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DEFLATION'S COMING, Says Gary Shilling, And It's Going To Clobber The Stock Market
The Business Insider ^ | 8-12-2010 | Henry Blodget

Posted on 08/12/2010 9:07:23 AM PDT by blam

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To: Mamzelle
"No jobs, no growth, no increase in asset value--but high cost for necessities like food and fuel."

I worry that you're correct.

61 posted on 08/12/2010 2:41:04 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

In an economy that I envision, the farmer will be king.


62 posted on 08/12/2010 2:59:40 PM PDT by Mamzelle (Cameras, cameras--never forget to bring your cameras)
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To: edcoil

“now you drop your price until the competition is gone -”


Sounds a lot like the Construction industry right now.


63 posted on 08/12/2010 4:24:27 PM PDT by CommieCutter (A Centrist Democrat is now defined as: between Socialism and Communism.)
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To: Mamzelle
"In an economy that I envision, the farmer will be king."

The one with the food will be king...yes, ultimately, the farmer.

64 posted on 08/12/2010 7:37:45 PM PDT by blam
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To: politicket
Not true. Gold is a commodity in our economy. It is bought in dollars and sold in dollars.

If we insist on thinking in terms of dollars then we put our heads on the chopping block with the ax in the hands of those who define the value of a dollar.

Dollars are just a convenient way to transmit value efficiently (it's easier for a piece of paper to be carried across he desert than a ton of gold). However, when the value of currency seemed stable we deluded ourselves into thinking of currency as a store of value.

In retrospect that just seems silly, and economically suicidal.

65 posted on 08/13/2010 7:42:31 AM PDT by The Duke
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To: The Duke
If we insist on thinking in terms of dollars then we put our heads on the chopping block with the ax in the hands of those who define the value of a dollar.

What do people who highly value gold and silver always say?

"Look! Gold is now over $1,200/oz. I bet it's going over $3,000/oz!"

Those who hold precious metals as "true money" are absolutely guilty of pricing their true money in terms of fiat money.

Instead - if they truly believed in precious metals - they should be saying:

"Look! The US dollar is now worth xyz amount of gold (or silver)"

Just a point of thought to throw out there.

66 posted on 08/13/2010 9:11:41 AM PDT by politicket (1 1/2 million attended Obama's coronation - only 14 missed work!)
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To: Mamzelle
I have the dread that we're going to have both.

You can't have both inflation and deflation - even though it's a popular thought being tossed around right now.

Inflation, by definition, is an increase in the money supply against a relative set of goods and services.

Deflation, by definition, is a decrease in the money supply against a relative set of goods and services.

The economy cannot have both. We are seeing deflation because the amount of credit outstanding (money) is shrinking so fast.

67 posted on 08/13/2010 9:14:58 AM PDT by politicket (1 1/2 million attended Obama's coronation - only 14 missed work!)
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To: politicket
"Look! The US dollar is now worth xyz amount of gold (or silver)"

I couldn't agree more.

68 posted on 08/13/2010 12:36:51 PM PDT by The Duke
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