Posted on 10/28/2016 9:24:35 AM PDT by Pondo
They know because the official ballot envelope has the voter’s names and addresses on it, which is matched with the voter rolls.
“How the hell do they know whether a ballot is R or D? “
Because they know who turned in ballots: they just look the data for that voter up in the registration databases.
The really good news is that the Pub and Unaffiliated (independent) votes add up to 420,000 vs 270,000 Dem votes. Tons of those U votes are former Pubs like me, and I guarantee you that a lot of those Dem votes are for Donald Trump!
And then what, throw every tenth R ballot in the round file?
I thought of making the comparison then remembered Clinton is making a big push for early voting this year which may taint an analysis. Such number crunching doesn’t mean much to me, even if it showed a landslide (either direction) I am still casting a Trump ballot in this big blue stronghold of California.
If one assumes that Trump already has FL, OH, NC, IA , NV and ME2 then all he needs is one flip of any of the following...CO, NM, NH, PA, MI, WI, MN and VA.
I think CO is the most likely one.
Colorado is an interesting state, unaffiliated voters outnumber both R and D voters. And D out number R by a negligible percent. If the People’s Republic of Boulder could be taken out of the equation Colorado would be bright red. 31%R 32%D and 35% U(naffiliated)
We have the exact same thinking on this one.
I am told that in 2012, Rs led going into election day by 2 and lost by 7?
Pot, of course, played a role. But a 9-point election day swing?
You have to sign the envelope, they know who you are and party affiliation. Theoretically, the ballots remain in the privacy folder and are treated with equal consideration.
Ballots returned by county as of the 28th Oct.
Spreadsheet.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.