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Why North Dakota's Oil Future Just Got Brighter
Oil Price ^ | 22 December 2013 | Daniel J. Graeber

Posted on 12/23/2013 5:24:18 AM PST by thackney

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1 posted on 12/23/2013 5:24:18 AM PST by thackney
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To: thackney

Based on what my customer near Williston has stated the huge boom has slowed down from what it was a year or two ago. You can actually drive into Williston now without it taking all day to go 20 miles. It may have to do with the fact that people have found employment back where they originally came from. However, he said the biggest thing is they do not have any place to put the new oil after they get it out of the ground. There is only so much storage capacity, pipeline capacity, or the speed at which a tanker car can be loaded. Therefore, why drill more holes in the ground, it will just flood the market even more.


2 posted on 12/23/2013 6:14:06 AM PST by woodbutcher1963
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To: thackney

Government has been playing the extortion game with permits. When the federal government share of the oil royalty money went up, leaving less for the states, they suddenly figured out how to get the drilling permits processed.

Hoven is a Surrender Monkey who is Democrat Lite; Hotpants er...Heitcamp is a radical Marxist. God help North Dakota.


3 posted on 12/23/2013 6:17:54 AM PST by Lion Den Dan
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To: woodbutcher1963
The growth in the oil production rate does not seem to be slowing down.

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4 posted on 12/23/2013 6:19:09 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Lion Den Dan

Feds don’t get royalty payments on private or state owned mineral rights.


5 posted on 12/23/2013 6:20:01 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney
expanding a BLM field office in neighboring Montana to service the state.

Oh, they're "servicing" people all right....Shut it down.

6 posted on 12/23/2013 6:27:40 AM PST by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves" Month.)
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To: thackney

Do you have a graph that shows just the last two years?
That is what I am referring to. I may be wrong, but I believe the amount of new wells being drilled has slowed down recently.


7 posted on 12/23/2013 6:44:05 AM PST by woodbutcher1963
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To: woodbutcher1963
That is what I am referring to. I may be wrong, but I believe the amount of new wells being drilled has slowed down recently.

Because the technology has improved considerably in the last 2 years...

1.....Better control and results from directional drilling...

2....with each well drilled, the understanding of the geology improves

and the bonus point:

3....with new knowledge obtained in 1 and 2 above,....older wells are also more productive.

So you get more oil from less wells than a few years ago.

8 posted on 12/23/2013 7:02:07 AM PST by spokeshave (OMG.......Schadenfreude overload is not covered under Obamacare :-()
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To: woodbutcher1963

Maybe a 5% slow down in the number of active rigs. Not much of a change. More likely moving in different areas making a past busy area not so busy.

NDIC Department of Mineral Resources

12/13/2013
https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/directorscut/directorscut-2013-12-13.pdf

Sep rig count 183
Oct rig count 183
Nov rig count 184

- - - - -

12/17/2012
https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/directorscut/directorscut-2012-12-17.pdf

Sep rig count 190
Oct rig count 188
Nov rig count 186

- - - - - - - -

12/12/2011
https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/directorscut/directorscut-2011-12-12.pdf

Sep rig count 197
Oct rig count 197
Nov rig count 199


9 posted on 12/23/2013 7:06:11 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: spokeshave; woodbutcher1963

I don’t agree the number of new wells and particularly drilled well footage is significantly decreasing in North Dakota.

You might want to look at the latest state report tracking activity.

https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/presentations/NDOGCPC091013.pdf


10 posted on 12/23/2013 7:12:17 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

Did not say they did.


11 posted on 12/23/2013 8:59:14 AM PST by Lion Den Dan
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To: Lion Den Dan
When the federal government share of the oil royalty money went up, leaving less for the states,

Then I don't understand what you were trying to say here.

12 posted on 12/23/2013 9:48:42 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

Oil companies pay money to extract oil from federal lands or waters. Part of that money goes to the state to pay for such thing as use and abuse of infrastructure. Under this new bill, the state gets less, the fed get more. As simple as I can make it.


13 posted on 12/23/2013 11:43:42 AM PST by Lion Den Dan
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To: Lion Den Dan

This article was about North Dakota and the State issuing permits.

I don’t see how that relates to the Gulf of Mexico Federal Waters.


14 posted on 12/23/2013 11:53:54 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Lion Den Dan

Sorry, I see my mistake.

I get your point. I’m not sure the 2% administrative fee was the motivation, but one did follow the other.


15 posted on 12/23/2013 12:01:55 PM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: woodbutcher1963
Well, there are 189 rigs drilling today. While that isn't as many as a couple of years ago (218), keep in mind that these rigs are constructed to walk from wellhead to wellhead on a multiwell pad. Not only does that save time and money, more wells are drilled more quickly with fewer rigs.

Williston shunted a lot of the heavy truck traffic around town to the west, and that has freed up the highways in town considerably.

As far as storage, pipeline, tanker capacity, it grows to fill the need, and North Dakota is producing more oil than ever.

If the market was flooded, we wouldn't still be drilling. There are likely another 20 years of development drilling in the Bakken and Three Forks alone, and those are just two of the oil bearing formations in the Williston Basin.

16 posted on 12/23/2013 1:22:04 PM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: thackney
Well now, after a few days ago a bit of bad news that the FEDs estimated that the new oil boom will decline in a few years now we have some good news that they are allowing more permits to go to the head of the line to grease the skids of getting more oil rigs start drilling....
Christmas came early on the oil fields.
17 posted on 12/23/2013 3:43:03 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: thackney
Maybe in the same counties the same amount of activitly ? or Williston where it once was a traffic jam they mananged to get things moving more smoothly ?
Or ? the activitly moved out into the more out laying areas closer to the oil rigs building up their own little boom towns ? or follow the oil piping jobs and rail cars ?
18 posted on 12/23/2013 3:48:51 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Thanks thackney.


19 posted on 12/23/2013 6:34:12 PM PST by SunkenCiv (http://www.freerepublic.com/~mestamachine/)
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To: Smokin' Joe

What I have been told by a customer of mine that lives in Powers Lake, is that the traffic delays that plagued the northwest corner of the state have diminished.

He also stated there was a huge rush in 2009-2011 into the area from people looking for work. Many of these have returned to where they came from.

As far as storage, pipelines, etc. we know infrastructural improvements take time. New pipeline approval can take years.

What I mean is it appears the BOOM is over. Now what we are seeing is sustainable growth. The mad rush of a few years is over. Now ND will build motels, hotels, apartments, roads, oil shipping & storage facilities to move the products(oil & gas) out and the drilling mud, pipe, rig mats, lumber, in.


20 posted on 12/24/2013 6:21:30 AM PST by woodbutcher1963
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