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Uh Oh: Recession Indicators Flashing Red?
Hotair ^ | 08/14/2019 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 08/14/2019 9:47:46 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: af_vet_rr

Yeah, he should hire you to explain it to him since it’s obviously a gap in his knowledge.


41 posted on 08/14/2019 11:21:35 AM PDT by Future Snake Eater (Plans are worthless, but planning is everything. - Dwight Eisenhower, 1957)
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To: ActresponsiblyinVA

>>>How many citizens are the democrats willing to destroy financially to accomplish their goals?<<<

At least half the country. And then the communists will kill the other half when they come to power.

We really don’t learn all that much from history.


42 posted on 08/14/2019 12:12:55 PM PDT by Pilgrim's Progress (http://www.baptistbiblebelievers.com/BYTOPICS/tabid/335/Default.aspx D)
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To: SeekAndFind

You were right to post this. I hope you ignore all those economic “geniuses” who say that the yield curve means nothing. They trashed me in 2006 on this site when I predicted a recession by 2008 and they were ALL WRONG! They know absolutely nothing about economics. They sure pretend loudly.

It seems to be the one-to-ten CMT yield spread that predicts recessions accurately, not the two-to-ten that the financial markets focus on. It’s never given a false signal and has never missed a recession since the war. My estimate is about two years from now, so hopefully the president will be re-elected before things head south.

But they WILL head south. Please ignore all those wizards behind the curtain who try to intimidate you into drinking their Kool-Aid while they stick their heads in the sand. They know absolutely nothing about what they are saying.


43 posted on 08/14/2019 12:29:54 PM PDT by mywholebodyisaweapon (Thank God for President Trump.)
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To: struggle

I just dropped another chunk into the market. I’m holding on to my optimism. Don’t panic, The Donald is on it.


44 posted on 08/14/2019 12:36:00 PM PDT by P-Marlowe (Freep mail me if you want to be on my Fingerstyle Acoustic Guitar Ping List)
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To: CincyRichieRich

Yes, and it hasn’t think happened multiple times without a recession?


45 posted on 08/14/2019 1:20:42 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: Sam Gamgee

Yes, and it hasn’t think happened multiple times without a recession?
...
I can’t tell from your statement if you are agreeing or disagreeing or something else can you clarify?


46 posted on 08/14/2019 1:35:19 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Vote for President Trump in 2020 or end up equally miserable, no rights, and eating zoo animals)
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To: CincyRichieRich

Just confirming whether we have had this confirmation in the past without a recession?


47 posted on 08/14/2019 1:54:33 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: Sam Gamgee

Just confirming whether we have had this confirmation in the past without a recession?
...
Buffet has $120B in cash. Steyer, he, Soros, and ALL hedge fund manager, and the Fed, hate PDJT.

If you want to believe it is just another typical cycle you can. I don’t.


48 posted on 08/14/2019 2:05:47 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Vote for President Trump in 2020 or end up equally miserable, no rights, and eating zoo animals)
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To: Future Snake Eater
Yeah, he should hire you to explain it to him since it’s obviously a gap in his knowledge.

Is it a gap in his knowledge, or does he know the truth, but thinks the American public doesn't realize that tariffs are taxes on imports?

Because one week he's telling us the Chinese will somehow fully cover the costs of the tariffs, this week he's delaying the tariffs because as he bluntly (and honestly) said today, he doesn't want it to affect American consumers headed into the holidays.
49 posted on 08/14/2019 2:11:06 PM PDT by af_vet_rr
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To: SeekAndFind

The Left needs recession THIS next quarter.
Christmas 2020 is too late.

So, may it so, they will say.


50 posted on 08/14/2019 2:13:27 PM PDT by right way right (May we remain sober over mere men, for God really is our only true hope.)
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To: CincyRichieRich

But, the rest of the world is pouring money (and liquidity) into the USA because the short end of the Treasury market is artificially high, thanks to Powell.

If the economy holds, Trump is re-elected.

These people are trying to kill the economy to elect a Democrat.

I know this:
I needed to have several large machine tools and lathes moved in May. The earliest time slot I was able to get from a specialist was July 9. The foreman of the job said everyone was working overtime for weeks at a time just to keep up with the work of building new factories and installing precision machinery and manufacturing plants in all 50 states. Building new factories is a leading indicator of rising GNP.

This is a treasonous act by the Fed.


51 posted on 08/14/2019 2:15:18 PM PDT by Andy from Chapel Hill
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To: Andy from Chapel Hill

But, the rest of the world is pouring money (and liquidity) into the USA because the short end of the Treasury market is artificially high, thanks to Powell.

If the economy holds, Trump is re-elected.

These people are trying to kill the economy to elect a Democrat.

I know this:
I needed to have several large machine tools and lathes moved in May. The earliest time slot I was able to get from a specialist was July 9. The foreman of the job said everyone was working overtime for weeks at a time just to keep up with the work of building new factories and installing precision machinery and manufacturing plants in all 50 states. Building new factories is a leading indicator of rising GNP.

This is a treasonous act by the Fed.

...
Great anecdotes...thanks...
NCSU grad here...does UNC still require women to compost shaved hair and fine them when they do shave?...also are Berkenstocks still required?

Libs have also ruined NCSU.


52 posted on 08/14/2019 2:21:46 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Vote for President Trump in 2020 or end up equally miserable, no rights, and eating zoo animals)
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To: CincyRichieRich

You think the masters at play are trying to sink the economy? Well, possible considering the attempted failed coup. Risky though. They would have to time it right. A fake recession signal could be self fulfilling? Maybe. Lots of variables to control.


53 posted on 08/14/2019 2:44:43 PM PDT by Sam Gamgee
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To: CincyRichieRich

NCSU BSME here,
I live behind enemy lines.


54 posted on 08/14/2019 3:23:05 PM PDT by Andy from Chapel Hill
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To: billyboy15

I agree. I would add that these ‘economic indicators’ are like opinion polls. They often predict the outcome of an election, and also, can often be completely wrong.


55 posted on 08/14/2019 3:44:50 PM PDT by BlackVeil ('The past is never dead. It's not even past.' William Faulkner)
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To: Andy from Chapel Hill

NCSU BSME here,
I live behind enemy lines.

...
Me BSIE ‘90, BS ST ‘89...

My son’s are at UC (Cincinnati), one CHE, other Industrial Design...it’s like rooting for the same basketball team, and same red brick campus...I heard they tore down Harrelson .


56 posted on 08/14/2019 4:52:22 PM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Vote for President Trump in 2020 or end up equally miserable, no rights, and eating zoo animals)
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To: Andy from Chapel Hill

NCSU CheE here. I lived in enemy country for a spell myself back in the mid-late 80s.


57 posted on 08/16/2019 2:59:46 AM PDT by nesnah (Liberals - the petulant children of politics)
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