Posted on 03/10/2016 6:14:16 AM PST by jimbo123
Never deal with Satan. We need that to stop.
And btw, there seems to be an inference that any Republican politician who doesn't want Trump as the nominee has a nefarious motive. But not all of them are Whitman and would vote for Hillary over Trump. Most have said they'll support the nominee.
lot of them just believe that Trump will get crushed in the general election, and there are polls backing that up. A lot of people oppose to Trump because they believe he can't win. There's nothing sleazy about that about supporting an alternative you think has a better chance.
Not surprisingly, I don’t agree.
Have those -it doesn’t matter if they are politico or constituent- list the reasons Trump can’t win. I guarantee you every one can easily be refuted and here’s why. Most use traditional GOP voter polling data and models to bolster their points and that is deeply flawed. It’s a stone cold fact Trump has redefined the game, those old models aren’t applicable. Trump can deliver rust belt states, he’s proving that now. And maybe he won’t be able to deliver NY, but it’s undeniable that he will force Hillary to spend way more time and money defending states that should be Dem gimmes. Cruz. Can. Not. Do. That.
Now, there may not be a “nefarious motive” behind their actions, but if the end result leads to a Madam President, does it matter what motivates them?
If you go to the the RCP averages, they show Cruz doing much better against Hillary than Trump. Now maybe you think there are reasons to discount that, but again, that's not the point. The point is that it is an objective enough basis so that you can understand why those numbers make a lot of people nervous.
If you want to blame them for being gullible when it comes to polls, fine. But I think their fear of a November disaster is very real. The biggest flaw I see in the pro-Trump theory is an over-reliance on white, blue collar voters, especially males. Republicans have been winning that demographic for a long time anyway. Obama only won 39% of the total white vote as it was. The second biggest flaw is confusing voter intensity with total numbers of votes. An enthusiastic vote counts no more than an unenthusiastic one.
Anyway, everybody has their theory, and maybe Trump can win. But the polls, which are the most objective evidence we have, say it is a real longshot.
“But the polls, which are the most objective evidence we have, say it is a real longshot.”
We are on the verge of winner take all states, Trump is ahead of the delegate target, Cruz is well behind with little chance to recover, and you believe the RCP polls are the “most objective evidence we have”. Nonsense.
So the actual voting -and we’re nearly half way through- offers you no indication...
Thanks for bringing to our attention what many had forgotten. Money for the wall and authorization is there. Obama has not followed through.
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