Posted on 10/04/2012 12:54:11 PM PDT by Second Amendment First
It must pain them terribly to say it.
God willing, let’s make it happen.
Good news...
One point of disagreement — i don’t see any way Romney wins New Mexico...but hey, we don’t need it anyway.
And what is the track record of this so-called model, may I ask?
100% accuracy going back to 1980.
Agreed. They (Dems) will either win NM decisively or steal it, 2000 style.
Too much self loathing going on in that state for some reason.
They predict that Romney will win ME-2.
Analysis That Hasn’t Missed Since 1980 Predicts Romney Will Win Big
August 23, 2012
BEGIN TRANSCRIPT
RUSH: “A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every US president since 1980,” they’ve never missed, “forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney,” and he will win 320 electoral votes. It’s a University of Colorado analysis. It’s not a poll. It’s an “analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every US president since 1980,” and they haven’t missed.
“The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, including both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors. “’Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble,’ said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program.
“According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9% of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1%, when considering only the two major political parties.” Now, that doesn’t factor a third party or minuscule write-ins. They just look at the two primary candidates.
“’For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner,’ said Berry. ‘The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office.’” I don’t know where he gets that, but regardless, this guy says: “What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it’s the former [in relative terms], the president may receive credit for the economy’s trajectory and win a second term.
Looks to me like they have Obamugabe getting 50.93% of the New Mexico vote. So where do you disagree??
269 would be adequate (assuming we take the House),330 would be excellent....an irrefutable repudiation of this nation’s first Community Organizer In Chief.
You wouldn't be referring to
Would you?
Goode, Johnson and Stein will get their 1-2% of the vote. If you normalize the polls the 52.5-46.6 scenario looks to be accurate.
Luckily Johnson has taken a lot of Obama voters as well, so that should be a wash. Goode could hurt us though.
After yesterday's debate, that number might be end up being higher.
just remember... this year, the votes are being counted in Spain Spanish Company Will “Count” American Votes Overseas In November
http://www.westernjournalism.com/spanish-company-will-count-american-votes-overseas-in-november/
isn’t that a Soros owned company?
no idea...
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