[aimhigh]

Calling all prophets.

[fella]

People who stare at goats.

[clearcarbon]

Loser!

[Bommer]

Rush Limbaugh would win this hands down. The most prolific political psychic in the world!

[AustinBill]

250K? Chicken feed. Anyone who can see the future can retire in style in about a week on the Forex.

[AdmSmith]

This,https://www.iarpa.gov/challenges/gfchallenge2.html , is a good idea and a continuation of earlier tests such as
2006:
https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/csi-studies/studies/vol50no4/using-prediction-markets-to-enhance-us-intelligence-capabilities.html

and 2011: https://www.forbes.com/sites/andygreenberg/2011/04/20/cia-investors-aim-to-build-a-pseudo-gambling-market-for-data-security-predictions/

compare this: https://www.lockheedmartin.com/en-us/capabilities/research-labs/advanced-technology-labs/icews.html

The important issue is not if a specific team will win but the result of their combined estimates and if it is better than any other gambling estimator.