And look, they're polling "internationally". Guess Americans who can vote didn't quite give them the numbers they wanted. CNN/ORC? Obama Reelection Committee?
This poll is a laugh riot. No one believes it. Even CNN. Especially CNN.
But remember folks, Newt Gingrich is right out because women don’t like him!
/sarc
But remember folks, Newt Gingrich is right out because women don’t like him!
/sarc
Romney has no shot.
***...thanks in part to the perception...***
In part - a small, very small part - like 0.001%
The perception - i.e., not reality.
One thing that ideologically committed voters, right and left, often forget is that a fair number of voters don’t have much of a political philosophy and are greatly swayed by charisma: they could vote for a true-blue conservative or a socialist, as long as he has rock-star charisma, especially if his opponent is a square. Mittens has negative charisma—yet another reason the GOP-E are fools to back him (assuming they actually want to win the presidential election—perhaps they don’t). 0bama has as much of a charisma advantage over Mittens as Clinton did over Popppy Bush and Bob Dole, and we all know how those elections turned out. Many people have remarked upon 0bama’s luck in repeatedly facing weak Republican opponents: from Alan Keyes in his 2004 Senate race to McCain in 2008 and now to Mittens. It’s uncanny.
Romney just has to get to 270. I wish we had a Reagan or even a Gingrich as the likely nominee, but it looks like it’s Romney (barring a convention rebellion). He can lose the overall women’s vote to Obama and still win the election if he can make deep enough inroads in that support so that Obama loses in close states. I think that’s a very obtainable goal.
Any national poll taken anytime before September is worthless. We don’t know the issues nor do we have any clue what agenda Romney is going to be running on. We have no clue who else is going to be on the ballot. All we know are both elitist candidates are socialists and both candidates are liars.
Actually - if mittens is that far behind in women and still very close with ghettobama, by november, if he can even cut that deficit by half he will beat obama handily.
When you look at the poll internals they show Romney doing slightly better among pubs than Obama is doing among dems, and that Romney is +2 among independents.
So in order for Obama to lead by 9% they had to massivly oversample dems. This is OBama PR not a poll, funny that both Rasmussen and Gallup have Romney ahead slightly but more significent they have Obama getting 44 & 45% of the vote this is a losing # for an incumbent at this point.
People ‘know’ Obama and whether they will vote for him or not. Obama’s results in the general will be very close to what he is pulling now.
Also rasmussen’s generic ballot shows the pubs ahead 46% to 36% a disaster for the rats.