reaper Joe.


44 posted on 10/26/2020 7:07:06 AM PDT by Deo volente ("When we see the image of a baby in the womb, we glimpse the majesty of God's creation." Pres. Trump)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

45 posted on 10/27/2020 12:24:29 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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