Posted on 02/09/2016 12:32:49 PM PST by Jeff Head
Edited on 02/09/2016 4:43:07 PM PST by Sidebar Moderator. [history]
Trump at 40% going in.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3394429/posts
Anything less is a huge loss.
Demographics have changed.
Neighboring VT used to be reliably Republican. Now its a Blue bastion.
NH is purple. Its very difficult for a Republican to win nowadays.
Carson has internal polls and knows he’s toast in NH. I think he doesn’t want to contribute to that image any more than necessary so he’s going on to where he can get a better narrative.
Delegates added:
DT: 14
MR: 3
TC: 3
JK: 3
I was in Texas all last week. Trump leads.
Check the polls.
“If Trump wins by double digits, it’s on.”
You know it!!
Donald is talking names and kicking you know what!!!
Anything less is a huge loss.
Anything less than 40% is a defeat.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3394429/posts
Yeah, Trump/Kasich/Cruz all recieved 9 votes. Next up had 3.
He's got good reason to be PO'd. He publicly exposed himself as a mouthpiece for the D.C. establishment.
How reliable is Harris/BlackBoxVoting? There are no safeguards built into the system?
I’ve been an election official here in VA and we have a number of safeguards built in at the polling place level, then the county and ultimately the state levels. It would be pretty hard to cheat to any significant degree. Is it possible to cheat somewhere along the line? Of course, but there has to be someone clever enough to figure out how.
At least there are systemic safeguards and it’s not entrusted to one person with no witnesses, which seems incredible. At our local polling place all the sheets with the vote tallies have to be cross-signed by six witnesses, and they have to represent both major parties.
I think the numbers will be higher than that because all of that only adds up to 70%.
My best case guess:
Trump - 33%
Cruz - 17%
Rubio - 15%
Kasich - 12%
Christi - 6%
Bush - 6%
Carson - 5%
Fiorina - 4%
Gilmore - 1%
Vermont is the state that elected Bernie Sanders to the Senate. With that in mind the rest of your post is senseless.
Fiorina will be the surprise of the night.
Bush will get around 4%
Christie 2-5%
Carson less than 4%
Rubio 12%
Cruz 14%
The rest Trump
Personally, I prefer CNN. I think Anderson Cooper will be hosting all night tonight with the 360 panel, which is balanced, politically savvy, and don't shout over one another. It's where I will be. It's amazing how good political TV got once I shopped around.
Why...I concur.
I hope for a tad more humbling this evening. Just a tad.
Yes, shockingly CNN’s Anderson Cooper 360 is pretty descent.
Yes, he was. In fact, in the first hour it was like he was on speed.
“Last I looked, experts were on saying that Trump MUST break 30% or he might as well quit.
Me thinks the exit polls show him at about 27% so they’re practicing the narrative for tonight.”
I think you pretty well nailed it. There were some polls showing Trump around 29% and that may well be where he winds up.
Oh you know, they mean Nixon, Ford, Reagan, Bush 1, Bush 2, McCain...those socialists
I don’t think Trump will win TX or UT. But the rest, yah.
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