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Emergency: California’s Oroville Dam Spillway Near Failure, Evacuations Ordered
Breitbart ^ | Feb 12, 2017 | Joel B. Pollak1

Posted on 02/12/2017 4:26:47 PM PST by janetjanet998

Edited on 02/12/2017 9:33:58 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]

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To: Ray76
           Station Name    ID     Elev.   Date/Time            Value
INFLOW     OROVILLE DAM    ORO    900'    02/17/2017 16:00     30036 CFS       http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/getAll?sens_num=76
OUTFLOW    OROVILLE DAM    ORO    900'    02/17/2017 16:00     70241 CFS       http://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/getAll?sens_num=23

1,281 posted on 02/17/2017 5:08:53 PM PST by Ray76 (DRAIN THE SWAMP)
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To: maggief

Just been reading about the St. Francis Dam failure. A lot of talk about seepage, bubbling...

So is panel 20 the main spillway?


1,282 posted on 02/17/2017 5:11:15 PM PST by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: daisy12

What a mess :(


1,283 posted on 02/17/2017 5:12:50 PM PST by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: daisy12
Aerial picture from yesterday (16th). The erosion on the right looks bigger and starting to take out the group of trees. Better picture of what's happening on the left side as well.


1,284 posted on 02/17/2017 5:13:45 PM PST by daisy12
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To: SE Mom

The erosion is getting awfully close to the staging area on the right.


1,285 posted on 02/17/2017 5:14:31 PM PST by daisy12
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To: daisy12

1,286 posted on 02/17/2017 5:18:29 PM PST by daisy12
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To: daisy12
For comparison


1,287 posted on 02/17/2017 5:29:11 PM PST by Ray76 (DRAIN THE SWAMP)
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1,288 posted on 02/17/2017 5:36:18 PM PST by Ray76 (DRAIN THE SWAMP)
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To: mrsmith

Heaven forbid that I had to make that decision but it is what I would do. Test the backup system in a real world scenario. Problem is it failed.


1,289 posted on 02/17/2017 5:47:00 PM PST by mad_as_he$$ ("It's a war against humanity!" Donald J. Trump)
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To: mad_as_he$$
Heaven forbid that I had to make that decision but it is what I would do. Test the backup system in a real world scenario. Problem is it failed.

But, it only failed long enough to determine that it was failing and that there might be ways to bolster it so that it won't fail too quickly in the future. Oh, and it failed long enough to move almost 200,000 people out of their homes temporarily.

1,290 posted on 02/17/2017 5:59:23 PM PST by meyer (The Constitution says what it says, and it doesn't say what it doesn't say.)
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To: mad_as_he$$

I disagree... if you wanted to test it, you test it with snowmelt and a fully intact primary spillway. The dam is how many decades old? They decided to test it only when the realized they were in over their heads. Having said that, can’t turn back the clock 10 years to test it under ideal conditions... they were extremely worried about the primary spillway and decided to give it a go.


1,291 posted on 02/17/2017 6:04:48 PM PST by leakinInTheBlueSea
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To: leakinInTheBlueSea

Sometimes you find yourself where you are. Historically the lake level, over 50 years, has been controllable with the regular draw down and the primary spillway. I believe that they didn’t draw down enough in late January when the storm tracks developed in the current pattern. Water greed. Here in Reno we received our total year’s precip in January and the water masters here were relieving reservoirs, in earnest, by the end of the month.


1,292 posted on 02/17/2017 6:12:05 PM PST by mad_as_he$$ ("It's a war against humanity!" Donald J. Trump)
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To: meyer
True, they bought some time and gained some data. I can tell you that their repairs to the “auxiliary” spillway won't make it through 24 hours if it significantly tops again. The rip-rap rocks are not big enough to stop it - they will only buy a few hours. This is a slow motion train wreck in the making.
1,293 posted on 02/17/2017 6:16:40 PM PST by mad_as_he$$ ("It's a war against humanity!" Donald J. Trump)
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To: mad_as_he$$

I agree for the most part, but that strategy would have been fine without spillway damage... shutting the spillway in the middle of the heaviest sustained rain of the season got them on the wrong side of the curve... if they could have run 100k CFS throughout the last big storm (which would have been pretty standard given the inflow rates), they’d have been fine. If anything, this is a call to review procedures at all dams to better prepare for failures at the worst possible time... analyze the reliability of redundancies and verify their performance if necessary and prudent. The procedures in place are assuming proper maintenance and operating condition... lacking that, the status quo has significant risk.


1,294 posted on 02/17/2017 6:22:57 PM PST by leakinInTheBlueSea
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To: mad_as_he$$
repairs to the “auxiliary” spillway won't make it through 24 hours if it significantly tops again

Agreed, regretfully.

1,295 posted on 02/17/2017 6:23:25 PM PST by tomkat
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To: daisy12

2” of rain in the central Sierras this afternoon.


1,296 posted on 02/17/2017 6:29:41 PM PST by daisy12
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To: daisy12

That will all come downhill eventually. I don’t know the timing of the water travel in that area.


1,297 posted on 02/17/2017 6:34:46 PM PST by meyer (The Constitution says what it says, and it doesn't say what it doesn't say.)
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To: janetjanet998; rdl6989; mad_as_he$$; KC Burke; keat

Update thread here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3525597/posts?page=1#1

Expecting 10” of rain, warm storm

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3525597/posts?page=20#20

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3525597/posts?page=49#49

H/t Rdl6989, mad as he$$, KC burke

In the b&w pic in the link below, note the water intake :

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3525597/posts?page=43#43

H/t keat


1,298 posted on 02/17/2017 6:35:41 PM PST by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: pax_et_bonum; maggief

That chart is saying they will get 2x as much rain as what caused the first incident...

Save that chart!!!


1,299 posted on 02/17/2017 6:57:20 PM PST by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: daisy12

Mark Finan
@kcraFinan
1h
TID now says Don Pedro will reach/exceed capacity Mon or Tue. Tuolumne River might pass flood stage in Modesto
View details ·


1,300 posted on 02/17/2017 6:58:13 PM PST by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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