I think 2008 was 1968: an unpopular war and a candidate running on a platform to get us out running against a retread from the incumbent party.
This election is lining up as a repeat of 1980. The economy stuck in recession and not recovering, there are stifling high energy prices, U.S. foreign policy seems ineffective, there is an industrial giant rising in Asia threatening the U.S. economy, and most importantly, there is a complete collapse of trust in government institutions. The GSA and Secret Service scandals will further cause a distrust of Washington D.C.
Romney is no Reagan (nor was any other Republican candidate). But I think Obama's numbers will start crumbling in late summer. There is not enough enthusiasm in his base of young voters and African Americans. This election will be Romney's to lose. Heck, it would have been any nominee's to lose.
Obama is being Dogged by a poor economy,
and keeps pulling campaign boners.
Woof!