Not a Good Sign: Biden Is Underperforming Hillary in Battleground States

Townhall ^ | 08/28/2020 | David Harsanyi

[1Old Pro]

This election process is a major psyops by the Left and you cannot expect them to indicate even a possibility of Trump winning

The Left is blind to reality.

[plain talk]

“Florida is the only battleground state where Biden (+3.7) is outperforming Clinton (+2.7). Clinton was up +2.8 in August. The Florida polls would also tighten in 2016. Now, if Trump loses Florida, none of the other swing states are going to matter, anyway. “

Not sure if that is true as I have not done the detailed math.

Also not sure about why Biden would do better than Hillary in Florida unless it is because he has been running as an idealized generic democrat candidate (hiding in the basement). Perhaps a candidate who is less exposed might not have the negatives of an in your face candidate like Hillary.

Obama did some of that. Different people saw Obama as they wanted to see Obama and he benefited from that technique.

[lodi90]

Dem game plan is to make an electoral mess and bully the GOPe into abandoning POTUS post election.

[lodi90]

Dems are working hard in Florida on mail in ballots. I really hope the GOP is too or we will have a big problem.

[cgbg]

Perhaps the pollsters adjusted their turnout expectations based on 2016 results.

Very good issue to raise and discuss.

I have been looking very carefully at who is polled--and so far there has been _no_ adjustment for 2016 turnout.

But--that is _exactly_ how to look at the numbers behind the numbers.

[Don Corleone]

Figures lie and liars figure

[lodi90]

No mystery: this election is all about mail-in ballot fraud.

—

Fraud is a crutch. The Dems are working hard on mail in ballots here in Florida. That’s not fraud. That’s just putting in work that any party can do.

[cnsmom]

Defund Police and cancel culture is the Democrat death nail combination.

[Deo volente]

I’m worried that if SCOTUS gets involved, Roberts will invent a way to get Biden in there.

Am I overly concerned with this?

[cgbg]

Defund Police and cancel culture is the Democrat death nail combination.

Yup--you nailed it.

For those who haven't seen them, here are the Trump campaign ads addressing these two issues.



Defund police:

https://twitter.com/DanScavino/status/1278837925535535105

Cancel culture:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FucY0Tm6XO0&feature=emb_logo

[SmokingJoe]

Andrew Gillum was + 3.6 over Republican Ron DeSantis in the governor's race and Bill Nelson was +2.6 over Rick Scott in the Senate race on Election Day in 2018.
Both Dems lost.
The polling in Florida is not exactly kosher.

[SunkenCiv]

a few from the Larry Schweikart keyword:

• Seven Major October Surprises Awaiting Democrats [2020]
• Seven Major October Surprises Awaiting Democrats [2020]
• Larry Schweikart: All the Times the Corrupt Media Pronounced Trump Dead [2020]
• Larry Schweikart: Antifa's Deadly Beauty [2020]
• Tonight, free: Drop into my webcast on "Civil Rights: America's Legacy and What it Means for You" [08/19/2020]

[Buckeye McFrog]

I’m worried that if SCOTUS gets involved, Roberts will invent a way to get Biden in there. Am I overly concerned with this?

No you are not. Clearly the Dem plan is to monkeywrench the election using the Postal Service and drag the whole thing into court. If it all comes down to John Roberts voting to uphold Trump's rights under the 14th. Amendment, prepare to welcome our new socialist overlords.

[GOPJ]

A new Marquette Law School Poll in Wisconsin found that support for Black Lives Matter was dropping even before the riots broke out. In June, approval of protests was widespread, with 61% approving and 36% disapproving. By August, 48% were approving and 48% disapproving. It is possible those numbers will take a bigger hit after Kenosha.

[Dilbert San Diego]

Yes, it is a legitimate concern, that if the Supreme Court gets involved in this election, as to what John Roberts thinks.

The legal issues involved in such as case would likely revolve around mail in ballots, whether deadlines for voters to return them should be enforced, etc. There will likely be bags of ballots which are in dispute if this gets into court.

Would John Roberts rule that all ballots must be counted, that ballots with the equivalent of the hanging chad or dimpled chad must be counted? I hope this election is so clear that we don’t have to find out what John Roberts thinks.

[9YearLurker]

There is that too. But the bigger part of it by far is fraud.

[Liz]

PIGLOSI: “The postal system is 2020 election central.....do not let the President
deter anybody from voting. Dont suppress the vote — scare people, intimidate, or
allow Republicans to diminish the role of the postal system in Democrats quest for power.”

[JustaCowgirl]

I agree. I think there will almost certainly be chaos. The Democrats are planning on it.

[JustaCowgirl]

I agree with you about the appearance that the Trump team is not doing anything about the voter fraud except talk. However, just look at the masterpiece of a convention that they sprung on America without any of us knowing what was going to happen.

I hold out hope that the Trump team is one step ahead of the Democrats and preparing for their nastiness. The idea of spies in the Democrat war rooms makes me smile a lot.

[tet68]

What I don’t understand, however, is why so many people seem so utterly convinced that this time will be different.

I believe that is the definition of insanity...