Posted on 09/05/2011 1:46:01 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
If Perry does raise more money than Romney in Q3, it is game over, barring a surprise.
The Obama machine is going to be a trip.
That SOB has been raising money for over a year.
I hope Perry pokes him in the nose
Although in all fairness to Romney only one of them was a cheerleader.
That’s all YOU got!!??
It is quite possible that he will proceed to lose it with his performance in the upcoming debates but I think not. My guess is that he will avoid making any huge blunders and will thus easily negotiate the low hurdle which confronts him as his test.
Because Perry has an enviable telegenic presence which rivals Romney's, his performance at the debates will be a success if he does not fail. If he avoids jaw-dropping gaffes he will have reassured the bulk of the party that he is an acceptable candidate because they have already concluded that his record is satisfactory. If he does not get trapped on immigration, health care, or some scandal, he will only increase his lead.
Therefore, he can easily outpace Romney and Bachmann merely by being adequate in debate. These columns one reads saying that he must outshine everyone to maintain his level of high expectations is exactly wrong. The contrary is true.
If Sarah Palin enters the race, her bar is considerably higher. She must affirmatively dispose of a 3 year long accumulated sense by a substantial portion of the party that she is not fit for the nomination or, if nominated, she is a risk to lose. That means that Sarah Palin must affirmatively win the debates and walk away as the clear winner. Hearts must beat faster for minds to be changed. That is a very high bar indeed.
To compound Palin's problems and to further raise the bar for her in the debates, she must so positively impress that she can overcome her lack of organization and her lack of funds. She might be able to do this because of her extraordinary personality and because of the extraordinary devotion of her supporters. If Palin slips in any way, or even merely fails to outshine everyone else, she will not be able to expand her base or fund her campaign adequately.
I remain of the opinion that you will not enter the race. Clearly, the train has nearly left the station.
What you have said is true.
It doesnt make Palin less Conservative than Perry, but it is true.
She Is behind in the race and the fact is she does not have a track record.
Nobody loves the underdog more than me, but its a very outside chance.
The money is now committed and flowing. Any candidate not firmly established by now is Texas Toast.
The thing is, Perry really knows how to establish a solid campaign, starting with the money and the monetary support. Without those things, no candidate can get farther than wishful thinking on Face Book.
GO RICK! GO! (Check's in the mail.)
Best For Sarah to bide her time.
GOP establishment nears decision point
As the GOP presidential field emerges from the traditional Labor Day starting gate, the candidates are confronting a sobering reality: Theyre already running out of time.
Though there are still months to go before Republicans start casting real primary ballots, party leaders say the dynamics of the race could be locked in place by the end of October. Thats because the Republican establishment which has largely stayed neutral in the GOP primary is about to start picking sides.
[snip]
The emerging duel between the two Republicans presents an agonizing choice for donors who want to support the better general election candidate, but also want to be on board with the winner of the partys 2012 primary.
With elites hesitating over both the painfully cautious, independent-voter-friendly Romney and the blustery, activist-charming Perry, their affections could still turn either way in the next two months.
Put another way: Its shaping up as a choice between one candidate who looks electable and other who might be inevitable.
[snip]
Donors could also scatter according to more parochial or self-interested concerns, the second ex-chair said, musing: If Im John Boehner and I look back at last cycle and saw most of my pick-ups were from New York do I want Perry on top of the ticket?
To Republican insiders who have already made their choice in the 2012 race, all the caution is starting to look an awful lot like dithering.
[snip]
she has spewed about as much as she can, just above 4th grade now.
Her time has already run out and she lacks the organization skills or the funds to launch an effective campaign.
I wouldnt be that harsh, but she does need to establish a record of hard decisions.
Oh.
My mistake. I was thinking you were speaking of Sarah.
Very witty!
Who the hell is the grotesque figure on the right Heir Goebbels?
Ahh...
Al Bore!
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