Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama trails by 4 points)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | May 13, 2012

[truth_seeker]

Here is the report card for 2008 polling accuracy. Rasmussen is tops.

http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php#reportcard

Here is the RCP (Real Clear Politics) polling data today.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

Generally the polls now showing Romney ahead are the more reliable, the ones showing Obama ahead are the less reliable, based on the report card above.

Rassmussen and Politico have Romney ahead; use Likely Voters, versus Registered Voters.

Gallup, AP and Reuters have Obama ahead; use Registered Voters.

Finally the Rasmussen poll includes some days after Obama’s gay marriage announcement.

The AP and Reuters polls were before this announcement.

This election will depend heavily on the economy which doesn’t help Obama at this time. I expect him to try to manipulate the true picture, so factual data will be conservatives’ friend.

I expect with Romney’s busines management background, his team will be releasing figures damaging to Obama.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

I’ve been watching Intrade pretty closely.

Obama’s down on Intrade today.

First time below 59. FWIW.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

Not very impressive numbers for either of them.

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Actually considering Obama is not only the Dem nominee but incumbent, and Romney's not even the GOP nominee yet, not bad for Romney at all.

[reformedliberal]

Me, too. So that’s another one.