Exclusive--Poll: VA Gov Race A Toss Up

http://www.breitbart.com ^ | 24 Oct 2013, 7:12 AM PDT | by Mike Flynn

[Dave W]

Brilliant analysis and reality based. Thank you.

[jyro]

All the people that get the health insurance cancellations in the mail should consider voting Republican.

[Dave W]

Another brilliant anaylsis. I am in Fairfax and well aware of the demographics and quite honestly, I'm not sure what can be done to change the minds of voters. There are lots of Indians in the county and one would assume they would be likely to vote Republican, but they don't. Asians used to vote Republican by large margins and they no longer vote Republican either. The only way Cuch wins is with a very low turnout election.

I am afraid what concerns me most is not NVA, but SW VA. Cuch needs huge margins in that part of the state and in other rural areas, and for many months, all the polls indicate he is running at best even or only a few points ahead of the grossly incompetent McAwful. One would assume that given the energy policy of Obama and McAwful supporting them, that Cuch should be 20 points ahead in that part of the state. That is one reason why I believe Cuch has run a poor campaign. Those votes in SW VA should be give mes - automatic and a slam dunk. I would think he would be pounding McAwful day and night in that part of the state concerning Obama's energy policy. If Cuch runs even in SW VA on election night, it will be a landslide for McAwful.

You are correct concerning Bolling. His behavior is off the charts horrid and he should be banned by the party for life.

[kabar]

The only way Cuch wins is with a very low turnout election.

I agree with you. We have entered the era of tribal politics. Ken has also been hurt by EW Jackson being on the ticket. He is not a good candidate and he is a polarizing figure. He is a drag on the ticket and will hurt both Ken and Mark. All things said and done, Mark has the best shot at being elected.

SW VA should be give mes - automatic and a slam dunk. I would think he would be pounding McAwful day and night in that part of the state concerning Obama's energy policy. If Cuch runs even in SW VA on election night, it will be a landslide for McAwful.

I think Ken will do fairly well in SW VA. The problem is that the number of votes are small even in the aggregate. It takes a lot of votes to offset the huge margins in NoVA.

Ken has been hurt by the McDonnell scandal and his own problem with receiving gifts from supporters. The one positive development is McAwful making a mistake on the issue of guns. The NRA is up in arms, no pun intended, and is mobilizing people against McAwful. As an NRA member, I am happy they have become more involved in the campaign. McAwful's stance may play well in NoVA, but it is a definite negative in the rest of the state.

[RocketMan1]

I don’t know what the hell has happened to Rasmussen, but all of his polls seem WAY off of late! He’s currently got 0BowMao at a 52% approval rating and everyone else has him at just above 40.

[nutmeg]

Beautiful family. Wow, Ken and his wife have 7 kids??

I take all the polls with a grain of salt. After 2012 I don't know who to believe...

Hope Ken pulls out a big win in Virginia...

[nutmeg]

You and others like you need to wake up and understand the new reality in VA. When you have 30% of the residents of Fairfax County being foreign-born, you must understand the electoral consequences of this rapid change in demographics. The Dems start out with a huge advantage in NoVA and with 20% of the state being black, it makes it very difficult to overcome this huge vote cushion of the Dems.

This is really depressing. First Colorado goes from red to blue, now Virginia...

[Maelstorm]

Yes Ken does. I don’t think it will be a big win. I believe it will be close and turnout will likely be low in the 35-40% range.

[nutmeg]

What about that stupid Libertarian candidate in the mix? Those third-party Libertarians always siphon votes from the Republicans, NOT the democRATs...

[Kenny]

I love that! Is this a poster for Ken’s campaign? If not, it should be.

[Kenny]

Ripping the pollsters, saying they're in the Dem camp, under polling conservatives, et.al. Then, on Election Day, we're all aghast to discover most of them were accurate

Yeah but that Rasmussen poll (McAuliffe up by 17) had to have been manipulated. It was never that close.

And if Rasmussen so blatently fixed that poll, what else have they done?

[Junk Silver]

“I love that! Is this a poster for Ken’s campaign? If not, it should be.”

Thanks, it’s just something I threw together in Photoshop. I wish the Cuccineli would use it, or something similar.

[JoeTheGeorgian]

Just look around this place. It’s not hard to see.

[Oliviaforever]

Sorry, but I seem to recall that the margin was much lower.

If not for the continuous 24 hours a day, seven days a week of the media, local and national ravaging Todd Akin , Todd would have won the election.

[Dave W]

I’m sorry, but you are not correct. Akin lost the election because of his stupid comment. It is really really important for people to not be delusional. Akin lost because he was a bad candidate and lost in a massive landslide. You are in denial, but it is important you understand reality, so that in the future you can evaluate without bias.