Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Trafalgar poll: Trump now leads by two — in Michigan [First lead for James (R-Senate) as well]
HotAir ^ | ALLAHPUNDIT Posted at 2:01 pm on August 28, 2020

Posted on 08/28/2020 11:39:02 AM PDT by 11th_VA

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-48 next last
To: 11th_VA

Just go out and vote, folks and bring three or four conservative friends. We must vote...that is the only poll that matters.

JoMa


21 posted on 08/28/2020 12:04:13 PM PDT by joma89 (Buy weapons and ammo, folks, and have the will to use them.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Midwesterner53

The RNC convention was outstanding. Combine that with most of America “sick and tired of the riot crap”, President Trump is likely leading by far more than this poll shows. If the election were held today, I would expect a landslide victory for him. Always add 10% to a GOP candidate for any polls.


22 posted on 08/28/2020 12:06:51 PM PDT by StolarStorm
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Midwesterner53

Trump lost ground?

Rasmussen head to head against (8.26 Biden has Trump down 1 point a pick up of 2 from the previous week and a pick up of about 7 over 3 weeks.

Zogby yesterday had Trump at 52-48 vs Biden.

If you are looking at the Rasmussen daily approval index you can stop wasting your time because that is NOT a head to head poll of the candidates in this race.

So where is the evidence Trump lost ground and will lose more this week?


23 posted on 08/28/2020 12:13:49 PM PDT by billyboy15
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

John James is pounding the hell out of Gary Peters with back to back ad spots during the local evening news broadcasts.

Go John!


24 posted on 08/28/2020 12:19:20 PM PDT by Eddie01 (NRA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Biden isn’t leading anywhere.


25 posted on 08/28/2020 12:21:33 PM PDT by exnavy (american by birth and choice, I love this country!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: frank ballenger

You forgot Bob Griffin elected twice 1966 and 1972. I know picky picky picky.


26 posted on 08/28/2020 12:23:41 PM PDT by amnestynone (We are asked by people who do not tolerate us to tolerate the intolerable in the name of tolerance.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Of course play like you’re ten points behind. But this guy is going to win. What a story


27 posted on 08/28/2020 12:24:49 PM PDT by j.havenfarm ( Beginning my 20th year on FR! 2,500+ replies and still not shutting up!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: j.havenfarm

I saw Dems online claiming Trafalger is a republican polling outfit and is skewing this poll. Like all polls aren’t skewed. LOL


28 posted on 08/28/2020 12:32:21 PM PDT by gswilder
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Good news but there is a wave of fraud coming from the left so let’s hope it will be enough!


29 posted on 08/28/2020 12:34:46 PM PDT by knighthawk (We will always remember We will always be proud We will always be prepared so we may always be free)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: amnestynone
You forgot Bob Griffin elected twice 1966 and 1972. I know picky picky picky.

Not at all. Thanks.

Forgot him, but worse, so did my source. I will have to refer to two sources from now one. Similar thing happened on another topic.

Good to add one oddity to a little group, like the number of men who have walked on the surface of the Moon. Twelve.

30 posted on 08/28/2020 12:37:45 PM PDT by frank ballenger (End vote fraud,harvesting,non-citizen voting & leftist media news censorship or we are finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: amnestynone
You forgot Bob Griffin elected twice 1966 and 1972. I know picky picky picky.

Not at all. Thanks.

Forgot him, but worse, so did my source. I will have to refer to two sources from now one. Similar thing happened on another topic.

Good to add one oddity to a little group, like the number of men who have walked on the surface of the Moon. Twelve.

31 posted on 08/28/2020 12:37:45 PM PDT by frank ballenger (End vote fraud,harvesting,non-citizen voting & leftist media news censorship or we are finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: frank ballenger

Spencer Abraham was terrible. He was part of the coalition of immigration leftists in the GOP that derailed and scuttled the Smith-Simpson bill in 1996. That was the last time a conservative version of comprehensive immigration reform actually had a chance to pass through Congress. It would have largely undone the 1990 mass immigration expansion bill, and we’d be seeing annual immigration levels closer to 500,000 a year now instead of one million-plus.

But Abraham and others (like Dick Armey, Sam Brownback, and a staffer named Paul Ryan), at the behest of the donor class, and accompanied with some moral preening, undermined the bill, leading eventually to its abandonment, and saving Clinton from a tough sign or veto decision.


32 posted on 08/28/2020 12:39:10 PM PDT by Aetius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Midwesterner53

Drinking in the middle of the day is generally a bad idea.


33 posted on 08/28/2020 12:39:33 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Aetius

Talk about somebody being radioactive. I had a thought of saying “although Abraham was a POS and not worthy of mentioning here” but I left it alone. My posts are always too long , anyway, despite my tolerant and loyal fans here.

Abraham set us back and ruined the immigration framework for limiting the illegals. A Lebanese moderate Arab. Thanks, anyway, Abraham.

You are absolutely right, so thanks.


34 posted on 08/28/2020 12:43:40 PM PDT by frank ballenger (End vote fraud,harvesting,non-citizen voting & leftist media news censorship or we are finished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Again, watch the trend lines. They seem to be moving towards the President and towards James.


35 posted on 08/28/2020 12:51:19 PM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Williams

Plus, the Democrat Convention, in an effort to hold the party together, attacked the values of everyday Americans. The Republican Convention reaffirmed them.


36 posted on 08/28/2020 12:53:03 PM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: frank ballenger

And that’s another thing. Peters is an obscurity. James has some name ID from losing to Stabenow two years ago.

Newt Gingrich lost twice before he was elected. James Buckley lost his Senate race two years before he won. John Tower lost his first Senate race. There are many others. That’s encouraging for James.


37 posted on 08/28/2020 12:57:22 PM PDT by TBP (Progressives lack compassion and tolerance. Their self-aggrandizement is all that matters.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Midwesterner53
Since we’re on the topic of polls that got it shockingly right (or more right than most) in 2016, though, I’d be remiss if I didn’t share the latest data from USC Dornsife. Their poll is a little different from others in that they’re re-polling the same group of people periodically instead of taking different random samples of the population each time. In 2016, they had Trump ahead for most of the race while other pollsters were showing big Clinton leads.

Their final survey had it Trump 46.8 to Clinton 43.6. Which, er, isn’t exactly “correct” since Hillary, not Trump, won the popular vote, but they did at least detect somehow that Trump’s support might be stronger than most of the rest of the polling field believed. USC just started publishing its 2020 polling and today’s new numbers have the race … Biden by 12. He’s gained a few points since last week too, suggesting that he might have gotten a modest convention bounce after all. How does that square with Trafalgar’s Michigan data?

I followed the USC Dornsife poll everyday during 2016 because Nate Silver was focusing on it. For some reason , even though they had good results in 2016 they have revamped their methodology. They increased the size of their participants from 4500 to 8300. The are also increasing the urban size of their sample over the rural sample as compared to 2016. They think this will make their results even more accurate. I find it suspect. You can read their full explanation here:

https://dornsife.usc.edu/news/stories/3295/2020-daybreak-poll-qna-with-jill-darling-survey-director/  

38 posted on 08/28/2020 1:10:30 PM PDT by CaptainK ('No collusion, no obstruction, he's a leaker')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Buckeye McFrog

Gestapo Gretchen BRAGGING about getting the Big 10 Fall season cancelled is going to be very damaging to Democrats IMO.

Especially as fans watch the SEC, ACC and Big 12 play. They’ll only get more pissed.


39 posted on 08/28/2020 1:31:59 PM PDT by FLT-bird
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: 11th_VA

Oversampling female and dems. So even better news.


40 posted on 08/28/2020 1:45:49 PM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-48 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson