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Obama Gains Edge in Campaign's Final Days Obama 50% Romney 47%(PEW LV 0 48% R 45%; D+6; Female+8)
Pew Research Center ^ | November 4th, 2012

Posted on 11/04/2012 1:13:19 PM PST by Red Steel

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To: ubaldus

Romney +10 with Indies which is encouraging.

Only getting 55% of the white vote though which isn’t nearly enough. That would need to be 60% for us to win Tuesday.

Perhaps some Bradley Effect at work there?


101 posted on 11/04/2012 3:40:06 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Longbow1969

You seriously believe anything from
The ABC - Wash Compost .
Two
Far left Obamz front groups who have been carrying this radicals water for 4 years !

Wow


102 posted on 11/04/2012 3:44:04 PM PST by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: Longbow1969

One again, long on emotive hysterics, vacant of even the slightest hint of a rational thought.

Face it, you are the epitome of what you claim to be against.


103 posted on 11/04/2012 3:44:26 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Chunga

I can just barely access FR and won’t try again so can’t reply to any other replies.

The source is the Pew .pdf. I think it was pasted here in the thread, but if not the .pdf is accessible.


104 posted on 11/04/2012 3:54:47 PM PST by Owen
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To: Chunga

I can just barely access FR and won’t try again so can’t reply to any other replies.

The source is the Pew .pdf. I think it was pasted here in the thread, but if not the .pdf is accessible.


105 posted on 11/04/2012 3:56:39 PM PST by Owen
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To: MNJohnnie
One again, long on emotive hysterics, vacant of even the slightest hint of a rational thought.

Face it, you are the epitome of what you claim to be against.

You're real low rent Johnnie. Always insulting and belittling anyone who disagrees with you - yet rarely adding anything much of value to the conservations.

Much as it pains me to say because I dread an Obama second term, I suspect you are going to owe me a big apology on Wednesday.

106 posted on 11/04/2012 4:02:14 PM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Longbow1969
Screaming your emotion based opinion louder is no substitute for fact based rational analysis.

You lose, again.

107 posted on 11/04/2012 4:08:31 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

Though you are clearly not very intelligent, I don’t regard that as an excuse. I’ll read your apology Wednesday morning.


108 posted on 11/04/2012 4:17:57 PM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Longbow1969

Everyone else on this thread: Rational fact based posts using real math to reach a reasonable conclusion

Longbow posts. Emotion based ranting and childish invective directed at everyone else for challenging their emotional opinions.

Reason trumps emotion. You lose.


109 posted on 11/04/2012 4:22:49 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Longbow1969

Everyone else on this thread: Rational fact based posts using real math to reach a reasonable conclusion

Longbow posts. Emotion based ranting and childish invective directed at everyone else for challenging their emotional opinions.

Reason trumps emotion. You lose.


110 posted on 11/04/2012 4:23:07 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

I don’t think he’s very good at the maths.


111 posted on 11/04/2012 4:29:37 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: MNJohnnie
Reason trumps emotion. You lose.

We will know Wednesday. I will stick with my prediction based on what I am seeing: Hussein 51 - Romney 49. Some shade of that with Obama just edging out Mitt.

112 posted on 11/04/2012 4:31:18 PM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Longbow1969
The reality is that Pew's election forecasts are almost dead on accurate

The reality is Rassmussen and PEW tied for accuracy in 2008. Yet you want to totally ignore the Rassmussen poll to loudly hype the supposed infallibility of the Pew poll. The fact that your opinions of PEW are based on a complete absence of ANY fact based evidence while the contrary opinions about PEW ARE BASED ON REAL MATH goes right over your head. They cannot both be right. One or the other is correct. The fact that you ignore the facts presented to cling to the emotional opinion is intellectually vacuous.

113 posted on 11/04/2012 4:46:36 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

No reason to skew polls in 2008 in order to prop up one candidate or another. Obama was a lock.


114 posted on 11/04/2012 4:51:31 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Longbow1969
We are never going to agree so let us ignore the polls, watch the action and the rhetoric.

Obama and Romney are both playing on mostly BLUE state turf. Romney is running the sort of campaign winning camps run, optimistic, hopeful, bland. Obama is running the sort of campaign losers run, nasty, desperate and shrill.

Obama is running around joined at the hip with Bill Clinton trying desperately to fire up the traditional Democrat blue collar vote. Obama is doing nothing to reach towards the middle. Romney is out there acting Presidential and reaching out to moderate and “leans Democrat” voters.

Obama is not acting like a candidate whose internal polling is showing him winning.

115 posted on 11/04/2012 5:30:29 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

Obama’s has been attacking the Tea Party for two days. Trying to fire up his base instead of reaching out to independents. Tells me he knows he’s in trouble.


116 posted on 11/04/2012 5:35:36 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: MNJohnnie; trappedincanuckistan
"Data collection was managed [for PEW] by Princeton Survey Research Associates International and conducted by interviewers at Princeton Data Source and Abt SRBI"

These libs pollsters reek so bad as this is what they really believe:

"Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.4%, Bayesian Prediction 99.9%"

-snip-

"...Anyway, the short answer: I estimate Romney’s chance of winning the popular vote at 6%, odds of 16-1 against. ...."

http://election.princeton.edu/

LoL!

117 posted on 11/04/2012 6:00:07 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

So how are they figuring out the proportions of each party that they think will vote?


118 posted on 11/04/2012 6:01:52 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: Red Steel

This is what I mean. Don’t trust the polls. Look around at what you see. What does your gut tell you?


119 posted on 11/04/2012 6:04:35 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

Got me...wishing to Karl Marx.


120 posted on 11/04/2012 6:11:48 PM PST by Red Steel
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