Posted on 10/28/2012 6:34:32 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Sadly the President has gained a point. However, this is most probably statistical noise and the oft argued "weekend effect" maybe in play (as some conservatives believe)
However, the approval index is back down to -12
Right Track/Wrong Track is 39/57
Overall approval is 47
Leads with 11 with Independents but is behind NINE (9) with women
Many of these numbers are internals and will not be found in the link above
Must be a D+6 sample if R leads both Indies and Crossovers and has a +3 lead.
Romney leads Republicans 90-8, Democrats 12-86, and Independents 52-41. Swing state poll has Romney up 50-46.
Not bad for a weekend poll. I like yesterday’s better though! Loved seening O around 46 or 45.
:))
This polls disgusts me...he should be at 0% after leaving our men behind in Benghazi.
Sneak Peek of Swing State Daily: R:50 O:46
The President gained a point there too.
The Governor leads 14 with Independents but is behind 5 with women
The Presidential Approval index is -13%
The overall approval rate is: 48
Right Track/Wrong Track is: 38/58
I’d love to see the breakdown of wymns vote by age. My sense is it is far higher amongst the young and probably pro Romney above 55 or so. My wife works in an office of 7 wymn aged over 40, the breakdown there is 7 Romney one for Turd, she is a life long demoncrat. Two have shifted from Obama to Romney since last election.
Maybe we oughta make a commercial for that...
This marks the 11th day Romney sits at 50%. O has reached a hard ceiling of 47% which he will not move from in the last week of this election campaign.
The news is good and I don’t expect any dramatic developments until the closing days of this election.
Very cool!
Now a question - I don’t have the raw data but just eyeballing the chart, the Romney curve for the past week or so looks like the inverse of the Obama curve, meaning to me that the increase in Romney support is (nearly) all coming at the expense of Obama. In other words, people who previously said they’d vote for Obama have switched to Romney, rather than people who were Undecided.
Is this correct or am I making this up?
Still a lot of Undecideds (2%) that can be converted yet.
Perdogg,
NHWingUT did a great job yesterday analyzing the Saturday Rasmussen poll
His finding was that Scott Rasmussen was using D+3
Actually, yesterday, as per the findings of NHWingUT, the Governor was nearly 5 points ahead but the roundings up and down made it 4 points
So, let us see what today’s actual numbers look like
Romney maintains his 50% number with about a week to go. Obama approval still at 47/52 (-5). The strong index is back up to -12. The strong disapproval holds at 43 – that is not good for an incumbent.
Obama is barely at 47% (46.67 to be exact – see below).
Overall, according to math, Romney lost less than a half a point (50.47 to 50.08). And Obama gained a little more than a half (45.89 to 46.67). No big change.
The sample is D+3 (39/35/25). The pctg of each party id is based on Rasmussen’s crosstabs of each candidate’s support.
10/27
Romney
Republicans 88% * .36 = 31.38
Democrats 11% * .39 = 4.29
Indies 58% * .25 = 14.50
Total = 50.47 (50%)
Obama
Democrats 86% * .39 = 33.54
Republicans 10% * .36 = 3.6
Indies 35% * .25 = 8.75
Total = 45.89 (46%)
10/28
Romney
Repubs 90% * .36 = 32.4
Dems 12% * .39 = 4.68
Indies 52% * .25 =13
Total = 50.08 (50%)
Obama
Dems 86% * .39 = 33.54
Repubs 8% * .36 = 2.88
Indies 25% * .25 = 10.25
Total = 46.67 (47%)
The media isn’t harping on it and now forget it; it’s all SANDY SANDY SANDY. They have what they need to take any scandal off the front pages. Even though it wasn’t there in the first place.
Well, remember there will be a doctored unemployment rate released by the Ministry of Labor Disinformation at the end of the week. Romney needs to build a better cushion by Friday.
That is just how good Romney is with numbers............
WaPo tracking poll (through Friday) has Romney up 1, 49-48. Romney leads indys by 16 and on economy by 7. Sample moved from D+4 to D+6.
Things go well with zogbysauce
i know what you mean.
He could have a gun in his hands spattered blood on him, a video showing he murdered them himself and confess to it AND still have 45% of the vote...
With Leaners Men Women 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ Romney 57% 44% 35% 35% 57% 59% 58% Obama 40% 53% 63% 62% 42% 37% 39%
Here is Scott’s commentary from today:
Those who have heard of Benghazi should have no trouble now with the idea this administration would cook the BLS books and so over-rigging may backfire on them.
You have to take into account that three-fourths of Americans probably have no idea what actually happened in Benghazi.
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