Democrats Jump Into Six-Point Lead on Generic Ballot

Gallup ^ | July 20, 2010

[Noamie]

I wrote “Ras” - I meant Gallup. Sorry.

[jospehm20]

I looked at Rass and he has Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 45%, Democrats 36% dated yesterday. I guess the lib pollsters are joining their journolist peers in drinking the O-hole KoolAid and giving up any last vestiges of credibility.

[engrpat]

From the Gallup site:

random sample of 1,535 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, selected using random-digit-dial sampling.

This sounds more like a push poll to help the democrats feel better about themselves, kinda like a self-esteem class.

[Oldpuppymax]

Although an INCREDIBLE outlier, guess which poll will be REPORTED by the MSM every half hour for the next two weeks??!!

[NorthStarStateConservative]

If you take out the outliers like Rass, Bloomberg and Gallup, the Republicans still hold a +3 lead, which is about where Fox has the GOP.

[Mariner]

This isn't even REGISTERED voters...it's adults age 18 and over...

Random Sample:)

[Sgt_Schultze]

2008 polling accuracy according to Fordham University

1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweek (10/22-23

[Steelfish]

Now, that is really insightful. Thanks

[buckalfa]

“Don't believe any polls right now, even the ones that tell us what we like to hear.”

Agreed,three months out is a long time for unforeseen events to occur and even if the GOP is leading, there is a lot of heavy lifting to be done in terms of fund raising and GOTV to insure victory. Also remember a generic ballot poll has little direct bearing on individual candidates and races. Even Congressional election politics tend to center on local issues and personalities. Plus the Rats are having a pretty good week for their agenda — improved news on the BP spill, financial reform and unemployment benefits.